*DO IT ALL* says the W.H.O. Director General

[Barracker]

www.cnbc.com/2020/03/13/europe-is-now-the-epicenter-of-the-coronavirus-pandemic-who-says.html

Tedros said countries need to take a comprehensive approach to try to fight the pandemic.

"Not testing alone, not contact tracing alone, not quarantine alone, not social distancing alone, do it all," he said.
"Any country that looks at the experience of other countries with large epidemics and thinks that won't happen to us is making a deadly mistake, it can happen to any country."

We're not doing it all.

Well hopefully he is a genius. Possibly.

Thanks @alloutoffucks that makes sense. It's times like this I wish the UN would step in.

@Purplewhitelie yes we are increasingly starting to look stupid. We will be the last to shutdown at this rate with CV running ride. No one will want us in their country and I wouldn't blame them.

*rife

Well thats how I feel.

We will be like one of those leper colonies of olden times. Or known as the plague island.

No one will want us!

Do we have updated figures for UK yet? Aren’t they normally out by 2pm? I’m thinking there will have been a massive jump despite us only conducting minimal tests.

Well 10 more.

@Purplewhitelie that’s exactly what I’ve been thinking. Well be trying to get into other countries as refugees. Maybe I’m carastrophising it but it’s possible

Sorry correction meant to say probs 10 more in the next few days.

Yes we will go down in history as plague island. Great.

Hey remember that time the Europeans landed in what is today Massachusetts and spread the chicken pox to the Native population? And remember how exposing them lead to herd immunity? Oh wait, no it killed 90% of them.

And before anyone says well this virus isn’t small pox... no, it’s not. We have no idea what this virus is yet, whether it mutates, etc. What we do know, is it looks nothing like influenza.

UPDATE
It has just been announced that there are 10 new deaths today. This is a much bigger jump than I anticipated upthread, our death toll has almost doubled in 24 hours. There are now 21 dead.

Italy was at 21 deaths on February 28th.
We do appear to be 14-15 days behind them. Although that enormous rise in deaths is horrifying. I hope it is an anomaly.

Yes learn from horrible histories.

Very good point.

Still puzzled as to why (well I know) its being called covid-19 next to Sars when it could go on the chart as SARS-COV-2?

I know I know covid-19 is a person with symptoms

That's a big jump in deaths

Expect a lot more sadly.

Lots of people in town "can't understand what all the fuss is about".
Spoken to a good friend with poor immunity / issues who thinks it's a lot of "hype".
My DF worked on immunity specifically years ago (mentioned herd immunity) for 7 years and told me to "stay optimistic as it might not be as bad here".

Honestly, the blind leading the blind...

Here's my comparison of Italy and UK on a logarithmic scale. I put us 13 days behind them currently. I also think we have a slightly faster rate of growth. The numbers we received today were very much in line with what would be expected numerically, but it's not easy to prepare for the number of figures to change.

A sad prediction from the chart : we will have 10,000 cases in 10 days time.

The govt Is not going to start fining parents now.

Says who? Genuine question - it's quite a lucrative income for them

A sad prediction from the chart : we will have 10,000 cases in 10 days time.

Even if we're not testing many people?

Sadly, nellodee from this point on, I think it won't be confirmed cases, but rather, deaths that provide the most accurate steer of how much the virus is progressing. Our testing strategy has changed, we cannot usefully compare our confirmed cases with other countries (or even our earlier stats) from the change of testing strategy. Our confirmed cases will begin to reflect only the worst, most critical patients who are admitted to hospital.

But we can make calculations from the number of deaths, and from the confirmed seriously ill patients. This should give insight into how prevalent the virus is in the population.

I'm not sure of the exact lag between testing and results, I've seen anything from 24 hours to 5 days. Although a rapid test is on the way.

Anyone worried about being fined can say their child has a cough. Once the 7 days are up the schools will have closed anyway.