Wormald says full lockdown might have avoided if voluntary stay-at-home order had been issued earlier
Keith is now talking about the national lockdown ordered on 23 March.
Q: In your statement you say the voluntary NPIs of 16 March (the stay at home order) was not enough. You accept that if voluntary NPIs had been introduced earlier it is “possible” they may have worked, and a lockdown may have been necessary?
Wormald says they don’t know, and will never know, what impact that might have had, because that regime was only in place for a week.
He says there is some evidence the wave was “beginning to turn” after the 16 March measures were announced. People were also witnessing lockdowns in Europe. But some people were not complying.
Q: But you accept that lockdown might have been avoided?
“That is certainly a possibility,” he says.
He goes on:
With hindsight we were at least a week late with all the NPI decisions.
He says he is referring to the measures announced on 12 March (the instruction that people with symptoms should stay at home for seven days), on 16 March (the stay at home order) and on 23 March (the legally enforced lockdown).
He says he supported the timing decisions at the time, but with hindsight he thinks the government should have acted earlier.