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Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn

1000 replies

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 14:25

Over the next five years, the OBR is forecasting that UK welfare spending will rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn.

How does everyone feel about this? I’m livid because I pay lots of tax. I don’t mind paying tax to maintain a civilised society - but this? This is surely taking the piss and will result in weaker and weaker services as the amount of £ available reduces day by day.

YANBU - it’s totally deranged. The every growing uk population can’t function effectively on such a benefits for all basis.

YABU - this welfare spending bill is truly representative of need.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
Thread gallery
9
TallulahBetty · 23/01/2026 16:03

Oopsylazy · 23/01/2026 14:42

🙄

Someone on a £100K salary in the UK pays 40% in taxes. Are you aware of this?

If you tax the rich so highly there’s no point in them being here they’ll move to another country - as is happening. Last time I checked the UK had lost 15% of high earners under the new Labour government.

Do you genuinely think that they are taxed at 40% on all of it? So a net income of 60k? Surely you know that's not how it works

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 16:05

This article is from last year. But there’s interesting data there.

https://archive.ph/DWQBX

(link no paywall)

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:05

@EasternStandard are you looking for an argument or simply confused?

You replied to my post asking a question, I just answered it 🤷🏻‍♀️

toooldforbrat · 23/01/2026 16:06

EasternStandard · 23/01/2026 15:49

Have they? The tax burden is the highest in 70 odd years

but the demand is also the highest its been and growing .

ExtraOnions · 23/01/2026 16:06

Until we start to make (very profitable) companies, pay decent wages, instead of lining the pockets if shareholders, we will continue to be in the situation. Nobody, working full time, should need to get a tax payer top up.

TigerRag · 23/01/2026 16:06

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 14:30

What annoys me is that there is a large chunk of the population who won’t be assessed further and are not required to look for work-ever! I know some never will be able to, but I think that with advances in medicine and possible adaptions to the work place, surely some could do some type of work, instead of being written off for ever!

What's the point of constantly reassessing people? I'm due to be reassessed this year for pip just in case I've been cured of the incurable disabilities I was born with. I was even told I was cured when they originally assessed me. I was told when I was diagnosed that there's no cure and there still isn't

I'm more concerned about people constantly being denied benefits and then having to appeal. 70% of people who go to a pip tribunal win. That's got to cost an awful lost. Why can't we look into why this is happening instead of trying to take money off the most vulnerable?

Bargepole45 · 23/01/2026 16:07

LadyKenya · 23/01/2026 15:58

Why mention that he is a drug user then? It should have no relevance whatsoever. So don't tell me how to read a post. Good Day!

Who are you to say that it should have no relevance? You aren't the MN police. People can read the post and decide themselves if him being a drug user is pertinent.

You accused them of lying and they weren't.

EasternStandard · 23/01/2026 16:11

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:05

@EasternStandard are you looking for an argument or simply confused?

You replied to my post asking a question, I just answered it 🤷🏻‍♀️

Neither. Idk what you’re on about here tbf

Tax is high already ie the tax burden, if you want spending to go up you’ll need a way to do it. Borrowing is already maxxed out.

Thewonderfuleveryday · 23/01/2026 16:12

tiger yes, I've been moved over from tax credits to universal credit recently. I think everyone will be moved over by the spring.

Fearfulsaints · 23/01/2026 16:13

Im not sure how I feel. It sounds a big increase but my understanding is this is a rise from 10% of gdp to 11% of gdp which doesnt sound as scary. I think the scary bit is that this is when people have been trying to reduce the bill so even when trying it seems to get higher.

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 16:14

‘Families on benefits can be better off than those earning £70k’

That shouldn’t be a thing. People shouldn’t be better off on benefits than working. What a mess.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
LadyKenya · 23/01/2026 16:15

TigerRag · 23/01/2026 16:06

What's the point of constantly reassessing people? I'm due to be reassessed this year for pip just in case I've been cured of the incurable disabilities I was born with. I was even told I was cured when they originally assessed me. I was told when I was diagnosed that there's no cure and there still isn't

I'm more concerned about people constantly being denied benefits and then having to appeal. 70% of people who go to a pip tribunal win. That's got to cost an awful lost. Why can't we look into why this is happening instead of trying to take money off the most vulnerable?

Edited

When the Government was first talking about reforms, regarding PIP, one would have thought that the way assessments are being carried out, and who is overseeing them, would have been under scrutiny. No such luck, and pointless continual assessments, and tribunals, for some claimants, will continue, at a colossal cost to the taxpayer.

UserFront242 · 23/01/2026 16:16

Bargepole45 · 23/01/2026 16:07

Who are you to say that it should have no relevance? You aren't the MN police. People can read the post and decide themselves if him being a drug user is pertinent.

You accused them of lying and they weren't.

It just was not relevant, and was posted to get people frothing.
You can be on PIP and work.
You can be on PIP and be a drug addict.
You can work and be a drug addict.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:17

@topicalaffair

How does the article break that down though? Is it due to high rental and childcare costs? Disability payments?

Viviennemary · 23/01/2026 16:21

Its total madness. They should have brought in those welfare reforms when they had the chance. Worse than that they reversed the two child benefit cap. Now we have no money for increase in defence spending. I wonder what benefits are like in Putins Russia.

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:21

<Deep breath> - my mother's-sister's-neighbour's-nephew's-daughter is claiming PIP for acne plus UC. DWP also pay for a support monkey and a goat. And of course she has a free Range Rover to cart the animals about.

It is outrageous.

Have fun on MN @topicalaffair Always good to have a fresh benefits bashing thread from a fresh name.😊

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:22

Viviennemary · 23/01/2026 16:21

Its total madness. They should have brought in those welfare reforms when they had the chance. Worse than that they reversed the two child benefit cap. Now we have no money for increase in defence spending. I wonder what benefits are like in Putins Russia.

🤣 I knew you would be all over this like a case of measles, viv.

Neurodiversitydoctor · 23/01/2026 16:23

dottiedodah · 23/01/2026 14:41

AreyousureaskedNaomi Old age pensions shouldnt be included really .I am still waiting for mine! In my 60s still some way to go though.We have paid our dues and havent claimed any benefits at all.DH worked 40 years!I also think the job market generally is hard .Many younger people struggle with Interviews and are not really equipped for jobs nowadays .Should they all starve ?

DH worked 40 years ? and you ?. The attitude that " I payed my dues " is usually flawed. Unless you (nevermind your DH he was paying for his own retirement) were a higher rate payer you haven't put in what you will take out.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 16:23

Tax is high already ie the tax burden, if you want spending to go up you’ll need a way to do it. Borrowing is already maxxed out

@EasternStandard but what does this have to do with my post about austerity and a lack of investment?

What do you think are some of the factors as to why we have had nearly 2 decades of low productivity?

Dustyfustyoldcarcass · 23/01/2026 16:24

Nikii83 · 23/01/2026 14:33

The biggest cost is rent, due to the lack of affordable social housing and the large increases in cost of private sector rent. Then the triple lock state retirement pension.

until we regulate rent and have better social housing stock and people are paid an actual living wage the cost will continue to soar

This. Housing is the problem here. Your tax is going to private landlords instead of back into a social housing system. We need a government willing to accept that houses genuinely need to be built for social rent or nothing will change.

Most renters wouldn't mind paying somewhere between what they pay now and a social rent. It doesn't have to be dirt cheap, just affordable and secure.

Samdelila · 23/01/2026 16:24

rereturner · 23/01/2026 14:47

I’d want to know more about what costs come under this definition and the breakdown/proportion of spending on each aspect.

Id also add that, when attempting longer term projections of costs, it is a useful exercise - but pretty much the only thing you can guarantee is that the figure you come up with will turn out to be wrong in the end……

I would like to know this too. Where can we find out how much is being spent on each aspect of welfare? Is there a pie chart or something that shows this in a way that will make sense to, ahem, relatively innumerate people such as myself?

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:24

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 15:53

Yes. And millions of the electorate will continue to vote for the party that pays them.

That line very much gives away your agenda.

Frequency · 23/01/2026 16:25

You should try getting your "news" from sources other than Twatter.

https://obr.uk/economic-and-fiscal-outlooks/

EFOs - Office for Budget Responsibility

https://obr.uk/economic-and-fiscal-outlooks/

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 16:26

Viviennemary · 23/01/2026 16:21

Its total madness. They should have brought in those welfare reforms when they had the chance. Worse than that they reversed the two child benefit cap. Now we have no money for increase in defence spending. I wonder what benefits are like in Putins Russia.

I’m the first in the queue to criticise Starmer. Can’t stand the hypocritical misogynistic man. However as you allude to, he did try to get some benefit reform through. Sadly he was thwarted by his looney left back benches.

OP posts:
YesSirICanNameChange · 23/01/2026 16:26

PandoraSocks · 23/01/2026 16:22

🤣 I knew you would be all over this like a case of measles, viv.

The only three certain survivors after nuclear apocalypse will be cockroaches, Twinkies and Vivienne's shit welfare opinions.

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