Falling risk of mc?

[ejclementine]

Hi, I've heard that as each passing week goes the risk of mc falls. I'm 6 weeks today and wondered what the % of risk is (if that makes sense?). Does anyone know?

there are some numbers here: sites.google.com/site/miscarriageresearch/miscarriage-general

Taken from the Miscarriage Association website.

Research has shown that if you see a heartbeat at 6 weeks of pregnancy, the chances of the pregnancy continuing are 78%.

A heartbeat at 8 weeks increases the chance of a continuing pregnancy to 98% and at 10 weeks that goes up to 99.4%.

I have been trying to look into this too. It's difficult because a lot of the statistics I've found are based on early scans when a heartbeat is detected. From what I can work out, and based also on what my dr said, I think at around 6 weeks the risk is 20% but then falls to around 10% by 8 weeks. That must seem high for you at the moment but please try not to worry. At 9+4 with my first I'm still worrying, I don't think it will go away, but I'm trying to keep calm as the days pass.

Thank you everyone. I'm planning to have an 8 week scan and I'd like to tell my family afterwards if all is well. I took a positive test two weeks ago and so far it feels like the longest two weeks of my life! Haha

I saw this yesterday!!!

Mrs Fazruns,

I've read the papers that that website apparently bases its data on - I'm not sure how the author of those figures could have come up with them as the studies weren't collecting that data as far as I could tell. I saw that too and was initially pleasantly cheered up, but I'd take them with a pinch of salt. I could be wrong, but what I read was enough to leave me sceptical.

The first few weeks are really scary when you find yourself thinking about it. But even at 20% of mc at 6 weeks - if someone told you that you had an 80% chance of winning the lottery, how quickly would you buy that ticket?!

Congratulations on your pregnancy and lots of luck with the 8 week scan! If you are in london everyone will recommend the fetal medicine centre on Harley street - I like it because they donate profits to charity