@RedToothBrush
If you think this isnt good for Trump you aren't paying attention to how trump works.
It’s good for Trump in so far as it adds significant turbulence to the campaign, which may end up tilting things in his favour - a static position does him no good at all - but i remain to be convinced that this Covid positive test will necessarily tilt things that way.
It does provide a moment of danger for the Democrats that otherwise didn’t exist previously. If Biden can’t elevate himself above a partisan response and is construed to be lacking humanity in his reaction, that will likely play badly with those voters who can still be swayed. His close team need to do the same, and distance themselves from the predictable bile coming from some. Biden is by nature compassionate (for a politician) and do I would hope he navigates this ok.
On the flip side, it gives Biden the chance to be presidential, to be the American President rather than the Democrat President he has said he will be. If he can pull this off, respond with humanity and elevate himself above the political fray, I think he will boost his chances further with swing voters, especially with Trump out of action.
Things could go badly for Trump too. It doesn’t really matter what his base thinks, they were voting for him anyway and the dial won’t be changed on their account. However, it’s easy to see how Trump will fall into traps here that would overwhelm any tendency for sympathy (which I still think is unlikely to lead to many extra votes unless Biden responds poorly). If he minimises Covid after a quick recovery he risks being seen as confirming his insensitivity to swing voters. If he miraculously starts to take Covid seriously, he risks being seen as having made a terrible blunder having not done so much earlier. If he becomes gravely ill, there’s the likelihood people will be concerned he won’t be up to the job and is actually a weak man by those who value his perceived strength and macho status.
Yes, should he recover, he’ll doubtless be seen as a hero by many, but only those who actually see him as a hero already. There are no votes to be won there.
In all of this, it’s the swing voters that count. Those who have made up their minds won’t be likely to be affected by this.