There does seem to be some actual overdiagnosis.
when my eldest started reception 9 years ago there were kids who stood out as different and they have all gone on much later to get diagnosed. What makes less sense is the kids who at no point have had any issues related to asd who have then got diagnosed. Those are thr completely standard average kids. Some have dyslexia so seem to have spiraled after the dyslexia diagnosis.
Generally i would prioritise the younger adults as some of them were referred ages ago but never reached top of paeds list.
NHS arent great at diagnosing anything so why would ND be any different?
Personally i think a more evidence approach to both asd and adhd would be better.
So school reports that say x struggles to work in a team. Y scoring low on concentration. Logs of issues with clubs.
I had a spreadsheet of issues from nursery age upwards. Every year. Adhd is crazily based on just teacher rating the students, our teacher ignored the issues we had said about and admitted they couldnt answer some questions.
I assume some of the increase in referrals is
People wanting RAP passes for theme parks
DLA
Exam adjustments
Some adjustments in classroom
The deterioration of general child behaviour and more relaxed parenting with other kids being impacted
Dyslexia isnt being diagnosed by schools
Increased academics pushed on 4 year olds
Increased intervention by parents in kids friendships
I mean all of these areas are things uk is getting wrong. Huge queues for rides. Exams are way too short even if you work fast. Why does a 4 year old need to write?
Kids are not making or maintaining friendships themselves. Parents are manipulating them. And even clubs like scouts they ensure the kids already has friends there so dont need to make new friends. 'oh is anyones kids doing xyz?' Moving to secondary the kids are put with at least one mate. Even the teachers- oh x is too close to y we must separate them. And teachers completely controlling seating plans!
Its not really a surprise seemimgly quiet kids are not enjoying school, they are just not complaining. They are being intentionally sat away from friends and with the louder kids.
Lets put a target on for kids being potty trained by 3 again which will help identify kids who do struggle.
I think kids comong into school so lacki g skills can only be nursery. My eldest they spent time doing phonics etc but little time doing any learning about social things it was free play. My youngest the nursery did no learning (fine) but no real prep for school still socially about compromise etc.
I would say my eldest would nowadays have been ID as audhd at a good nursery.
Their friend was similar but was referred at reception but fobbed off by peaditrician but later diagnosed.
Im not convinced the dsm requirements of it starting from a young age are being adhered to nor the having impact on life.
i do think adults just wanting a diagnosis for the sake of it are perhaps a li ttle selfish - it costs 2k to the nhs for each would you pay that yourself? As several parents i know who are well off wont pay.