Infectious disease killing 1.5 million every year!!!!

[ExmoorPony]

TB kills 1.5 million every single year. Just sayin......

Well 850,000 have died of Covid worldwide in 6 months so that is already more than the number who die of TB in 6 months (ie half of a year)
However we have had a lot of measures in place across the world to reduce the infection rate for Covid so it is hard to know what the numbers would have been in 6 months without those measures

7 billion population, 0.6% IFR, 60% infection for herd immunity....

That would give 25 million dead. That’s why Covid is being treated differently to TB - it’s at least an order of magnitude more severe in terms of world mortality.

Have you polished your whataboutery badge?

I was just about to post something similar, TheSeedsOfADream.

Some people are just incredibly dense.

@MaxNormal

If TB is preventable and treatable, it's even more of global scandal that we are not bothering, isn't it, considering that we've stopped the world for covid. And actually multi-drug resistent TB is an ever-increasing issue.

Exactly this..

@Derbygerbil
You clearly don't understand how viruses work and the fact that most people.eont even get Coronavirus, even without lockdown...straight out of Chris Whitty' mouth.

@Isitisntit

You clearly don't understand how viruses work and the fact that most people.eont even get Coronavirus, even without lockdown...straight out of Chris Whitty' mouth.

What is it that you don’t believe I am understanding?

@Isitisntit

I’ve searched and can’t find anything from Chris Whitty on this, and can’t see any obvious flaws in my logic.

In an unsupressed environment, the total number of people infected will depend on the R number. 60% assumes an R of 2.5 which is roughly what Covid’s R is believed to be.

Of course, not everyone who is infected will have symptoms. Many, possibly most, wont, but my admittedly crude calculations aren’t based symptomatic cases, just infections.

I was careful to use an IFR or infection fatality rate figure - that’s all infections, not just those who are “sick”. The CDC’s current best estimate for the IFR is 0.65%, slightly above the figure I used! That’s broadly consistent with the U.K. estimates for infections and deaths.

Apply that to the world population, and you get the 25 million figure.

Of course: the 25 million is a very rough estimate... but the point is that it’s an order of magnitude higher than TB deaths, so it follows that a very different response Is required.