Data, Stats Thread June 11

[PatriciaHolm]

UK govt pressers Slides & data

www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history

Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

At the Spurs Vaccination site, he was asked various questions.

Ok thanks

I'm not wholly convinced that the wave is peaking in London as Delta variant tracks from West to East. The Boroughs of Newham, Tower Hamlets, Waltham Forest, Redbridge, Hackney that had fewer than 10 cases per day at the beginning of June have all steadily risen with cases regularly over 35 per day now. Not huge numbers, but still steadily rising.

@MRex

Not quite data, but we just got a fairly high quality leaflet about Invermectin and anti lockdown. From some digging, I see a few names who've arisen frequently with anti-lockdown stuff - but has anyone seen articles saying who is funding all this crap?

Was it the one described in this article? www.theguardian.com/world/2020/nov/27/truthpaper-the-anti-lockdown-newspaper-bypassing-online-fact-checkers

If so that's been coming through doors near me, as local friends are complaining about it. No idea who funds it. Probably just nutters with nothing better to do with their money. Not sure I can see a cyclical economically rationale motive for anyone to fund mad stuff like that!

@boys3

West Midlands district councils

I'm in Warwick which is the outlier on that one - can't find even anecdotal evidence locally for what's causing the massive growth here - 26th May 3.48/100000 (lowest in West Midlands region), 19th June (at least, still incomplete) 140.52 (highest in West Midlands) and doubling approx every 4 days. Nobody locally seems aware of any big outbreak related to a specific location. Quite scary considering it's an area with very high vaccination takeup / doesn't have the deprivation indicators associated with some of the hotspot areas, but it looks like we could be there in a week.

@Quartz2208

Boris always looks like that when he is in an unscripted situation and is worried that he might put his foot in it and say something he shouldn't - promising something he can't deliver or should never have said

WHat is the latest on the Nepal Variant?

36 cases were confirmed, then all went silent.

Very concerning.

@LunarSea another student related outbreak perhaps?. Lot of cases in Warwick just from the last few days

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Warwick

so probably a couple of days until the dashboard highlights which MSOA(s) are particularly impacted; or if it is more widely spread.

*36 cases were confirmed, then all went silent.

Very concerning.*

Really? the great PHE weekly technical briefing swindle?

never mind the bollocks see Table 14, figure 23 of said report.

38 cases identified. Download the latest Sanger and you can even see which council areas and when.

No great secret.

"We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these"

From the sticky post at the top of the thread in case anyone needs a reminder.

and for anyone wondering about the Sex Pistols' references.

Nancy Spungen. Sid Vicious. The latter a stage name. Born John Simon Richie.

Cross post - I didn't mean Sex Pistols references, those are fine.

www.independent.co.uk/asia/india/covid-india-delta-plus-variant-explained-b1866153.html
Saw this yesterday..... Nepal+ ?

So many schools have closed bubbles in our local area (a town on the outskirts of Birmingham) over the last few days. I know of at least 8 schools that now have whole year groups or classes isolating and all were told this weekend or today.

From the sanger file updated this morning

and from the technical briefing document

Through routine scanning of variation in Delta a small number of sequences were detected which had acquired the spike protein mutation K417N.
Information suggests that there are at least 2 separate clades of Delta with K417N. One clade is large and internationally distributed with PANGO lineage designation AY.1. A second clade found in sequences uploaded to GISAID from the USA, now designated AY.2.
There are currently 38 cases of Delta-AY.1 in England (36 confirmed sequencing and 2 probable genotyping). Cases have been detected in 6 different regions in England (Table 14, Figure 23). Delta-AY.2 has not been detected in England.

lunar and food producers / farm workers?

I'm in another W mids area but we are not doing too bad at the moment. We aren't too different from Warwickshire demographically I think.

Sandwell is starting to creep up and I don't think its too long before the West Mids starts feeling pressure of Delta. I am only surprised its taken so long.

[quote boys3]@LunarSea another student related outbreak perhaps?. Lot of cases in Warwick just from the last few days

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Warwick

so probably a couple of days until the dashboard highlights which MSOA(s) are particularly impacted; or if it is more widely spread.[/quote]
Could be. Heat map gives a rolling rate of 466 for 20-24 age bracket as of 16th June, which is latest data on there, and overall rates have risen sharply since.

Local Public Health have today put out an appeal for anyone who has been to either the Leamington Wetherspoons, or another pub which is largely frequented by students in the last 2 weeks to take a test - so it looks to be centred on those.

Quartz2208 Boris probably was unscripted. I know of someone who went to a conference years ago, sat next to him. This person had pages of notes to read from/refer to, Boris had a piece of paper with individual words written down to prompt him.

27 deaths recorded today. Highest for a while?

@SecretKeeper1 since the 5th May
Be interested to see when today's deaths happened.

[quote LivinLaVidaLoki]@SecretKeeper1 since the 5th May
Be interested to see when today's deaths happened.[/quote]
Just been looking at the death stats, didn’t realise there was so much difference each day between reported/actual. Still, I’m not happy with 27

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths

There used to be a way to find out when the deaths actually happened as opposed to when they were reported, but I can't find it now.

@EndoplasmicReticulum

There used to be a way to find out when the deaths actually happened as opposed to when they were reported, but I can't find it now.

For hospitals in England, it's still here -- www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Today's earliest is 21/5.

Overall, It's on the dashboard, at the top

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths

43 actually occurring on 18,19,20,21 June and 52 reported over 19,20,21,22, so it looks like most of the reported are recent.

Thanks for your help Patricia.

These are a follow up to the graphs posted last week comparing the position from early September last year as compared with our current position from 24th May. So Day 0 in both instances has an almost identical 7 day average for case numbers. From that point the graphs track, (for England).

Cases by spec date - still at an almost identical number; although last September was on the cusp of a sharp increase.

Hospital admissions the May 24th starting point was a little higher than the position early last September. It is now around 1/3 lower

Numbers in hospital again started at very similar points. 7 day average at the moment just under 1200, tracking against last September position that had now just passed 2,000; and again was on the cusp of a sharp upward trajectory

deaths by day reported; there is a reporting lag so our current 7 day average could increase by 1 or 2; however after the same number of elapsed days the number towards end last September was 43.

rates by 5 year age bands will then follow.