Now that the paper and solutions are out, we can discuss more freely.
@user149799568
Somehow I missed your post.
This paper takes substantially longer to complete than most of the other recent ones. Children at the top end who were already time pressured will probably have addressed 4-5 fewer questions than in the last two papers.
Yes. My DD left 6 unanswered.
The first couple of "gimme" problems were no more difficult but were more tedious (took longer to do) than in recent papers.
And that is very time-consuming, which will affect their ability to handle the subsequent problems.
Question 6 felt out of place. Problems involving combinatorics (listing all possibilities) rarely appeared before Question 16 in past papers.
Similarly with Question 7. Problems involving number theory (primes, parity), were rarely before Question 16 and usually after Question 21. Same with Question 11, although I thought Question 11 would have been easier than Question 7 for most children.
Parity appears twice, in Q7 and Q11, while calculating the overlap appears three times: in Q14, Q23, and Q24. It isn't ideal for the same theme to appear more than once in a single paper.
That said, none of the individual problems were more difficult than any that had appeared in other recent papers.It's just that there were more of the more difficult ones than in other recent papers, e.g., Question 21 could have been a Question 24 or 25.
I agree. I believe my DD could solve most of them if given a reasonable amount of time. It is the way the paper is organized that lowers actual performance. It is supposed to be 15 easy questions followed by 10 hard ones, but now, 10 of those "easy" questions have become hard ones. Next time I would recommend reducing the total number of questions to 20—perhaps 5 easy and 15 hard ones.
My guess is that the Gold boundary will be around 75, Kangaroo around 85, and the JMO qualifying score will be around 105.
My estimate is probably 10 points less than your estimate.