The great South west PCR mystery

[3asAbird]

They say they investigating when we going to find out outcome?

inews.co.uk/news/covid-lateral-flow-tests-negative-pcr-1236141

Is it option

1. faulty batch pcr tests only at South west drive through test centres? 2/ corruption or negligence at the local lab? Does the South west have 1 giant lab that processes bath/ Swindon and Bristol pcr tests
2. some new varient that evades pcr tests like the one in France.

Are we even doing much genome sequencing these days?

We did have surge testing in Bristol last winter with varient e48k similar South Africa but that was pre delta.

We had massive cases in locally June and July.
Local r rate seems low currently despite so many off school and 2 Universitys return.

3 kids my child's year have postive lft but negative pcr.
We don't have any set date for covid jabs.
The school is not declaring any cases at all publicly..

Weirdly people saying home tests giving postive results.

That lft more likely to bring us false negative than postive..

Just makes me worried so much covid all over the region undetected with postives not isolating.

So many if these postive lft negative pcr seem to be school children.
ONS forecast 1 in 14 teens had covid last week yet all teens at our school with covid symptoms have negative pcr?

I’ve just heard someone I know has just had positive lateral flows but negative pcr. South West. Have they not sorted this yet?

@Brindle88 it can happen but not in a big scale

30% of PCR negatives were always false positives. However this must be less likely with a positive LFT.

*false negatives, sorry

Effects being seen in case rates
www.independent.co.uk/news/health/covid-cases-south-west-england-lab-latest-b1941189.html

www.swindonadvertiser.co.uk/news/19658230.swindons-covid-19-rate-rises-highest-ever-level/

Shocker… Cases are up 286% in a week in Swindon, slightly different story to the 60% ‘drop’ they were reporting a couple of weeks ago! What a mess

At it’s still not making the headlines !!!

I raise you Bath & NE Somerset, where we are currently at 760 per 100,000 (based on a the 7 day average rate of cases). The most recent date for this is 14 October (I don't think anybody got texted and asked to re-do PCRs before 17th).

In the 10-14 age demographic ONS chart they are showing 4,219 cases per 100k. This cohort always did have high infection rates after returning to school, but it is beginning to be reflected in what I imagine is the parent demographic.

DD has friends in most Bath schools My anecdotal observation is that Covid seems to be affecting about 20-30% of a class before moving on. It seems to have calmed down in our secondary, but DD's school did make them mask up, do daily LFTs each day once a class had more than one or two cases and did its in-house contact tracing programme. Plenty of schools wouldn't have done that.

I do hope that somebody does some serious questioning about why they delayed the decision to vaccinate this group of kids and why they then didn't speak to their local school vaccine service to check what was achievable (or at least look at stats to notice that promised school visits weren't happening).

We were "lucky" in that we sneezed our way through Covid in the Summer holidays, but it doesn't seem to be "just a bit like an allergy for a few days" for many now.

That’s interesting Madcats. Our secondary school now seems to be on the decline as well - I think because there’s no one left to infect! In each class there are only about 5 who haven’t had it. They tend to be the ones who don’t socialise out of school. But there are also some who I think must be immune because they have been surrounded for weeks and in close contact and still not caught it

Immensa need to be sent the bill for the massive strain being seen on hospitals thanks to their fuck ups and charged with corporate manslaughter for the inevitable deaths. Joe Bloggs would've had a negative test & thought it was fine to visit grandma and grandma ends up in hospital. The impact of this clusterfuck will be massive and is already being seen

Are the SW MPs mobilised on the issue? If not, write to them if you live there!

Interestingly, the drive/walk through test centre in Somerset I used and got a dodgy result from now has an on site test facility and are doing same day results.

I re tested the whole house yesterday with home kits as we'd all been tested in the last few weeks.

@endlesscraziness

Immensa need to be sent the bill for the massive strain being seen on hospitals thanks to their fuck ups and charged with corporate manslaughter for the inevitable deaths. Joe Bloggs would've had a negative test & thought it was fine to visit grandma and grandma ends up in hospital. The impact of this clusterfuck will be massive and is already being seen

yes and its quite telling that the government has been totally silent about WTF went on there, and for so long.

Our local main hospital, in fact it basically is our only hospital for quite some distance. It is reassigning beds to make COVID space. Admissions ups by 50% in a week. Work is underway to extend ICU. This is being reported by the local council who are sending out alerts.

This is the beginning of the great experiment of allowing it to spread unchecked in the SW. So we are pretty baked in until Christmas. This is mid October. Coming to a place near you soon.

@Brindle88 do you mind saying what site that is please ?

I wonder how many are using the lateral flow tests regularly as well as my ds only picked up on that and he said a lot of his friends don't bother anymore
I have a friend whos som had a bad cold and never tested even on a lateral flow until a few days later and admits they only do them once in a while
I think in school / college they do help pick up some asymptomatic cases

Look at the southwest now. And the government are still claiming the R number to be 0.9-1.1!!

A few weeks ago it was, 400 in 100,000. Today it's almost 3 times that in many areas!

@NelsonMandelaHouse very telling this last few days i know of about 10
People tested positive in last couple days near me in south west

Cheltenham has one of the highest cases right now. I appreciate it's mainly outside but Cheltenham races are on this weekend for the first time since lockdown. We went armed with masks, but we were very much in the minority, a few others and staff. I can't see their numbers going down in the next few days!

The only good thing is we weren't spreaders - 2/8 DH's work colleagues have covid and I've been around an awful lot of children this week who've got it.

@karenm51

www.swindonadvertiser.co.uk/news/19658230.swindons-covid-19-rate-rises-highest-ever-level/

Shocker… Cases are up 286% in a week in Swindon, slightly different story to the 60% ‘drop’ they were reporting a couple of weeks ago! What a mess

I don't believe anything that rag of a paper says tbh.

@NelsonMandelaHouse

Look at the southwest now. And the government are still claiming the R number to be 0.9-1.1!!

A few weeks ago it was, 400 in 100,000. Today it's almost 3 times that in many areas!

How on earth can R be 0.9-1.1 then?!

@AutumnLeafy it always seems to be that R rate doesn't it ? Never changes much

That's true.. seems a bit odd seeing as everyone is out and about.