Therefore if we allow this structural inhibition of the less-confident we end up promoting/hiring people who have more hot air than substance.
And then those people hire people in their own likeness and so the cycle continues...
I was reading somewhere that everyone overestimates their past performance but women overestimate less than men so if you have 2 candidates for a job who sound similar you should recruit the woman because she will be exaggerating her performance less.
I think 'exceeds expectations' is about how you performance against your job description. So, e.g., if you manage 3 people or projects but your job description says at your level you would be expected to manage 1-2 people or projects then you are exceeding expectations. Or if you have 10 weeks to do a piece of work but you complete it in 6 weeks (and the 10 weeks can be shown to be a realistic milestone) then you have exceeded expectations. It's not about the expectations of others (who know you are good at your job) or yourself (who will always judge yourself badly, until you start looking back at your performance in a year or so!) which are much more nebulous.