alreadytaken, on one level I don't disagree. However I see this as as one symptom of a much bigger issue which will play itself out during much of our DCs early careers.
Put simply, the country cannot afford the health service we want. However this is probably true of every country on the planet.
So any Government will need to either:
- devote more resources, cutting elsewhere, or
- find savings and efficiencies.
Political parties may offer variations on the first, but no one will be able to offer enough. The second needs to be tackled. "Cracking down" on patients (charging for missed appointments, limiting care to smokers and the obese) is politically difficult. A fair amount seems to have been done, at least from recent observation, to improve administration/cleanliness and other non medical issues. So the next step is to squeeze more out of staff. It does not seem right, but it is politically easier. I don't have access to numbers but suspect that with all the overseas training opportunities there is currently no shortage of junior doctors wanting to work in the NHS. The problem might be retention and/or getting doctors to work in some parts of the country or in some specialisms.
I don't think the American system works as the bogeyman, in the same way that American health providers using the NHS in the same way, works. Instead there will be a slow chipping away, as has already happened with dentistry. Students enterering medicine need to expect that the NHS as we know it now won't exist in 20 years. There will still be demand for good doctors and those who want to care for patients ought to ebe able to carve out a satisfying career. But it wont be smooth and they should expect a lot of hard work, poor morale and at times a sense of exploitation. So the important thing is for the student to be sure that this is what they want to do. To join the medical profession at this stage because your parents want you to (surprisingly common in our experience) is a sure fire way to frustration.
A lot of this comes from our dentist, a family friend, who went through similar changes when he was starting out in his career. His clear message was to think hard.
Molio is right, certainly in terms of other London professions (law, banking, estate agency). New graduates are often cannon fodder and expected to work all hours.
Then for everyone (bus drivers as well as doctors) London is a problem. I don't see an immediate solution, though can envisage a time when a GPs appointment is a Skype call to India, coupled with a few diagnositc apps on your smartphone. Plus the onward expansion of London into the greater South East.
So much for predictions. The important one right now is when that PS will finally be complete.