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Politics

Exit poll in 5 minutes

28 replies

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 21:56

!!!

OP posts:
herbietea · 06/05/2010 21:57

This reply has been deleted

Message withdrawn

gleegeekgleek · 06/05/2010 21:59

I'm feeling far more excited than I thought I would be about this.....2 mins to go?

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 21:59

1 minute!

OP posts:
twinkerbell · 06/05/2010 21:59

exciting

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 22:00

307/255/59

WHAT?????

OP posts:
maristella · 06/05/2010 22:00

oh heck, i've got a bad feeling about this....

SparklyGothKat · 06/05/2010 22:01

Hung parliment...

DuelingFanjo · 06/05/2010 22:01

what?

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 22:02

That has the Lib Dems losing seats, and Labour losing hardly any.

What nonsense.

OP posts:
Ingles2 · 06/05/2010 22:03

That can't be right... can it?

twinkerbell · 06/05/2010 22:03

huh?
thats not right

DuelingFanjo · 06/05/2010 22:04

scared about how many the BNP might get

twinkerbell · 06/05/2010 22:05

not what I expected AT ALL!!

CMOTdibbler · 06/05/2010 22:05

Personally, I always lie, or refuse to talk to anyone outside the polling station, so I never trust the exit polls

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 22:05

This exit poll is crap. Ignore it.

OP posts:
lollyheart · 06/05/2010 22:07

Please can someone tell me what exit poll means

longfingernailspaintedblue · 06/05/2010 22:09

lollyheart

During the day a professional polling company stands outside 130 polling stations, asking every 10th voter or so how they voted.

The total sample is about 16000 I think.

OP posts:
lollyheart · 06/05/2010 22:11

thank you

TheCrackFox · 06/05/2010 22:13

They never ask me.

Stretch · 06/05/2010 22:14

So where is the official election night thread then?

Excited!!!

cazzybabs · 06/05/2010 22:21

yes.. but the exit pole seems to be consistent with the poles earlier in the week... conservatives in a minority gov with lib dems not getting as many seats as they hoped for after the 1st TV debate ...

but it is all a lot of guess until the final vote has been counted.

no exit poles at my poling station nor texts from David ... but I did get a personalisd letter from the lib dems

cazzybabs · 06/05/2010 22:21

oh deal polls / poles .... tired brain

veselaliberalka · 06/05/2010 22:41

The sample is huge, but the sample of polling stations is tiny... what's the point of interviewing 17000 people if you're only going to do it from 130 polling stations?

A polling station could be really good or bad for a particular party even within a relatively balanced constituency, so how do they weight their choice of polling stations accurately? It can't take proper account of marginals at all. I reckon the most accurate poll was whatever that final one of the marginals was...

snowlady · 06/05/2010 22:44

I hope to goodness its wrong.

Portofino · 06/05/2010 22:45

It's dead exciting but I need to go to bed!

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