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Lucy Letby

1000 replies

kkloo · 22/07/2026 20:03

New thread as the last one has filled up.

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18
Aluna · 26/07/2026 14:38

“On 26 May 2017, an email record indicates that the NCA…advised Cheshire police to appoint a panel of relevant experts; they clearly defined the disciplines and provided a comprehensive list. They were: Forensic & Neonatal Pathologists, Forensic Toxicologist and/or Clinical Pharmacologist, a Nurse with experience of special baby units, a medical expert with experience of the working practices on a special unit for neonates, an Obstetrician, and experts to review the medical statistics.”

“The advice was national best practice, but Cheshire police ignored it.

“On 28 June 2017, the NCA advisers followed up with a list of potential experts who could fill those posts.

“Dr Watts points out that the “‘back door’ approach by an alleged expert who is clearly looking for work…should have sounded warning bells for the senior investigating officer and the investigating team”.

Daygloboo · 26/07/2026 14:51

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 14:12

Sure, but you've moved from objective to subjective measurements of her competence as nurse, now, and you're describing something which is both influenced by hindsight and a very mixed picture even then, and even by the parents' accounts. Have we any way to compare any of this with other nurses' actions and attitudes? It's all a long way from making someone particularly unusual, or a murderer

But if all behaviour is subjective and irrelevant then why do forensic psychologists exist. They must bevthere for dome reason.

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 14:56

Aluna · 26/07/2026 14:38

“On 26 May 2017, an email record indicates that the NCA…advised Cheshire police to appoint a panel of relevant experts; they clearly defined the disciplines and provided a comprehensive list. They were: Forensic & Neonatal Pathologists, Forensic Toxicologist and/or Clinical Pharmacologist, a Nurse with experience of special baby units, a medical expert with experience of the working practices on a special unit for neonates, an Obstetrician, and experts to review the medical statistics.”

“The advice was national best practice, but Cheshire police ignored it.

“On 28 June 2017, the NCA advisers followed up with a list of potential experts who could fill those posts.

“Dr Watts points out that the “‘back door’ approach by an alleged expert who is clearly looking for work…should have sounded warning bells for the senior investigating officer and the investigating team”.

Edited

I’m going to need more than David Davis’s unevidenced ramblings to parliament. What even are the ‘hard facts’ he says have been examined here? Where is this email, what did it actually say and what have the NCA said about it since?

Aluna · 26/07/2026 15:22

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 14:56

I’m going to need more than David Davis’s unevidenced ramblings to parliament. What even are the ‘hard facts’ he says have been examined here? Where is this email, what did it actually say and what have the NCA said about it since?

Just so we’re clear I don’t care what you “need”. If anything in this case you need to make more effort to get your head round the medical and statistical data and its failures.

If you read the link more carefully you’d see Davis was quoting two retired senior police officers who reviewed the investigative procedures used by Cheshire police: Dr. Steve Watts, who authored the national police guidelines on the investigation of deaths in healthcare settings, and Stuart Clifton who ran the investigation into Beverly Allitt.

I’m not doing your homework for you again.

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 15:46

Aluna · 26/07/2026 15:22

Just so we’re clear I don’t care what you “need”. If anything in this case you need to make more effort to get your head round the medical and statistical data and its failures.

If you read the link more carefully you’d see Davis was quoting two retired senior police officers who reviewed the investigative procedures used by Cheshire police: Dr. Steve Watts, who authored the national police guidelines on the investigation of deaths in healthcare settings, and Stuart Clifton who ran the investigation into Beverly Allitt.

I’m not doing your homework for you again.

I have read it and it says that Watts and Clifton’s only Letby-specific references were Thirlwall documents (the rest were generic guidance and standards). Correct me if I’m wrong (genuinely) but I don’t think that email from the NCA has been considered by Thirlwall has it? And if that’s right, where have they got it from and what does it actually say?

Dolphin37 · 26/07/2026 16:02

rubbishatballet · 25/07/2026 10:47

My recommendation for anyone relatively new to this is to read, if they haven’t already, the Court of Appeal judgment - https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/R-v-Letby-Final-Judgment-20240702.pdf

I expect that oftenaddled will appear soon to point out all the things that the judges got wrong, but it provides a useful summary of what was covered in the main trial. It also discusses Dewi Evans’s suitability as an expert witness. There have been quite a lot of sweeping or misleading statements made on this thread about what did or didn’t happen, and this document might help clarify.

And then in relation to the evidence that we are told has emerged since her convictions, what I would say is that as things stand none of this has been tested within a formal process. There are very very few people who are both qualified to cross-examine the science and who are also in possession of all the relevant facts of these cases, so until I can be sure that has happened I’m not going to have blind faith that the new evidence trumps the evidence that convicted her just because some scientists fanfared as ‘best in the world’ say so.

However, and for what it’s worth, one person who would fall into the category of qualified in (some of) the science and in possession of the facts is Michael Hall, the defence’s medical expert, and we know he has said that there are a number of things in the expert panel report which in his view are not correct or were already considered at trial.

Finally, just to top it all off and really rile a few people up, here’s my vibes-based bit - I do not trust Mark McDonald (LL’s new lawyer), I think he’s a showman and only about his media profile and wanting to be seen as some sort of heroic warrior for justice. I do not think he’s a good lawyer and I am dubious that he has served his international panel as well as he could. My suspicion is that he may not have given them everything they need to properly make their assessments (either wilfully or through incompetence). But I guess we will see, once the CCRC make their decision.

none of this has been tested within a formal process

That's fair, as long as that's not cited as reason for the CCRC to ignore it. Otherwise the argument becomes, it should not be heard in court because it has not been heard in court.

Still, it's worth noting that there are non-trivial reputational mechanisms guarding against unreliability, when people with hard-earned reputations put those reputations on the line. There is a running list of experts who have spoken out at https://jollycontrarian.com/index.php?title=Lucy_Letby:_those_experts_in_full .

I do think that the expert panel should have published their full reports for public scrutiny, and not just the summaries. All documents that go into decisions by public bodies such as the CCRC should be public.

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 16:32

Daygloboo · 26/07/2026 14:51

But if all behaviour is subjective and irrelevant then why do forensic psychologists exist. They must bevthere for dome reason.

Sure, but I don't believe any have commented on this or been given all the information they need to do that. Of course, you are free to take into account what you like, but for me a lot of the non-medical information on this case ends up on the "doesn't tell us anything either way" pile. Everyone has their own definition of strange behaviour so if you are declaring her strange, okay. But in my mind, that doesn't mean likely to be a murderer.

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 16:46

Dolphin37 · 26/07/2026 16:02

none of this has been tested within a formal process

That's fair, as long as that's not cited as reason for the CCRC to ignore it. Otherwise the argument becomes, it should not be heard in court because it has not been heard in court.

Still, it's worth noting that there are non-trivial reputational mechanisms guarding against unreliability, when people with hard-earned reputations put those reputations on the line. There is a running list of experts who have spoken out at https://jollycontrarian.com/index.php?title=Lucy_Letby:_those_experts_in_full .

I do think that the expert panel should have published their full reports for public scrutiny, and not just the summaries. All documents that go into decisions by public bodies such as the CCRC should be public.

Edited

I did initially think the panel should publish everything for public scrutiny, but the reports will get direct expert scrutiny, starting with the CCRC. They're also obviously of a slightly contingent nature until the experts are given access to the obstetrics files: there will be elements to revise, elaborate etc.

And having seen how many senseless but persistent internet myths grew up from the information we have - based on openly amateur analysis - I think there would have been downsides. The mothers' and the children's privacy is another consideration - it needs to be balanced against Lucy Letby's interests of course, by her legal team. So I think the summaries were a reasonable choice in the end

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 17:06

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 14:56

I’m going to need more than David Davis’s unevidenced ramblings to parliament. What even are the ‘hard facts’ he says have been examined here? Where is this email, what did it actually say and what have the NCA said about it since?

There have been a number of leaks alleged from Operation Hummingbird: early sifting of cases, Dr Jayaram's email concerning baby K (this perhaps from Thirlwall), and the emails and other material Davis, Watts and Clifton have commented on. Both journalists and MPs' offices have ways of verifying sources, but obviously they will often protect these sources. But it's extremely unlikely that they won't have done so before publishing / addressing parliament.

Some corroboration for Davies's statement comes in the subsequent quite unusual public correspondence with Cheshire Constabulary. The police objected to his characterisation of their case as built around one expert, and they presented a counter-argument, but did not deny that claim about the NCA. (I accept that their counter-argument was not exhaustive, but it would have been a straightforward point to deny). Their letter, and Davies's response, linked at https://www.reddit.com/r/LucyLetbyTrials/s/v0sAtcwp1j

Dolphin37 · 26/07/2026 17:11

Firefly1987 · 25/07/2026 21:11

That logic works just the same if she's innocent surely? Why not get rid of them unless they were VERY important to her? She knew how it'd look.

She probably harmed babies in small ways before she moved onto murder so they weren't "failures" to her.

Why not get rid of them unless they were VERY important to her?

I keep lots of things that are not important to me. But even if keeping meant they were important, nothing supports the inference that they were important specifically as mementos of crime, rather than e.g. as reminders of work that she loved.

MargaretThursday · 26/07/2026 17:26

Dolphin37 · 26/07/2026 17:11

Why not get rid of them unless they were VERY important to her?

I keep lots of things that are not important to me. But even if keeping meant they were important, nothing supports the inference that they were important specifically as mementos of crime, rather than e.g. as reminders of work that she loved.

YEs, I've got a drawer full of half used covid tests (ie a box of 5 and 2 used), because various people passed them to me (like dd's student house).
They're all after their best before date and a good number of them the liquid has dried up so I couldn't use them if I wanted to. They would have been got in 2021, and I keep thinking I must get rid of them, but I've not quite decided how.
Should I just chuck them in the bin?
Or take them out of the cardboard and put recycleables in one bin the rest in the other?
Do they need to go to the chemist, like old drugs?

And I've got so much else that needs tidying that a drawer is the bottom of the list because it's away and hidden.

I might manage to sort them when I retire in around 2050...

Aluna · 26/07/2026 17:50

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 15:46

I have read it and it says that Watts and Clifton’s only Letby-specific references were Thirlwall documents (the rest were generic guidance and standards). Correct me if I’m wrong (genuinely) but I don’t think that email from the NCA has been considered by Thirlwall has it? And if that’s right, where have they got it from and what does it actually say?

”On 26 May 2017, an email record indicates that the NCA…advised Cheshire police to appoint a panel of relevant experts; they clearly defined the disciplines and provided a comprehensive list.
^^
“They were: Forensic & Neonatal Pathologists, Forensic Toxicologist and/or Clinical Pharmacologist, a Nurse with experience of special baby units, a medical expert with experience of the working practices on a special unit for neonates, an Obstetrician, and experts to review the medical statistics.”
^^
“The advice was national best practice, but Cheshire police ignored it.
^^
“On 28 June 2017, the NCA advisers followed up with a list of potential experts who could fill those posts…. Instead of drawing up a multidisciplinary panel, Dr Watts states, Operation Hummingbird…built its entire medical case around one expert.”

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2026-03-26/debates/250DBCCA-C579-4ABB-8AFC-C2E8D036533A/LucyLetbyCaseConductOfCheshirePolice

Dr Watts’s source I don’t know, I don’t recall it being discussed at the Thirlwall.

Aluna · 26/07/2026 17:55

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 17:06

There have been a number of leaks alleged from Operation Hummingbird: early sifting of cases, Dr Jayaram's email concerning baby K (this perhaps from Thirlwall), and the emails and other material Davis, Watts and Clifton have commented on. Both journalists and MPs' offices have ways of verifying sources, but obviously they will often protect these sources. But it's extremely unlikely that they won't have done so before publishing / addressing parliament.

Some corroboration for Davies's statement comes in the subsequent quite unusual public correspondence with Cheshire Constabulary. The police objected to his characterisation of their case as built around one expert, and they presented a counter-argument, but did not deny that claim about the NCA. (I accept that their counter-argument was not exhaustive, but it would have been a straightforward point to deny). Their letter, and Davies's response, linked at https://www.reddit.com/r/LucyLetbyTrials/s/v0sAtcwp1j

Equally Evans himself is quoted as saying that, when asked by Cheshire police if they should find further experts, he advised them they were not necessary at that stage.

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 18:09

Aluna · 26/07/2026 17:50

”On 26 May 2017, an email record indicates that the NCA…advised Cheshire police to appoint a panel of relevant experts; they clearly defined the disciplines and provided a comprehensive list.
^^
“They were: Forensic & Neonatal Pathologists, Forensic Toxicologist and/or Clinical Pharmacologist, a Nurse with experience of special baby units, a medical expert with experience of the working practices on a special unit for neonates, an Obstetrician, and experts to review the medical statistics.”
^^
“The advice was national best practice, but Cheshire police ignored it.
^^
“On 28 June 2017, the NCA advisers followed up with a list of potential experts who could fill those posts…. Instead of drawing up a multidisciplinary panel, Dr Watts states, Operation Hummingbird…built its entire medical case around one expert.”

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2026-03-26/debates/250DBCCA-C579-4ABB-8AFC-C2E8D036533A/LucyLetbyCaseConductOfCheshirePolice

Dr Watts’s source I don’t know, I don’t recall it being discussed at the Thirlwall.

I’m not sure that just posting all this again is going to get us any closer to an answer.

Aluna · 26/07/2026 18:28

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 18:09

I’m not sure that just posting all this again is going to get us any closer to an answer.

Because you didn’t seem to have read it.

It clearly states that 2 key emails were sent by the NCA to Cheshire police, on what dates, covering guidance specific to this case - that goes beyond general NCA guidelines for investigations.

If you want to know the source contact Dr Watts and David Davis yourself.

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 18:29

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 17:06

There have been a number of leaks alleged from Operation Hummingbird: early sifting of cases, Dr Jayaram's email concerning baby K (this perhaps from Thirlwall), and the emails and other material Davis, Watts and Clifton have commented on. Both journalists and MPs' offices have ways of verifying sources, but obviously they will often protect these sources. But it's extremely unlikely that they won't have done so before publishing / addressing parliament.

Some corroboration for Davies's statement comes in the subsequent quite unusual public correspondence with Cheshire Constabulary. The police objected to his characterisation of their case as built around one expert, and they presented a counter-argument, but did not deny that claim about the NCA. (I accept that their counter-argument was not exhaustive, but it would have been a straightforward point to deny). Their letter, and Davies's response, linked at https://www.reddit.com/r/LucyLetbyTrials/s/v0sAtcwp1j

If David Davis has got any emails I don’t get why it’s all so incredibly vague. Who at the NCA sent the emails? Who at Operation Hummingbird received them? What exactly did the emails say? And why wouldn’t he attach them with his response to the Chief Constable (even if he didn’t publish them) if he really wanted him to get back in his box?

As with so much of this discourse we’re just expected to accept things as ‘fact’ with absolutely nothing to back it up. Do you know who the online source is who he says had “elucidated the documents of origin for every statement”?

Cracking letter from the Chief Constable though.

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 18:55

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 18:29

If David Davis has got any emails I don’t get why it’s all so incredibly vague. Who at the NCA sent the emails? Who at Operation Hummingbird received them? What exactly did the emails say? And why wouldn’t he attach them with his response to the Chief Constable (even if he didn’t publish them) if he really wanted him to get back in his box?

As with so much of this discourse we’re just expected to accept things as ‘fact’ with absolutely nothing to back it up. Do you know who the online source is who he says had “elucidated the documents of origin for every statement”?

Cracking letter from the Chief Constable though.

I don't see why he would have sent the emails from the NCA to the Chief Constable, when the Chief Constable didn't in fact challenge this part of his speech.

I wouldn't have expected him to name the individuals sending the emails either - that would have struck me as quite unnecessary exposure for whoever happened to write up and send the advice.

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 19:06

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 18:29

If David Davis has got any emails I don’t get why it’s all so incredibly vague. Who at the NCA sent the emails? Who at Operation Hummingbird received them? What exactly did the emails say? And why wouldn’t he attach them with his response to the Chief Constable (even if he didn’t publish them) if he really wanted him to get back in his box?

As with so much of this discourse we’re just expected to accept things as ‘fact’ with absolutely nothing to back it up. Do you know who the online source is who he says had “elucidated the documents of origin for every statement”?

Cracking letter from the Chief Constable though.

Well he references the emails in his letter even though the Chief Constable didn’t challenge that part of his speech. I don’t understand what he is expecting the CC to do with that completely unevidenced claim.

Oftenaddled · 26/07/2026 19:13

rubbishatballet · 26/07/2026 19:06

Well he references the emails in his letter even though the Chief Constable didn’t challenge that part of his speech. I don’t understand what he is expecting the CC to do with that completely unevidenced claim.

I presume he expected the Chief Constable to check back with the Operation Hummingbird team, who would have the correspondence and log books for the operation on hand.

Firefly1987 · 26/07/2026 20:15

Dolphin37 · 26/07/2026 17:11

Why not get rid of them unless they were VERY important to her?

I keep lots of things that are not important to me. But even if keeping meant they were important, nothing supports the inference that they were important specifically as mementos of crime, rather than e.g. as reminders of work that she loved.

I'm talking about in the context of a police investigation, knowing she's a suspect, and knowing she's not supposed to have them in the first place. Which I'm sure you know is not the same as the rest of us not bothering to get rid of stuff. Aren't you the one that first said why didn't she get rid of them if she's guilty? I'm just pointing out if she's innocent it's the same question-she knows it looks bad. She could easily get rid of them, for some reason she didn't.

Frequency · 26/07/2026 20:21

Firefly1987 · 26/07/2026 20:15

I'm talking about in the context of a police investigation, knowing she's a suspect, and knowing she's not supposed to have them in the first place. Which I'm sure you know is not the same as the rest of us not bothering to get rid of stuff. Aren't you the one that first said why didn't she get rid of them if she's guilty? I'm just pointing out if she's innocent it's the same question-she knows it looks bad. She could easily get rid of them, for some reason she didn't.

The most logical reason would be that she forgot about them/didn't think about them because they're not important to her.

Do you have any points to raise on the medical evidence? The discussion on the handover sheets has been done to death. We will only be able to speculate on why she had them and you're never going to accept an innocent explanation, no matter how sensible it is, so it's pointless continuing to debate it with you.

Iamateadrinker · 26/07/2026 20:26

And let me tell you, if I was under investigation for something I'd done, the first thing I would do would be get rid of any " trophies" " mementoes" or anything else that could be used against me....so I infer from the fact that she didn't that they really were inconsequential.

Iamateadrinker · 26/07/2026 20:27

I keep coming back to the lack of concrete evidence that a crime was committed...

Firefly1987 · 26/07/2026 20:47

Daygloboo · 26/07/2026 14:37

Yes, actually, I did. Started on the Private Eye stuff. I shall read all of it. But I dont think it's convincing to label ' fancifil' or 'lurid' any of those arguments someone else comes up with just because they dont fit with your point of view. It's like saying LL is innocent because.....I said so. I wonder what would have happened if LL had been found with a smoking gun in her hand . " Sorry Witness A, with the 20/30 vision, but you should have gone to Specsavers". Maybe, when I've read all of it, I'll come to the same conclusion as you. Who knows. Maybe I am talking through the hole in my hat. But there still seems to me to be an awful lot of weird stuff going on in this case - which cant just conveniently be dismissed as irrelevant.

Thank you. At least someone else can see the potential serial killer behaviour. I'm sure someone will parrot back their favourite line "if there were no murders none of that matters"-only the whole point is trying to establish IF there were murders or not. And her behaviour certainly points towards there being murders.

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