Will there be a General Election before 2027?

[EEexpat]

As polls have tipped slightly in favour of Labour, will Andy Burnham call a general election before 2027? Kemi Badenoch thinks he might.

And Labour will lose a lot to reform.

Why? It might be wishful thinking but Reform appears to have peaked and tactical voting for “anyone but Reform” will be on steroids.

Not sure. I was a remainer to the core but the thought of going through wrangling plus the euro issue isn’t looking that enticing.

Although with the performances of Truss and Reeves in recent years putting key parts of our economic policy into the hands of the ECB would be quite appealing!

It seems he’s ruled it out just now, again. So those who don’t have the appetite for political overload etc for a while can rest easy.

And Starmer and Kwarteng, don't forget the men, it wasn't all on the women.

I hold Truss and Starmer responsible, they were the boss.

I don't think that there will be. People were not voting Labour last time, they were voting against the Tories. Now Labour are in and are (so far) pretty terrible , I don't think they will vote the same way. Not unless there are some pretty extraordinary developments. I think there will be some kind of coalition I think if there was a vote now.

Burnham said today that there will not be. Thank god for that.

Yeah I knew he’d not take the risk too chicken shit. Too high a risk the public would boot them out. So not thank god for me,

So, Burnham has answered the original question for us.

My initial thoughts are that it’s the correct decision. However, if there a tax increases in the next budget, he might have to reconsider.

I'm the same. Not sure I'd vote to rejoin in a second referendum now.

I also think it’s the right decision. I’m glad he’s made a definite announcement. I hope it’ll mean we get a brief period at least with a bit more stability and some more thoughtful, pragmatic policy making rather than the more populist, knee jerk stuff you get in the run up to an election (from all parties TBF).

Freedom of movement? No, thanks.

He doesn’t ever have to reconsider, he will cling on.

So, Burnham has answered the original question for us.

And we believe him. Because politicians are always honest and never u-turn.

But I'm happy if he sticks with this. Less than 3 years to wait then

I think people wouldn't welcome the alternative anyway. Who wants big business supporting con artists in the top job, funded by billionaires?

Calling a GE at the end of a five year term isn’t “clinging on”. It’s politics as it should be.

I’d be okay if it was not possible to call a general election within four years of being elected. Changing direction at regular short intervals is more likely to hinder, as opposed to improve, progress.

Certainly not, given the speech he has just made and all the things he wants to change. Most of these will have to put before the country and they need a lot of planning.
A change to the electoral system will take a while to be ready to put before Parliament. Unlikely they will adopt the system used in Wales. Changes to the welfare system will take a year or two to finalise.
He needs time.

To be fair, it isn't entirely without precedent that a PM with a majority calls a snap election and loses the majority but I don't think Burnham is one of those.

I don't necessarily agree that he needs to put all his changes before the country. I guess it depends whether he wants / thinks he can win the next election. Whether he should or not is a different discussion.

He has until Christmas-ish to survive and possibly plan for big change.

If the bond markets and currency traders savage his government by then he won’t have any future, or time.

If - against the odds - he gets in again as PM after a GE, whenever it comes, and has the parliamentary backing (unlikely) his government will be “in hock” to the bond markets.

Burnham is trying to carve a legacy from promises and sentimentality, not reality.

@HappiestSleeping
I don't necessarily agree that he needs to put all his changes before the country. I guess it depends whether he wants / thinks he can win the next election. Whether he should or not is a different discussion.
Starmer was stopped by backbenchers of his own party from making some changes to welfare. AB needs to go into the next Parliament with a Manifesto that no 'awkward squad' can't de-rail.

There won’t be an awkward squad. The PLP knows they’re in last chance saloon and Burnham is a far better bet as leader than Starmer was. As for the markets, our economy is the fastest growing in the G7.

We are under pressure from the bond markets because we owe so much and are so heavily taxed just to keep up repayments on present borrowing. To borrow more for education/apprenticeships as well as Social Care we will have to borrow more. The markets will charge us more than at the moment. Partly because interest rates are going up in USA as well. (Trumps wars). It is an international market.

Nope.