Could it be that the producers have listened to the complaints that when they do have a vote they always leave it to the islanders to make the final choice? Your vote at best will put someone 'at risk'. Pointless.
As to who might win - currently we're looking at least worst options. I'm hoping for a post-movie night dramatic split and a recoupling with a bombshell to win.
Just a word on Tom - I'm in the 'he's very good looking' camp. But I'd add that one of the most attractive things about him is that he's a man amongst boys. Yes, he's displayed some laddish behaviour but somehow his innate confidence sets him apart.