Badkittens forecast for the coming week or so.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Ok.

Models I've looked at for this are GFS (incl ensembles, which I've chosen Oxfordshire as a base as its a goodish pick for central england) UKMO, ECMWF and NAE (for short term)

NAE (model goes to +48 hours)
Today shows snow in EA, north Wales and upwards at 18:00-00:00 it then thins the snow out to EA, nothern midlands (north England) and north east Scotland by morning through to the afternoon. It then shows precip petering out with just patches here and there. Worth noting how much it shows Northern Ireland getting by monday. Ice is going to be a massive problem for many over the next couple of days as max temps dont get above zero in many parts of England (away from the south and coastal areas) Wales and Scotland.

GFS: (model goes out to 9th April)
Shows a quieter picture next week in terms of precipitation (thank goodness as so many areas are beyond saturation). Signals are for precipitation to restart in earnest through the Easter weekend to about the 4th A fair bit of model agreement in the ensembles for this. Flooding quite possibly a problem again at Easter. Temps are cold throughout, perhaps a little warmer that the next few days but not looking like it will get beyond around 8C in the time period. Again ice will be a major short term problem for many.

UKMO (model goes out to 144 hours)
short term, EA has a lot of snow to come on this model tonight into tomorrow morning. It also shows a north-south precip divide with south of Lancashire(ish)/Yorkshire(ish) getting the precip tomorrow before it peters out. It then shows a relatively dry few days before thursday into Friday, where Good Friday may have difficult travel conditions. One to watch for sure!

ECMWF (model goes out to 240 hours)

similar to UKMO but then oh dear, on Good Friday a rather dodgy area of low pressure would bring the potential for widespread disruptive snow.

So, to summarise. All models in agreement for less precipitation after this weekend, but remaining cold. Ice a problem to start with and at night for many through the week. Towards the end of the week becoming unsettled again, with the chance for heavy rain or disruptive snow for Easter. No sign of Spring.

V. quickly there are still some hints in gfs of a warm up the second week of April.

Friday, the far south should be aware of the risk of snow.

more later, ran out of time this morning.

Here (on holiday) in Porthmadog, we reached 5c yesterday and it was quite warm in the sun and out of the wind. We've woken up this morning to a snow flurry - surprising really as we're right on the coast here.
I'll look forward to Spring starting that 2nd week of April!

Im am very glad to hear that the Gulf Stream is not disrupted. I watched The Day After Tomorrow.

Oh yes The Day After Tomorrow. A film firmly grounded in meteorological fact

I am easily led.

leesmum We have had light flurries on and off all day, but not enough to lie. Not Fair!

One of my favourite films

S.Herts
The sun peeped out for a second this afternoon to say hello and then disappeared just as quickly. Turned a bit shy, I think. Another dry day so far, and sun gone from the grass, but iced over on the bridge over canal.
Reached the dizzy heights of +2 degrees.

opps
snow gone from grass , not sun < still in shock from seeing it>

sun

It feels like the weather has been switched off here to leave precisely nothing. Grey, 1C, and dry. Its as though someone forgot to programme anything in for us.

I have just been looking at the forecast for next week. Apart from the obvious factor of extreme cold, it doesn't look too bad. Dry at least anyway.

Except in SW Cornwall where it looks like we'll be the sole area of the country lashed by a nonstop easterly gale. Bah. Even high pressures bring strong wind. Unimpressed I am

I'm in Newquay for a fortnight from Friday. I am ignoring the weather now

Oh Newquay will be fine I expect. Different coast.

Cold though.....

Looking very much drier on the GFS enembles now for the vast majority as Hester says. Cold though.

Yeah Manky we has a covering this morning but disappeared my midday, had flakes on and off all day, some great big chunks too and an icy wind, am wrapping up to venture to shops its my wedding anniversary today and I forgot!! Dh bought me some lovely pressies and I felt well tight....gonna have to get some snide wine from corner shop :)

I walked our dog on the water meadows and did some gardening. Snow all gone in Stamford,Lincolnshire.

Snow in Manchester? Where? Not in Trafford thats for sure.

I've been working outside all day today and it felt warmer than yesterday,still bitter but the wind had dropped and we saw the sun.I'm feeling more positive as my field appears to be drying up nicely and there is no rain or snow forecast.

The dds are going to a Pony Club bunnyhunt and picnic on Saturday,so hope it stays dry for that,they've been looking forward to it since last year.

I'm going to be out on the water for four hours tomorrow. I think I will have to wear everything I own.

Good we like dry. Rather it was a bit warmer, but given the last few days and the way the forecast was I will stick with dry and cold.

Me too. But am getting fed up wearing my eskimo outfit everyday walking little dog .

Is it you who lives in Germany, digerd or am I thinking of someone else?

Woken to a slight dusting of snow this morning, with more drifting down. It's not heavy so it wont last, but its enough to make the view look decidedly wintry.

Hester
I used to live in Germany, but now back in S.Herts.

Had -1 in the night here, and woke all bright eyed and bushy-tailed for a change this morning and found the sun shining. Looks spring-like today.

ps
And the doves are cooing again!