If your little one is on Bute House waitlist for reception, how would you form your expectation ?
- 24 places on main list
- 6 places on waitlist, don't know the rank
- assume uniform distribution, base case [3,4], worst case [5,6]
- 16% and 25% drop rate to reach the reserved spot, respectively
Given it is by ballot and presumably some people register without much thoughts (logistics etc), is it fair to assume its historical drop rate to be relatively high? However, the offer will be formally made in May and deposit must be paid then, prior to other prep assessments at end of year, so presumably some families will secure the offer first.
What do you think.