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Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn

1000 replies

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 14:25

Over the next five years, the OBR is forecasting that UK welfare spending will rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn.

How does everyone feel about this? I’m livid because I pay lots of tax. I don’t mind paying tax to maintain a civilised society - but this? This is surely taking the piss and will result in weaker and weaker services as the amount of £ available reduces day by day.

YANBU - it’s totally deranged. The every growing uk population can’t function effectively on such a benefits for all basis.

YABU - this welfare spending bill is truly representative of need.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
Thread gallery
9
topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 16:27

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:24

That line very much gives away your agenda.

Oh ok. Thanks for letting me know. Do tell me what ‘my agenda’ is, please.

OP posts:
HarvestMouseandGoldenCups · 23/01/2026 16:27

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 14:30

What annoys me is that there is a large chunk of the population who won’t be assessed further and are not required to look for work-ever! I know some never will be able to, but I think that with advances in medicine and possible adaptions to the work place, surely some could do some type of work, instead of being written off for ever!

The issue for many isn’t that they’re not capable of any work… but that nobody would hire them. Why would companies pay the same money per hour (as is legally required) to hire someone who is possibly less capable of doing the work/ less available/ needs more adjustments made etc. There’s enough workers without added difficulties that they don’t need to.

So people who have health issues or who are ND are passed over even if they could work some hours on some days with some adjustments.

TiredofLDN · 23/01/2026 16:27

This is nothing to do with “spongers”. It’s the natural consequence of:

  • an aging population (pensions)
  • right to buy and privatization of the rental market (unaffordable rents driving up housing benefit)
  • over a decade of underinvestment in the NHS, leading to long term sick leave when minor problems that could be treated, become intractable major ones
  • inadequate funding of early years childcare, meaning particularly single parents are unable to make it make sense to work full time
  • over a decade of underfunding in social care, leading to healthy adults leaving the workforce to become full time carers to children, disabled and older adults
  • over a decade of underfunding in CAHMs and early prevention, leading to children growing up and “aging into” the workforce and finding that they are not at all capable of preparing for the world of work

I could go on. But there’re vanishingly few people out there who want to rely on state benefits - pensioners don’t prefer state money to private pension income; nobody wants their relative or child to be so dependent on them for care that they have to leave the workforce. Nobody wants to pay private landlords 1000s a month for insecure and unsuitable accommodation.

But here we are. And now the chickens are coming home to roost.

EasternStandard · 23/01/2026 16:28

Viviennemary · 23/01/2026 16:21

Its total madness. They should have brought in those welfare reforms when they had the chance. Worse than that they reversed the two child benefit cap. Now we have no money for increase in defence spending. I wonder what benefits are like in Putins Russia.

Labour did say they wanted to bring the cost down but both of these are in the opposite direction.

YesSirICanNameChange · 23/01/2026 16:28

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 15:47

Oh dear. So judgmental. So wrong. So not surprising. I’m disabled myself. As in I have a physical disability that is incurable. I’m also a high earner. How does that fit in your judgy little box?

Ok, help us out then. How can I become a high earner with no driving licence, the inability to do manual labour for any extended period and no jobs locally?

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 16:28

TigerRag · 23/01/2026 16:06

What's the point of constantly reassessing people? I'm due to be reassessed this year for pip just in case I've been cured of the incurable disabilities I was born with. I was even told I was cured when they originally assessed me. I was told when I was diagnosed that there's no cure and there still isn't

I'm more concerned about people constantly being denied benefits and then having to appeal. 70% of people who go to a pip tribunal win. That's got to cost an awful lost. Why can't we look into why this is happening instead of trying to take money off the most vulnerable?

Edited

I agree. I meant people whose condition may/could change. not people in your position.

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 16:30

poetryandwine · 23/01/2026 15:59

I agree Child Benefit should consider the income of both parents, unless they live apart and one does not support the child.

Agree- why has nothing been done about this injustice?

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:31

Samdelila · 23/01/2026 16:24

I would like to know this too. Where can we find out how much is being spent on each aspect of welfare? Is there a pie chart or something that shows this in a way that will make sense to, ahem, relatively innumerate people such as myself?

.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
Burntt · 23/01/2026 16:31

Well the LA won’t find a school place for my disabled child forcing me to drastically reduce work and care for him. So I love off your tax money. Not my fault though. Every child has a right to an education but disabled children are being shafted while the parents get all this judgement we lazy leeches. I’m not paying off my mortgage or into a pension. My whole life had been ripped apart and I will care till I’m too infirm in poverty until I die because the roll of the dice is I have a disabled child and his rights mean nothing to society

LemonyCurd · 23/01/2026 16:32

Where there is a will, there’s a way. Or, you know, Trump.

aCatCalledFawkes · 23/01/2026 16:32

Viviennemary · 23/01/2026 16:21

Its total madness. They should have brought in those welfare reforms when they had the chance. Worse than that they reversed the two child benefit cap. Now we have no money for increase in defence spending. I wonder what benefits are like in Putins Russia.

i actually don’t care about the two child benefit rule because I think first and foremost most we should tackle why higher income households on two wages are still entitled to child benefit over single people on the same income living alone with kids. It makes no sense at all.

Boomer55 · 23/01/2026 16:33

BlueJuniper94 · 23/01/2026 15:51

Any party that tackled that issue would become unelectable.

And let's not forget we really need to start thinking about defence lest we really start getting pushed around by bigger boys

Would they? And yet every poll shows Regotm in the lead, who wish to end most of these welfare payments. 🤷‍♀️

CandidOP · 23/01/2026 16:33

My husband is a higher rate taxpayer and I am on a small pension (medical retirement) We are absolutely fine with the amount of tax he pays. Employers need an educated healthy workforce, a good transport and digital infrastructure. Society needs a good policing and justice system etc. Of course none of these things are great at the moment precisely because the last government prioritised cutting individual tax bills over keeping our society and our economy going so this is where we have ended up. Most of the welfare bill goes on pensions and in work benefits. Housing benefit is pretty much out of control because the Conservatives sold the Council Houses and now people have to pay whatever the private rented sector asks for. Meanwhile most of those who bought their council houses with enormous discounts ended up ultimately selling to private landlords. I am interested in the comment that we can't afford the NHS. Who do you think could afford to pay thousands of pounds a year for Insurance as in the USA?

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 16:33

Samdelila · 23/01/2026 16:24

I would like to know this too. Where can we find out how much is being spent on each aspect of welfare? Is there a pie chart or something that shows this in a way that will make sense to, ahem, relatively innumerate people such as myself?

There are some charts here if you click the archive link to the news article I linked earlier. Here again fyi

https://archive.ph/DWQBX

OP posts:
bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:34

I don’t have an issue with lifting the 2 child cap

child benefit should be universal, it used to be and is in many other countries.

Badacrowe · 23/01/2026 16:35

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:12

@Badacrowe state pension is a benefit, what is so hard to understand?!

The State Pension is labelled a “benefit” for political convenience. Even people who never worked get it as ageing is universal, and surviving shouldn’t mean being poor.

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 16:35

HarvestMouseandGoldenCups · 23/01/2026 16:27

The issue for many isn’t that they’re not capable of any work… but that nobody would hire them. Why would companies pay the same money per hour (as is legally required) to hire someone who is possibly less capable of doing the work/ less available/ needs more adjustments made etc. There’s enough workers without added difficulties that they don’t need to.

So people who have health issues or who are ND are passed over even if they could work some hours on some days with some adjustments.

Edited

See what you mean. There’s no solution is there?

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:35

@CandidOP I said with the current model we cannot afford the state pension and the NHS.

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:36

Boomer55 · 23/01/2026 16:33

Would they? And yet every poll shows Regotm in the lead, who wish to end most of these welfare payments. 🤷‍♀️

However, Reform's core support is amongst people on benefits. A conundrum for Farage.

Boomer55 · 23/01/2026 16:37

Badacrowe · 23/01/2026 16:35

The State Pension is labelled a “benefit” for political convenience. Even people who never worked get it as ageing is universal, and surviving shouldn’t mean being poor.

Yep. Until Cameron was in power, it was separate, along with Widows payments. Then they decided to call everything “welfare handouts” 🙄🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 16:37

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:34

I don’t have an issue with lifting the 2 child cap

child benefit should be universal, it used to be and is in many other countries.

You do realise it’s not about what is known family allowance, which every child is entitled to?

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:39

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:36

However, Reform's core support is amongst people on benefits. A conundrum for Farage.

Which never makes sense to me!

Julen7 · 23/01/2026 16:39

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 16:37

You do realise it’s not about what is known family allowance, which every child is entitled to?

Yes I think there is some confusion here.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:40

@Allseeingallknowing I don’t understand what you mean. The 2 child cap is separate to child benefit. Child benefit needs to be paid back if you earn “ too much”.

Boomer55 · 23/01/2026 16:42

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:36

However, Reform's core support is amongst people on benefits. A conundrum for Farage.

Well it’s spread amongst many groups - rural communities, pensioners not on means tested benefits etc

They have made it crystal clear that they don’t buy into adult sickness/disability claims for anxiety etc or things for children like ADHD etc. They've made it clear they dont acknowledge “long COVID”

I don’t know or care if they will be elected - but things might change if they are. 🤷‍♀️

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