As requested earlier in the week, it’s the annual, ‘Will it snow at Christmas?’ thread! So with 2 weeks to go, according to the GFS model it’s looking like this….
Monday, 22nd December ~ mild in the south but chilly in the north/Scotland. Chance of snow over the Scottish hills.
Tuesday, 23rd ~ for the south, temperatures about average for the time of year with (possibly) a band of rain passing through. Chilly again for the north/Scotland and still a chance of snow over high ground.
Christmas Eve ~ cold but fairly quiet ~ no storms brewing….
Christmas Day ~ for the south ~ temperatures about average for the time of year but with the chance of rain. For the north/Scotland ~ chilly with the possibility of snow over the hills.
Boxing Day ~ dry and settled. Temperatures in the south about average but in the north/Scotland ~ cold, temperatures struggling a bit.
And thoughts from…Netweather
And yesterday's long-range forecast from the metoffice….
Tuesday 16th, December – Thursday 25th December
Unsettled at first with spells of rain affecting the UK at times. Some heavy rain is possible anywhere, but it is likely to be heaviest and most persistent in the west and northwest, with sheltered parts of the east and southeast typically drier. Any snow will probably be confined to high ground in the north. Strong winds are possible at times with a risk of gales, especially along coasts and over higher ground. Temperatures are likely to be above normal overall. Later in the period, conditions may start to become a little more settled, with rainfall amounts decreasing and drier weather becoming more prevalent, especially in the south. This may mean an increasing amount of overnight fog and frost.
Friday 26th, December – Friday, 9th January
High pressure will probably become more influential across the UK during this period. This means an increasing incidence of dry weather compared to the winter so far, especially in the south. Spells of rain and strong winds remain possible, there most likely in the north. Snow will probably be confined to higher ground in the north. Temperatures are expected to be close to normal.
So to summarise.... it’s looking mild for the south and chilly for the north in the runup to Christmas but settling down from Christmas Day onwards, with temperatures close to normal and any snow that falls, will be over northern/Scottish hills…..