at Moose.
I did this yesterday and it helped me clarify things, so I'll redo the list of potential likely outcomes excluding ones which appear to have now been ruled out.
- Hijack by Uighur militants/disaffected Malaysian opposition protesters/unannounced others - passengers who broke into the cabin and flight crew killed/disabled by them
- One or more of flight crew part of the conspiracy of hijack
Outcomes of either 1 or 2
a) land on land somewhere with or without pilot/flight crew in on it, Inmarsat link still pinging away (highly unlikely IMO); or...
b) pilot not involved but ditched the plane before it would be used for some other nefarious act; or...
c) it was botched and the plane crashed (by far the most likely outcome afaik)
I think we have ruled out
- catastrophic failure of the aircraft due to mechanical failure
- stealing the aircraft for GOLD! or some other exciting cargo
In the unlikely but not impossible camp (but would need one hell of a lot of explaining):
- cargo causing fire and then plane failure.
For anyone just reading this thread for the first time - no, it's not suspicious that people on board couldn't contact loved ones via phone or text - plane was out of reach of mobile signal, if you want more info, read back some.