Joe Murphy @ joemurphylondon
POLL of LONDON
Lab - 51% (down from 54 in February),
Con - 29 (+1)
Lib Dem 11 (nc)
Greens 4 (nc)
Ukip 2 (f*ed)
Stunning study by @yougov for @philipjcowley and @QMUL**
exclusively in tonight's @EveningStandard
Big Story: Labour set to fall short of wiunning Wandsworth & Westminster
Labour are miles ahead .... but note the fallback in Inner London
INNER LONDON:
Labour 59 (down 8 from Feb)
Cons 22 (up 5)
That's likely to cost them the two big prizes, says @philipjcowley at @QMUL**
Labour should win Barnet - a big win if that happens - and it would be the first time it turns red since Maggie Thatcher's old borough was created in 1964.
h/t @philipjcowley
Here's a figure to horrify and depress decent Tories:
Only 13 per cent of Black and Minority Ethnic Londoners say they will vote Conservative next Thursday.
75% of black Londoners will back Labour.
That's a long term disaster, don't you agree @philipjcowley of @QMUL**
Obvious question, but was that dramatic Labour fall-back in Inner London connected with @jeremycorbyn 's perceived failure to stop anti-Semitism?
If so it may have cost Labour the top scalps in their sights: Wandsworth & Westminster .....
..... and another thing.
Several Tory MPs told me privately that the London results will decide whether they send a letter to the 1922 Chairman.
So the Labour fall-back, reprieving totemic Wandsworth, may have averted a Tory leadership crisis.
Labour needs to hold an inquest
Here's our exclusive story, under the headline "Tories trail Labour by huge 22-point gap in London, polls shows"
Credit to @qmul & @philipjcowley
www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/may-local-elections-tories-trail-labour-by-22-points-in-london-but-theresa-may-could-cling-on-in-a3824271.html?amp&__twitter_impression=true
May local election polls: Tories trail Labour by 22 points in London
But exclusive poll shows Theresa May could cling on in Wandsworth and Westminster