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Brexit

Westminstenders: The Tory Party Spectacular

985 replies

RedToothBrush · 27/09/2019 17:41

A row over parliamentary language and conduct and how MPs are afraid of extremists has over shadowed talk of Brexit.

Cummings has said if you don't want to leave without a deal, vote for a deal.

Yet there isn't a Johnson approved one in front of the Commons and the EU are utterly despairing of Johnson's blank non papers and his full on Trump bullshit.

Then there's the threats to the rule of law.

Apparently there are five known suggestions to bypass the Benn Act and refuse to ask for an extension.
See Twitter Thread Here

This weekend sees the start of the Tory Party Conference. With a parliamentary vote to block a recess, its rather scuppered plans for the rest of the conference. Johnson's planned speech at the conference clashes with PMQ so he may well not attend the Commons.

Expect the conference to be.... Er... Inflammatory...

OP posts:
Thread gallery
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SwedishEdith · 28/09/2019 01:00

Was this posted?

Dominic Cummings: The Machiavel in Downing Street

www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2019/09/dominic-cummings-machiavel-downing-street

JustAnotherPoster00 · 28/09/2019 05:20

Frances Ryan
@DrFrancesRyan
·
6h
BIG NEWS. Universal Credit will be scrapped under a Labour government, party announced tonight.
Frances Ryan
@DrFrancesRyan
·
6h
I’ll be writing about this in my Guardian column on Sunday/Monday but in short: Labour have not announced what would replace UC but have committed to scrapping the system whilst introducing ‘interim steps’ like removing the rape clause and reducing the 5 week delay.
Frances Ryan
@DrFrancesRyan
·
6h
This is a hugely ambitious move, marking a transformation of the social security system. It’s not without risk - experts are torn on how best to help families on UC - but it’s a real sign of Labour’s agenda to fundamentally fix the Tory ‘welfare’ horror.

mathanxiety · 28/09/2019 05:46

kingsassassin Fri 27-Sep-19 19:25:55
It's probably worth flagging up that when classic Dom was in Russia, it was full Yeltsin

YYY to this. I think this is incredibly important because of what it portends for the UK.

Interesting to note that Ireland's own Declan Ganley (currently a big defence contractor in the US but former sponsor of the Irish No vote to the Lisbon Treaty) also cut his teeth in business in Russia during the Yeltsin years.

Some very interesting perspectives on what happened in Russia during the Yeltsin years here:
www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/yeltsin/policy/policy.html

I find this comment very convincing -
It became apparent, at least to me, fairly early onand, you know, this is by simply following the Russian principle, that many Russians were reporting, that what was supposed to be going on, which was an empowerment of the average person, bringing him into a market system, making him a stakeholder, et ceterawas not going on at all, but [that] there was really kind of a large-scale heist going on of the former Soviet economy. And a lot of people were talking about that, fairly early on in the process here, but there was sort of cognitive dissonance about it in the West

What I remember of coverage of this period in American media was breathless reports of the lines of people waiting to get into the Moscow McDonalds, and nauseating backslapping in the American media about democracy, as if the two were in some way linked.

The narrative that business interests and the interests of democracy have self explanatory and indissoluble links is one that accounts for the most of the deeply embedded problems of the US, including the appeal of Donald Trump. It's one that has also found fertile ground in the UK. It's important to ask who and what benefits most from this narrative, and who and what loses.

Along with the glib lie there was lots of head-shaking about older Russians selling their war medals to tourists too, and no attempt to conceal the gloating.

I disagree with Albats - the reason Russia didn't descend into civil war was the strength and deep conservatism of the institutions of the Russian Communist system (yes, the armed forces and KGB among them) along with the massive distaste of the Russian people for mayhem and preference for order and stability (aka deeply held conservative instincts) born of bloody and bitter experience. Revolution and civil war and the destruction of what we know as 'society' are not the fun and profitable sport for the masses that they are for the Tories and Jacob Rees-Mogg and his ilk.

The American prism fails - refuses, actually, for many important reasons - to frame what happens outside of America (and especially what happens inside America) from any pov that is not in accord with the Fourth Grade level of historical analysis that can be summed up as 'the march of democracy/ funny how it all works out in the end and we are all better people for getting past what we put other people through'. This simplistic analytical approach fails to address the multitudes of institutional issues in the US and completely misrepresents almost everything that happens abroad. It's the opium of the people.

So instead of appreciation for and careful analysis of the fact that the collapse of the USSR (and with it the imperial and communist dream, the loss of global prestige and power and the wholesale economic collapse along with the collapse of public morals) did not result in total political disintegration and the creation of a dangerous political vacuum, you get this pious word porridge:
In other words, Russia has had an authoritarian system of governance for centuries. It had the experience with Soviet style communism for seven decades prior to this. It makes it very difficult for the kinds of things one would hope to see happen.

I agree with Janine Wedel:
However, what was, I think, not understandable and not excusable was the sheer arrogance and the hubris with which many of these advisors entered the scene and said we have the answers. We know what to do. And they came with their cliches and tried to sell people on both sides of the Atlantic on these cliches and on the idea that they had the answers.

E. Wayne Merry comes right up to the truth and then fails to see it:
American policy has always declared that what we wanted to see in Russia and in the other countries of the Soviet Union was the growth of democracy, civil society, rule of law, and, the growth of a market economy, free enterprise, capitalism. There's always been a problem in understanding that those two things don't necessarily go hand in hand. In some cases you may have to choose one or the other.

And I think what did happen is that by force of circumstance, the U.S. government was forced to choose. And we chose the economic over the political. We chose the freeing of prices, privatization of industry, and the creation of a really unfettered, unregulated capitalism, and essentially hoped that rule of law, civil society, and representative democracy would develop somehow automatically as a result of that.
I disagree with 'force of circumstance'.
It was greed on the part of American big business that inspired the approach.

I mean, part of this was an ideological view - very prevalent in Washington, in both the Bush and Clinton administrations - that capitalism brings democracy as an inevitable consequence. And this is really an ideological belief, not a tested demonstrable theory applicable to a place like post-Soviet Russia.
Two words - 'Raw' and 'Materials'.

...

Q "And you've said that we push policies that essentially said 'greed is good?"

This is an important insight though:
I think our attitude was that what Russia really needed in its culture was the idea of greed. That the Soviet Communist egalitarian leveling approach had been so deadening to enterprise, so deadening to individual initiative that there was a view that a little greed would be a very healthy thing in Russia.

I think what many of these people did not understand was that greed had been part and parcel of the Soviet Communist system. It had simply operated under-the-counter. Nobody got along according to the rules in the Soviet Union, and that in fact the basis for a very large-scale organized crime existed well back in the Soviet period and began to flourish enormously during perestroika, and once all the controls were off within the end of the Soviet Union, these criminal gangs and many of their new associates in business suits had the ability to rob what is still an enormously rich country and make fantastic sums of money.

I don't think that in post-Soviet Russia the real problem was a lack of greed. The problem was a lack of genuine law, because in the Soviet period, what passed for law, what passed for legality, what passed for law enforcement, were so discredited in the minds of the Russian people - and quite legitimately discredited - that what was really needed in the post-Soviet Russia was a new culture of law, a new culture of civic society, not a culture of greed
And the lack of a robust culture of law suited US business interests very well.

Q "What if anything did our policies have to do with creating the oligarchs?"

I think our policies had a great deal to do with creating the oligarchs. I know there has been more recent tendency by the spokesmen from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and from the U.S. Treasury to claim that this was really all things Russia did to itself. But in the early post-Soviet era, Washington - both through the IMF and U.S. Treasury - played an enormous role in determining what kinds of economic policies would be created, what kind of winners and losers there would be.

Some of the people who later came to be called the oligarchs were among the most favored private businessmen in terms of doing all kinds of contractual relationships and in having the kind of political access that made it possible for them to create these enormous financial institutions and engage in all kinds of nefarious economic and political activities. The idea that we in the West, we Americans, or the international financial institutions, or some of the big European financial institutions, have clean hands in this matter, I think is simply wrong.

Lilia Shevtsova:
I think the West surrendered its own identity and in effect gave up the rules of its own game when it worked with Russia. For some reason, when it worked in Poland and Hungary, the West supported parliaments, referendums, and all the democratic institutions. But in Russia, they accepted a czar. The reforms could be carried out in a very demanding way, with the help of the oligarchs. It's what I call a political double standard. Essentially, the entire policy of the West was based on a lack of belief that the Russian people would understand and accept liberal democracy as its own. That's why it decided to hit it over the head, to put a czar above the people, and to work through a very small group of technocrats
Shevtsova forgets that the difference between Russia and Hungary/Poland was the fact that Russia has massive wealth in raw materials that western business wanted to get its hands on and needed friendly natives to help achieve that.

I agree with the gist of Donald Jensen's and Thomas Graham's comments.

This period of Russian and American history is incredibly important and needs to be studied as a signpost for what is to come in the UK and also in Europe if the EU is weakened.

Sostenueto · 28/09/2019 06:29

PMK

Rhubarbisevil · 28/09/2019 06:54

We’re doomed.

LizzieSiddal · 28/09/2019 07:20

Oh poor BJ, he’s being investigated into whether he should be investigated Hmm

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-4985932

lonelyplanetmum · 28/09/2019 07:33

I want a website to click on hourly where I can see how much taxpayers' money is being spent on Brexit including legal fees minute by minute.

Some of the current cases are against the PM personally - like the Ball misfeasance case so shouldn't Mr Johnson be paying those lawyers from his own account?

Also regarding the new case about Johnson's repeated assertions of refusal to comply with the Benn Act and seek an extension.. This Scottish case is interesting:
“The inner house of the court of session has a special and versatile jurisdiction – its nobile officium – which it can use to, in effect, per procurationem or ‘pp’ any letter that the prime minister refuses to send,”

It seems right doesn't it that devolved Parliaments can force compliance with the rule of law. If Scotland was being rogue and refusing to honour Acts of Parliament we'd be down on them like a ton of bricks. So the reverse must apply.

I'm a bit worried it's a home party political goal though. It absolves Johnson of responsibility. He can say I didn't ask the EU for an extension Scotland did. In which case funds shouldn't be spent defending the case the gov could just refuse to participate and get a ruling against them by default iyswim.

lonelyplanetmum · 28/09/2019 07:34

I want a website to click on hourly where I can see how much taxpayers' money is being spent on Brexit including legal fees minute by minute.

Some of the current cases are against the PM personally - like the Ball misfeasance case so shouldn't Mr Johnson be paying those lawyers from his own account?

Also regarding the new case about Johnson's repeated assertions of refusal to comply with the Benn Act and seek an extension.. This Scottish case is interesting:
“The inner house of the court of session has a special and versatile jurisdiction – its nobile officium – which it can use to, in effect, per procurationem or ‘pp’ any letter that the prime minister refuses to send,”

It seems right doesn't it that devolved Parliaments can force compliance with the rule of law. If Scotland was being rogue and refusing to honour Acts of Parliament we'd be down on them like a ton of bricks. So the reverse must apply.

I'm a bit worried it's a home party political goal though. It absolves Johnson of responsibility. He can say I didn't ask the EU for an extension Scotland did. In which case funds shouldn't be spent defending the case the gov could just refuse to participate and get a ruling against them by default iyswim.

lonelyplanetmum · 28/09/2019 07:36

Sorry don't know why that happened...hope my thought at the end about a home goal for Scotland was worth repeating.

The new case is obviously beneficial if it gets an extension but do think it absolves Johnson of responsibility?

DGRossetti · 28/09/2019 07:40

Also regarding the new case about Johnson's repeated assertions of refusal to comply with the Benn Act and seek an extension.. This Scottish case is interesting: “The inner house of the court of session has a special and versatile jurisdiction – its nobile officium – which it can use to, in effect, per procurationem or ‘pp’ any letter that the prime minister refuses to send,”

There's a certain delicious irony that Brexiteers disregard for Scotland and it's take on Brexit may yet scupper them.

RHTawneyonabus · 28/09/2019 07:45

Thing is if we get the extension then what? No one can agree on anything, no one has a plan. We are no further forward.

It’s horrible I never want to leave but if I was an mp I’d jump at the opportunity of the WA now.

lonelyplanetmum · 28/09/2019 07:50

There will be weeks of advice being sought and leading barristers opinions being given before the case is started. Presumably Johnson was tipped off with advice some time ago that Scotland or Parliament would take control of sending the letter? So perhaps that's why he has been so cavalier and able to gain the political advantage of pontificating that he wouldn't seek the extension.

Feel so sorry for the judges being centre stage once more though.

JustAnotherPoster00 · 28/09/2019 07:51

Jeremy Corbyn due to announce proposals at rally in Chingford and Woodford Green constituency

Got to love anyone who trolls Iain Dunked-In Shit Grin

NoWordForFluffy · 28/09/2019 07:51

It’s horrible I never want to leave but if I was an mp I’d jump at the opportunity of the WA now.

I've a feeling BoZo is hoping the Kinnock amendment sorts everything out for him in this regard.

He can't get another deal; his hands are tied (if he chooses to comply with the law) regarding requesting an extension, but the WA has to be put before MPs again due to Kinnock.

He won't have done anything, but there will be a deal and we will have left. I'm pretty sure an amendment could be added to the WA vote to confirm that all linked legislation has to be passed by 31 Oct in some way.

Random18 · 28/09/2019 07:55

DGR being a Scot I am of course proud of the Scottish legal system and I think the Scottish Government and especially Joanna Cherry are doing all the right things.

But as a Scot living in England in a leave voting area I am slightly nervous about when the right wing media turn against the Scots.

We already have the Govt using them to threaten violence.

So I don't think I am being unreasonable to be nervous.

lonelyplanetmum · 28/09/2019 07:57

It’s horrible I never want to leave but if I was an mp I’d jump at the opportunity of the WA now.

Yes ironically it was May's strategy to keep representing in so far as the rules permit, and wear MPs down into voting for it. It has just taken longer to wear them down..

frumpety · 28/09/2019 08:06

Going back to that Jim Cornelius tweet, a little bird has told me that some elements of Bonfire proceedings in Lewes, are going to be more controversial than usual this year. They must really be upping the ante if that's the case though.

InMySpareTime · 28/09/2019 08:09

Can the WA be presented again?
It's the same parliamentary session, and didn't Bercow forbid it last time (hence the WAB fudge).

NoWordForFluffy · 28/09/2019 08:12

Yep, because it's been legislated (by default / fuck up) that the WA has to be put forward again. That's the loophole.

Peregrina · 28/09/2019 08:29

No one can agree on anything, no one has a plan. We are no further forward.

Get rid of Johnson for a caretaker PM. Get a decent extension; charge both sides to make realistic plans of what they want in future - not just a few scrappy sheets of A4. Remainers - plans of how to mend fences and sell the benefits of the EU.

Mistigri · 28/09/2019 08:30

I was going to post this as a follow up to yesterday's discussion about a "march for a deal" but it's relevant to today's discussion too.

@rolandmcs on twitter (Leave voter, worked on the leave campaign)

"Why would Remainers vote for the Deal in order to satisfy the referendum vote when Leavers are shouting that it doesn't satisfy the referendum vote?"

Voting for a deal does not solve anything, because the moment it is supported by remain, it becomes capitulation/surrender. By using such loaded language, Brexiters increase the chance of no Brexit.

NoWordForFluffy · 28/09/2019 08:34

I'm been mulling over the GNU thing. What if the opposition parties actually do have a plan, but intend to bring it to fruition next week when BoZo is elsewhere? Somebody said that they could potentially be sneaky on the Weds when he's addressing the conference.

Is there anyway they could get Bercow to not only get a VoNC in, but also the vote for the majority GNU, before BoZo could even get back from the conference? I know things normally seem to be slotted into the end of the day's business, but given the circs (and just how fucking hilarious it would be for almost everyone), might Bercow just get it done first.

Red, was 2-2.5 hours your best travel time estimate?

Peregrina · 28/09/2019 08:34

Going back to that Jim Cornelius tweet, a little bird has told me that some elements of Bonfire proceedings in Lewes, are going to be more controversial than usual this year.

Which effigies are going to get burnt though? Is it going to be a Leave fest with Judges, or the other side with Johnson?

I would love the delicious ironing if we had a GE on 5th November.

NoWordForFluffy · 28/09/2019 08:41

A Tuesday GE?! That's my birthday too, so hopefully I'd get a nice present with the result!

Doublemint · 28/09/2019 08:52

My first placemark on a brexit thread. Have been following with interest- alas I have no cats! Are chickens allowed?

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