Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 14

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 14 of the daily updates

Resource links:

Uk dashboard deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - 4 nations, LAs, English regions
Slides & data UK govt pressers
[[https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavi
rus-covid-19-information-for-the-public UK stats]] list of reports added daily by PHE & DHSC
PHE Surveillance report infections & deaths released every Thursday with sep. infographic
ONS England infection surveillance report ONS UK statistics for CV related deaths, released weekly each Tuesday
Daily ECDC report UK & EEA
Worldometer UK page
Plot FT graphs compare countries deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Covidly.com world summary & graphs
Plot COVID Graphs Our World in Data additional data

We welcome factual, data driven, and civil discussions from all contributors 📈 📉 📊 👍

littleowl , I live in an area of concern and my DH ( a clinically vulnerable teacher) works in it . I work in a less affected bordering area but it is sandwiched between two areas of concern. For all those reasons, this is really helpful.

@Firefliess

Oh that made me laugh out loud!

I haven't laughed that hard in weeks. Of course!

I set up a FB page at the weekend - I hadn't been on FB in about 15 years - STEEEEP learning curve.

Thanks @littleowl1 have signed up, it does look great. No FAQs yet, ie the page is blank?

I wonder if your "About us" page should literally explain your credentials / expertise.

(Is "us" actually "me" )

Yes its me. This is brilliant feedback. Thank you so much. Yes, I will update with my bio. That's a really good point. And the FAQs are coming.

@littleowl1 I get to my county (Northamptonshire) and then get stuck. Is there something I should be able to click there?

@Quarantino

Looks great! Only slight niggle is I had to guess where Bristol might be (Gloucestershire! ). It appears in varying existing and non-existent counties when you do auto-address lookups on different websites so I'm used to it!

Bristol is its own county now. Bit weird really, and the debate about counties is a rabbit hole you probably don't want to go down!

The MSOA map seems to have been released earlier than normal this week. The spike vaguely near me in Leeds (Kirkstall) has reduced from 20 down to 8 cases, which is pretty good considering that they did more focussed testing in the area too.

@hedgehogger1 that's very strange. I have just checked it and tested it from 3 seperate devices (iphone, ipad and laptop) and its working fine for me. If you try again and it still fails if you want to direct message me your email address and the area you want to sign up to I can add you. So sorry about the technical issues. I will have to look into the server logs as I cant seem to recreate the problem myself. I will look into it. And really appreciate you taking the time to tell me. If I don't know there is a problem, I don't know to fix it.

@AugustBreeze I've posted the FAQs on the website. They were ready to go - meant to do it yesterday. Thank you so much for highlighting. You guys are like a testing team extravaganza! Amazing feedback!

@whatsthecomingoverthehill can I ask if you have a link to that please? The map from the gov page is still only showing 1-7th Aug. In Leeds also so keen to see if there had been spread!

[quote usernotfound0000]@whatsthecomingoverthehill can I ask if you have a link to that please? The map from the gov page is still only showing 1-7th Aug. In Leeds also so keen to see if there had been spread![/quote]
That is the latest one, but I thought they normally updated on a Thursday.

It's not looking too bad in Leeds - Harehills and Kirkstall have both come down - but inner north east is a bit of a worry.

Thanks @littleowl1! I'm guessing a FAQ will soon be "is your data better than the government's?"!

I think they said the MSOA map is going to be updated daily in future

@whatsthecomingoverthehill ah ok, I have studied that one, I must have missed the week previous though as I didn't have the numbers to compare to. Good that they have come down, especially with the extra testing. I am south Leeds and so far we seem to be ok, which is surprising as we border Wakefield, Dewsbury and Batley who all seem to have been hit.

It's not looking too bad in Leeds - Harehills and Kirkstall have both come down - but inner north east is a bit of a worry

I'm also in Leeds ( well a village outside, but likely to be hit by restrictions). Harehills and Kirkstall are better, but 16 cases in Oakwood this week and smaller clusters in Gipton which border Harehills.

The map has been updated daily this week

@Frazzled2207

The map has been updated daily this week

Oh really? Has it changed to a rolling 7 day then?

@Frazzled2207 I read that, I wonder if I'm looking at the wrong one as that clearly shows 1-7th Aug. Is it this one: www.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=47574f7a6e454dc6a42c5f6912ed7076

@usernotfound0000
See what you’re saying on the government website it says it is updated daily maybe for example later today it will show August 2-8 and so on?

6 hospital deaths in England. We might see a zero soon.
5 deaths in Wales which is more than usual.

#alreadytaken There is an interesting thread on twitter, Steve Conway I think, about how the death rate in ICU improved very rapidly during the pandemic. The NHS is starved of resources and still managed to rejig capacity in days to cope with an emergency, then rapidly developed improvements in treatment. It also found the steroid that is making a massive difference to treatment. Everyone likes to complain about the NHS but you get far more than you pay for. If you want better lobby your MPs for german level of resources. The rejigging was much less impressive if you were in a care home that was pressured to take covid patients so that the NHS could cope, particularly if you ended up dying.

Total deaths includes care homes etc which is unreliable because it includes everyone that has EVER tested positive so for example they could have tested positive in march/april and died of other causes more recently. So not reliable at all. The care home where I work didn't get tests till June, not sure how many got tests in March, I know one that got tests in April.

The map has always been a bit behind, maybe to get as many confirmed tests for those days as possible.

Sad to see my area got a few cases now, returning from holidays perhaps. (Well, not very near, but the only other cases were the other side of the borough before.)

@ancientgran - I know of 2 care home deaths close to our family where they weren't tested but the GP noted covid on their death certificate anyway, neither GP visited them in the care home either. One family agrees (but she was very frail), the other does not agree that was the cause of her death.

@MRex yes I've heard this too. An elderly relative died quite expectantly in a care home and covid was put on the death certificate. Was news to the relative as nothing had been said that there had been any symptoms or suspicion before the death. That was may time

It's all a bit topsy turvy....