From yesterday:
Andrew Lilico**@andrew**_lilico
General Election result really seems to hv battered business confidence - understandably. (It certainly battered mine!)
Of course, some folk'll look at this & say: "What cld've happened in June 2017? Brexit! It's bound to have been Brexit."
I'm much more pessimistic about Brexit myself since the General Election. It's the Election that changed that.
Note, he still supports Brexit strongly but interesting to see its not just Dominic Cumming who is saying Brexit might not be so good afterall.
Barnier has laid down the law:
Michel Barnier*@MichelBarnier*
In a classic negotiation 'no deal’=status quo. #Brexit 'no deal’=return to distant past, which we all should avoid
europa.eu/rapid/press-release_SPEECH-17-1922_en.htm
Speech by Michel Barnier at the European Economic and Social Committee
Laurent Pech*@ProfPech*
Confirms EU 'red lines':
- '4 freedoms' are indivisible
- no a la carte participation in single market
- EU autonomy to set rules/standards
And a few articles about what Barnier has said which are a bit easier to understand than the speech itself.
euobserver.com/uk-referendum/138452
Barnier sets the price for hard Brexit
www.politico.eu/article/barnier-warns-u-k-on-frictionless-trade-post-brexit-that-is-not-possible/
Barnier tells UK frictionless trade ‘not possible’ post Brexit
EU’s chief Brexit negotiator warns of painful economic consequences for Britain.
Note: This blows Labour Brexit up completely. Simply not possible in the format that Starmer proposes (But we knew that anyway)
William Hague has stepped in:
www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-william-hague-damage-britains-influence-world-stage-former-foreign-secretary-eu-a7826761.html
Brexit will ‘undoubtedly’ damage Britain’s influence on world stage, says William Hague
The former Foreign Secretary said membership of the EU'sCommon Political Security Committee 'amplifies the UK's weight in the world'
And apparently so has Cameron:
www.express.co.uk/news/politics/825225/David-Cameron-Brexit-deal-MPs-Norway-Theresa-May
Cameron’s secret Brexit SABOTAGE: Ex-PM 'calling MPs to urge them to oppose May’s plans'
DAVID Cameron has risked widening the Tory rift over Europe by privately pressing MPs to support a watered-down Brexit deal that would keep Britain firmly tied to Brussels, party sources revealed last night.
Andrew Lilico**@andrew**_lilico
Conservative govt giving up on controlling immigration by staying in Single Mkt wld all-but guarantee a Corbyn govt.
Would it?
The New Stateman and Sam Coates of the Times make a similar observation to the one from Newsnight:
Sam Coates Times*@SamCoatesTimes*
Feels like a co-ordinated push on Brexit today from sceptics. Barnier. Hague. More coming later. Do Brexiteers think they are facing a coup?
The next 24 hours will be a fascinating test for how well strong election Brexiteers feel...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2017/07/brexiteers-fear-they-are-losing-argument
The Brexiteers fear they are losing the argument
BBC Newsnight @BBCNewsnight
am beginning to hear talk in some quarters that Brexit may not actually happen" reports @nicholaswatt #newsnight
twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/882721353329135616
Tom Newton Dunn*@tnewtondunn* (The Sun's Politicial Editor)
I've been amazed by how pessimistic Brexiteers have now become. Most ardent Leaver I know texted today: "We've (they've) blown it".
I have also seen someone saying on twitter that they heard IDS on the radio saying that he didn't campaign for Leave and he only made up his mind the day before the referendum. I can't verify this though - the person said himself he couldn't remember the source, but thought it was World at One. IDS has also been on Radio 2. I'd love to find out if this was indeed true. It would not surprise me.
However, its pointed out that we still will need an awful lot to change things:
jonworth.eu/brexit-bullshit-asymmetry-principle/
The Brexit Bullshit Asymmetry Principle
This then is our Brexit Bullshit Asymmetry Principle*: that the amount of energy necessary to refute Brexit bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.
So far the reaction to this changing tide perhaps seems well....
inews.co.uk/essentials/news/politics/liam-fox-mps-wear-ties-promote-english-tie-makers-post-brexit/
Liam Fox: MPs should wear ties to promote British tie-makers post-Brexit
followed by in the same link:
Boris Johnson says he wishes he had the same freedom to tweet as Donald Trump
Like so much of the bullshit we've become used to over the past year.
Like the Turkey are about to join the EU one. News today:
www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-eu-parliament-idUSKBN19R194
EU parliament asks for Turkish accession talks to be suspended
Conflict News*@Conflicts*
BREAKING: European Parliament votes to accept proposal to suspend Turkey’s EU accession talks - @HDNER
Oh. Bugger. Boom, there goes another one of those lies.
Its all rather depressing rather than hopeful to me. Someone has to come out openly and say they have made a mistake. Its difficult to see who that might be. The Conservatives have a huge number of people supporting them primarily because of Brexit. That rather hamstrings most of them. Which Brexiteer could lead a U-turn? Difficult to see any of them growing a spin.
I'm not sure we are as close to the tipping point as many would like to believe.