This will be over in a month?

[CorinnaSinner]

I’ve seen that said by so many on social media and the DM (sorry I know) reported that death toll was halved today.

I thought this would last 3 months

@CorinnaSinner Don't know if you right, but I PRAY you are. I do hope it's over by mid May at the latest!

Sadly, the repercussions/ripple effect from it will go on for MUCH longer. I think the fallout from it will cause a deep recession that will go on for a decade, probably longer.........

They're expecting the peak in 2-3 weeks, which is when they said they would review it. After that it should slow down.
It won't be 'over' but things should improve slightly.

I think it will be close to Christmas before we see any type of normality.

It wont finish it in a month but it sounds nicer that way ....

We are in Spain with severe restrictions on movement, everyone complying with new laws, certainly not allowed out to exercise, and death rate still rising 😢. IMO there is no way this will be over in three months 😳

3+ months of where we are now, or stricter. Then a period of gradually relaxing measures. Normal life (in terms of freedom of movement), sometime next year. The economic damage will take a very long time to pay back.

People expect a test to change things. How? We still have to flatten the curve and until the peak has passed that means lockdown, as people in the UK clearly won't social distance voluntarily. Enhanced hygiene and social distancing to shield the vulnerable is going to be required until there's an effective vaccine. Even if someone has had the virus and recovered they may not be able to spread the virus through sneezing/coughing but they still pose a risk through spreading contact surface contamination.

There will be peaks and stricter lockdowns . All lockdown does is slow down the invertible .
I may be being thick but lock everyone up for a month it's still there waiting .
All that will happen is lockdown measures increase when death rate goes through the roof . Then relaxed to start it all over again .

I doubt the economy can stand more than a couple of months of lockdown. The police starting to use drones to check on people. There need to be big sanctions like losing your driving licence if you won’t listen

Thanks to the pubs only shutting yesterday, Cheltenham, schools still open, the amount of people crammed together on the Tube I'm worrying about my relatives in England. More than my relatives in Ireland anyway.

"pubs having a secret back door knock for locals"

@ShesgotbetteDaviseyes report to the police

• the pub is breaking the law and risking spreading the virus. Risking lives

People still not getting how serious this is!!! Why on earth would it be over in a month? We haven’t even hit the peak. My friend lives in Singapore. Citizens are more obedient there (can’t be bothered thinking of a better word). We zoomed today (online meeting software) and she was telling me they are now entering a second wave and DORSCON back up to orange - second highest threat level. Something like 36 or so new cases with 34 returning citizens. So even if lock down is lifted, it doesn’t mean it’s over. Realistically won’t be over til there is a vaccine as it is so much more infectious than flu and because people are not taking it seriously enough!! An early end to this is just wishful thinking.

As much I am relieved that there has been an extension for MOTs, the 6mths extension immediately concerned me. To me that reads that there is some concern that this could last at significant proportion of that.

I think the lessons from Spanish flu was that it’s nigh on impossible to have long term lockdowns. Humans are too sociable and find ways to evade the rules.

This will happen here.

I actually think we are doing this the wrong way. I would ensure the vulnerable were kept safe and cared and on lockdown with those able to carry on keeping things going. I suspect that longer term, the economic
crash, poverty and recession not to mention mental health issues will cause more deaths overall

No, it will most likely last much longer because people are arseholes. We live very rurally and have had people amble through our fields with lambs in them. We have had people park their camper vans at the end of our road. We have had people with children think we’re a petting zoo - DON’T TOUCH OR FEED MY HORSES - Thank you! We’ve now put up electric fences inside our normal fences to keep our livestock and us safe. We live here 365 days a year, just because people are not at work don’t use our land as ‘getting fresh air’. Where did you get ‘fresh air’ before this lockdown?

"I may be being thick but lock everyone up for a month it's still there waiting ."

The aim is to slow down the rate at which people get the disease so that the NHS can handle them

• the cases are still rising every day People will still be catching it, but not as many as otherwise

Flattening the curve and spreading out the cases
The aim is that even if 70% of the country end up getting it, the numbers needing hospital on any one day won't be so high that the NHS can't treat them

The death toll rockets in countries where the health service is swamped with too many cases at once, as happened in e.g. Italy

Just been on Facebook and it looks like a relative in a big town in England has it. She was in self isolation as a friend of her young fella was suspected of having it. She's in her forties, very fit and doesn't smoke. And she has the window open to try and get some air into her lungs. She has a high temperature but has paracetamol. And she won't be included in the numbers of positive cases as she won't be tested. Which is ridiculous.

It was suggested that WW1 would be over by Christmas. That was plainly impossible. As it this being over any time soon.

Be over and done by end of Easter 💪🏻💪🏻

I really wish it was just a month but I can see this going on until summer .

They don't yet know the impact of better weather - seasonal flu dissipates in summer. If this is the case, better to alleviate the lock down over summer since a second wave possible in September.

I also agree with an earlier remark that the vulnerable should stay safe and let the abled bodied keep the economy going!

What a bunch of crap.

The Government at least realise that the economy is going to be majorly fucked unless people can get back to work.

Most emails we had today from suppliers are estimating return to work after Easter. People won't have jobs to go back to the longer this carries on.

If today’s death rate is genuinely correct and sustained, then yes it could all be over in a month. Chris Whitty today said that around two-thirds of deaths would have happened anyway within a matter of months. This is the same as a cold being fatal for those with a weakened immune system. Half a million people die in the UK each year - each one may be an individual tragedy but we have to have a sense of proportion.

I'm just so sad about the limbo we are all in. I lost my job last week and am unable to look for another until the nurseries re-open, as obviously I cannot even temporarily use grandparents as childcare. I'm entitled to JSA but not indefinitely.

I wouldn't do this myself, of course, but at the end of these 3 weeks I think those who normally pop in and see mum/sister every day will start mingling again on the quiet. In order to avoid the aforementioned rioting I think they will need to have periods of relaxation as we flatten the curve.

Most emails we had today from suppliers are estimating return to work after Easter

I don't think that's likely, to say the least.