In May 2010 The Rockefeller Foundation & the Global Business Network published a document titled 'Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development'. The senarios were supposed to aid strategies to deal with situations such as this & were "stories not forecasts". I suggest everyone read it, particularly page 18 titled 'Lock Step: A world of tighter top-down government control and more authoritarian leadership, with limited innovation and growing citizen pushback'
It describes a pandemic in 2012 that leads to "a deadly effect on economies: international mobility of both people and goods screeched to a halt, debilitating industries like tourism and breaking global supply chains. Even locally, normally bustling shops and office buildings sat empty for months, devoid of both employees and customers."
It goes on to talk about how China had a mandatory & strict quarantine & other countries followed suit.
"Even after the pandemic faded, this more authoritarian control and oversight of citizens and their activities stuck and even intensified."
"At first, the notion of a more controlled world gained wide acceptance and approval. Citizens willingly gave up some of their sovereignty — and their privacy — to more paternalistic states in exchange for greater safety and stability. Citizens were more tolerant, and even eager, for top-down direction and oversight, and national leaders had more latitude to impose order in the ways they saw fit."
The "story" plays out until 2025 by which point ^"people seemed to be growing weary of so much top-down control and letting leaders
and authorities make choices for them."^
It makes for very interesting (& creepy) reading.