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Exponential growth

0 replies

nellodee · 16/03/2020 20:23

Deaths per country
Italy
21/2/20 1
25/2/20 10
4/3/20 107
12/3/20 1016

The longest period it took to x10 was 8 days

UK
5/3/20 1
12/3/20 10

It does not take a genius to do this...

19/3/20 100
26/3/20 1000
2/4/20 10,000

We have just over 4,000 critical care beds.
The 10,000 that could be dead by Easter will be infected NOW, because you incubate for about a week, take 2 weeks to get really sick and another week to actually die.

9/4/20 100,000 people dead.

That's 90,000 more than the week before. These people might not yet be infected.

Please, please, please. Protect your loved ones. If you are thinking about, "Should I...." then take the option that keeps people out of harms way. If you think "Well what about the poor nurses, they can't stay at home?" well no, they can't. But you can make it so they don't have to watch hundreds of thousands of people die. That's one of the best things you can do for them right now. "What about the delivery men?" Well, you can make it so that if and when they need a bed, you're not in it.

If you can, at all, over the next week and beyond:
Stay. At. Home.

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