Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 26th September 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data //www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage //www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions //www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity //www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths //www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths //www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data //www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t //www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports //www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats //www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) //www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday //www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports //www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports //www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page //www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries //www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery //www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/


⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ //www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

[Quartz2208]

It’s interesting that depression and anxiety are up there as being the most common long Covid symptom given that I would be interested to see how many non Covid sufferers reported the same.

How much is down to Covid and how much simply the pandemic

[boys3]

London, on reported cases, continues to buck the general trend for England; with this more so for Inner Boroughs.

However treating London as a whole there are some stark differences in age band rates between it and the rest of the country; especially in the school age groups.

I'm assuming schools in London did re-open after the summer break

[boys3]

Where there is little difference is in the over 60s. London has one of the lowest rates, but not the absolute lowest.

With a similar picture for the 20-24s, and, although a bit less pronounced, in the 25-29s; though that band is still reasonably closely bunched.

[boys3]

In our school age groups London really stands out - in a good way.

5-9s; London has increased since start of September to stand at just under 300 per 100,000. The next lowest region is however close to 500 per 100,000. The East Midlands and West Midlands are, respectively, just above and below, the 800 per 100,000 mark.

[boys3]

10-14s again a more rapid increase in London with it just over 700 per 100,000.

The next lowest region is almost double that, and at the top end the East Midlands has a rate of almost 2,200 per 100,000; three times that of London.

[boys3]

15-19s London again the lowest region at just under 400 per100,000 with a shallow upward trajectory.

Aside the North West, other regions showing a clearer upward move, although nothing like those pesky 4th formers. for those old enough to remember

[boys3]

More typical parent age groups.

35-39s London lowest rate.

40-44s London lowest rate ; with quite a gap to the next region, and a 350pt gap to that in the East Midlands

45-49s London lowest rate; shallow trajectory

[boys3]

finally our new in-betweeners - possibly younger than the four actual In-betweeners ??? Reasonably level; London again the lowest rate, although not a huge gap to the next or even the highest region. That said the higher rated regions are still double that of London.

[Piggywaspushed]

Most of the people had more than one symptomquartz and I imagine the anxiety came on after a Covid infection. Pre existing conditions will not have been included. The important bit in the research is the comparison with post flu symptoms, I guess.

[sirfredfredgeorge]

The strange thing about the article is the uncommented on massive difference between the ONS estimate at the end and the headline which is just ignored, 37% and (much) less than 5% is a startling difference that needs some explaining. Chucking out such a figure without comment is just lazy journalism that's presumably regurgitated a press release on the 37% and decided to chuck in the ONS data on the end without thinking about it.

[Piggywaspushed]

The implication is that this survey is more reliable and robust.

I'll see if I can find the actual survey.

[Piggywaspushed]

This is details of the schools survey mentioned :

www.theguardian.com/education/2021/sep/28/12-of-english-pupils-report-continuing-covid-symptoms-weeks-after-infection

[MarshaBradyo]

Why is anxiety and depression so high? What would be driving that

I also wonder if it’s post vaccine or all pre

[MarshaBradyo]

Is there a study for anxiety and depression in non Covid people? Wonder if you’d see similar

[Quartz2208]

Yes exactly @MarshaBradyo I find the inclusion of it as a symptom odd because how do you know it is the covid infection and not the covid pandemic driving it. At times I imagine we have all felt anxious and depressed by it.

It is also interesting that young people had headaches and abdominal symptoms - things which go hand in hand with anxiety.

Older people though having breathing issues is a definite concern. There is also in this article no mention of severity of Covid - which I think is what makes it different from flu. I had long flu after swine flu and still have some minor effects now but my flu was bad. Covid the initial infection severity seems to not affect it so much.

I guess it does highlight the real issues though with dealing with any Post viral issues and we really do need more research and acceptance that it is a thing.

[borntobequiet]

There are those who think that depression can be linked to inflammatory disease and the workings of the immune system. I believe there’s evidence that anti inflammatories such as ibuprofen can help alleviate depression. Anxiety and depression themselves are linked for fairly understandable reasons.

[MarshaBradyo]

Don’t we need a control group still?

I must admit I haven’t ever heard of ibuprofen as something that alleviates depression

It’s questioning atm so there may be more to it but that does sound it needs more substantial info

[Piggywaspushed]

If you pick up other symptoms as a result of a post viral condition this may lead to anxiety and depression. Constant bugs, nausea , migraines, stomach upsets wreak havoc with one's mental state. I would have thought that was fairly standardly obvious.

Sorry if that sounds grumpy but there is a constant attempt to pick apart this kind of research, where other surveys with equally small return rates, sample sizes etc. are often accepted . Women are more affected than men and - like CFS and ME - there is often a lack of desire to investigate/believe / treat. Since this is a data thread and we love data, anyone who hasn't read Invisible Women really should.

Doctors will be looking out for clusters of symptoms.

The control group in other LC surveys confounded data because they can never actually remove the fact we are in a pandemic and yet they can't remove anxiety and depression as symptoms because that would not help to understand LC (there are plentiful other studies on anxiety as standalone symptoms of eg lockdown). They also admitted in the survey that many of their control group might actually have had Covid so this is a survey at least of people who definitely did.

On a personal note, I am now 7 weeks post infection and still feel awful.

[Piggywaspushed]

The clue is in at times there though quartz. There will be causality assumed in people who get Covid,are ill, develop anxiety immediately afterwards and it doesn't go away,

[MarshaBradyo]

Of course people need to unpick it. Otherwise it’s not useful.

It’s from a survey people fill isn’t it?

Take Aukland today I expect there would be an uptick in anxiety and depression compared to when Covid was zero yet only 45 cases so it’s not that.

If you were filling out a post Covid survey you’d see the same uptick.

Why would this not be the case?

[MarshaBradyo]

Auckland

[Quartz2208]

There should be more research @Piggywaspushed it is such an under researched area and I was hoping that long covid would shine a light on it

I suspect actually as always the problem isnt with the research but with the absolutely awful way that the media portrays it. Taking the bits that fit the narrative of whatever they want to say (although I am lost actually as to what that is with the guardian) and creating something that doesnt make sense and at times has juxtaposed positions

Data is just data - it is how it is interpreted that is key - and this thread shows that it can be done in many different ways!

[MarshaBradyo]

The Guardian is very able at throwing together articles using numbers for maximum impact.

It hasn’t been that useful throughout.

[Piggywaspushed]

It's from actual research though.

Which paper meets approval? I think TG has actually been quite wide ranging and more investigative in its approach. Other papers have been selective (cf about three different ways of reporting the data released yesterday on how many 9 -18 year olds are hesitant about vaccine). It is not the only paper reporting this survey but others are paywalled.

The study by the NIHR is a very interesting longitudinal study which can be accessed online. They are always measuring findings against the same gorup as time goes on.

[Piggywaspushed]

whatever they want to say (although I am lost actually as to what that is with the guardian

Might that actually suggest objectivity? They aren't trying to 'suggest' anything? Just reporting?