nennypops asks:
"So with 58,000 children in foster care or children's homes etc, against under 4000 placements, you have to wonder why on earth councils would actually need to go to all the trouble JH imagines to take more children into care. Especially when they are harder to place such as mixed race children."
You need to look at the figures in more details. Basically you need to look at the flows in and out of care. (which is what the spreadsheet I linked to just does).
Some of the children in care are teenagers that there parents cannot handle and are placed into care under S20. Those are not children one would expect to leave care through adoption.
Similarly there are older children for whom adoption really is not a sensible option. Also there are younger children placed in care respite reasons whilst say a single parent is ill. Again this should not be considered as a target for adoption.
The flow figure of children compulsorily taken into care (of all ages)
These are the figures as at 31st March 2013 looking into the legal basis upon which children are in care:
All children looked after at 31 March 68,110
Care Orders 40,180
Interim care orders 11,540
Full care orders 28,640
Freed for adoption4 150
Placement Order granted5 9,240
Voluntary agreements under S20 CA 1989 18,190
(single placements)
Detained for child protection 30
Police protection 10
Emergency protection orders 20
Under Child Assessment Order x
Youth Justice legal statuses 320
On remand or committed for trial6 310
Detained under PACE7 x
Supervision order 10
Here are the age analyses
Age at 31 March (years) 68,110
Under 1 4,310
1 to 4 12,360
5 to 9 13,260
10 to 15 24,450
16 and over 13,730
However, it is as a proportion of the flows in and out of care that are the key statistical comparisons.
For children under 5 in the year to 31st March 2012 (they have not done the 2013 figures).
5,800 children left care. 2,300 were adopted, 500 had a residency order and 870 had an SGO. These are the categories that fell into the "adoption target" as it was defined for 2007 and 2008. ie 3670/5800 hit the target ie 63%.
That actually is a really high number of the potential candidates.