This is exactly the long term problem with a policy such as this.
It will hit all forms of education that are paid for. That’s the policy so obvious to all. It won’t just hit the private schools so many are against.
However the effect will be more far reaching aswel.
The fairly obvious ones are private schools cutting back on the benefits to the wider public and local schools and children.
Free music teachers, sports facilities, revision classes ( our school pays teachers to offer free gcse and A level revision classes during all holidays, this has already been cut for next summer now ) teaching support especially primary schools ( our sixth formers volunteer one afternoon a week for 1:1 reading and maths support), theatre and drama facilities, free music instruments etc. I only know if these few but I assume there’s more. I know concerts and plays have free performances for local schools aswell.
Our school for example will be charging local schools now for all sports facilities and fields. They have no fields anymore having all been sold off.
Then there’s free places offered and many many burseries offering up to 40% reduction in fees. The school has reduced these in numbers already in anticipation of this tax.
This is a headline vote winning policy. Nothing more.
With the ability to sidestep, financially, the increases for many parents this policy will do little, if anything, to increase the overall economy and nothing to improve state education.