The worst of it, will be to realise that the past 10 weeks have been for fuck all for the UK. It may have saved a few lives, which sounds great on paper. But if it's only saved them to experience the horror of the next pandemic, it's a questionable gain.
Meanwhile, the haphazard, confusing, contradictory, science-lite approach of the UK has left very little that could be reliably counted upon to inform our response for the aforementioned Next One. It's the epitome of Level 1 in the Capability Maturity Model, for management nerds...
There are five levels defined along the continuum of the model and, according to the SEI: "Predictability, effectiveness, and control of an organization's software processes are believed to improve as the organization moves up these five levels. While not rigorous, the empirical evidence to date supports this belief".
<span class="italic">Initial (chaotic, ad hoc, individual heroics) - the starting point for use of a new or undocumented repeat process.</span>
<span class="italic">Repeatable - the process is at least documented sufficiently such that repeating the same steps may be attempted.</span>
<span class="italic">Defined - the process is defined/confirmed as a standard business process</span>
<span class="italic">Capable - the process is quantitatively managed in accordance with agreed-upon metrics.</span>
<span class="italic">Efficient - process management includes deliberate process optimization/improvement.</span>