"After puberty blockers, almost 100% of children go on to cross sex hormones. We've no idea why!"
This is, of course, as with so many other claims made in aid of this regressive ideology, a lie.
From the published studies on desistance and persistence among gender dysphoric children it is evident (and this is explicitly mentioned) that it is puberty itself that separates the wheat from the chaff, as it were.
The first flushes of puberty hormones start a process of mind/body integration that results for the vast majority of gender dysphoric children in desistance.
Puberty blockers directly interfere with this reconciliation. They prevent this process, which takes part in the brain, from happening because it halts the development of the brain before puberty hormones can kick start it.
Desistance is a myth is the usual reply to that. Doctors are just better now at diagnosing who's really trans. So here's a number of these claims:
These studies mix up gender-non-conforming and gender dysphoric children. That means the desistance rate is overinflated.
The older ones do indeed mix up GNC and GD kids, but when you look at desistance rates for each group separately, they are nonetheless nearly identical.
Still, the old desistance rates are not valid, because they precede the new, much stricter, diagnostic criteria!
Not so. An analysis of the published papers, applying the new diagnostic criteria to the observed children (possible thanks to the information provided by the authors), shows little change in desistance rates
The most recently published research, the Steemsma study (the biggest and the only one with a separate follow up study) is hotly contested by TRAs because it applies the new diagnostic criteria and still shows an over 60% desistance rate.
It just claims desistance for 80 out 127 kids because they stopped coming to the clinic. That's an unjustified assumption!
Not so. If you read the actual study and not just the abstract, you'll find that 56 participants either outright said they're no longer suffering from GD or filled in follow up surveys that showed they weren't.
As for the other 24, in the Netherlands adult and children's services are offered in the same clinic under the same roof. Unlikely that they all remained GD, but moved away from their home country where they could pursue medical transition at no cost to themselves. But let's exclude them anyway:
of the rest a majority still desisted.
This btw is the only study to have found a correlation between severity of GD and chance of persistence. All others stated that there was no way to predict which child would persist (which may still be true for the former, I haven't checked).
Desistance then is not a myth. And with the new phenomenon of more and more children being referred who seem to be merely struggling GNC kids and many of whom are affirmed and socially transitioned very quickly, desistance rates may actually not just remain high but rise among non-medicated children.
Finally, any researcher worth her degree would have picked up on the fact that going from 60 to 90% desistance to 95 to 100% persistence is not a natural development.
So, why didn't this ring any alarm bells? These are Big Ben sized ones! But nobody seemed to care.