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Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn

1000 replies

topicalaffair · 23/01/2026 14:25

Over the next five years, the OBR is forecasting that UK welfare spending will rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn.

How does everyone feel about this? I’m livid because I pay lots of tax. I don’t mind paying tax to maintain a civilised society - but this? This is surely taking the piss and will result in weaker and weaker services as the amount of £ available reduces day by day.

YANBU - it’s totally deranged. The every growing uk population can’t function effectively on such a benefits for all basis.

YABU - this welfare spending bill is truly representative of need.

Welfare spending to rise by £73.2bn to £406.2bn
OP posts:
Thread gallery
9
Papyrophile · 23/01/2026 15:27

Wildbushlady · 23/01/2026 15:25

Pensions should only be paid to citizens who were born in the UK.

In which case, foreign nationals would have to be permitted to accumulate savings and to repatriate the nest egg in retirement.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:28

Wildbushlady · 23/01/2026 15:25

Pensions should only be paid to citizens who were born in the UK.

🤔

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 15:28

Christmasinmecar · 23/01/2026 15:23

Why are we keeping elderly people alive with no quality of life? I'm not saying put them down so to speak. But why keep dragging life out with endless needless tests, medicines just so that can exsist like a living corpse in a hospital bed or care home?
My grandad had obvious symptoms of bowel cancer [I was Marie Curie nurse for 20 odd years] His gp sent him to hospital for barium meal, he collasped at the hospital through stress and was kept in over night before demanding I take him home the next day. He died at home 2 days later, I'm sure the stress helped finish him off. Had he stayed in hospital god knows how long they would have pumped him with drugs.

Harsh but true

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:28

That will be great for the NHS!

UserFront242 · 23/01/2026 15:28

OonaStubbs · 23/01/2026 15:23

It can't keep going on like this, sooner or later things have to change drastically. There are far too many economically inactive or economically underachieving people in this country and we can't keep taxing everyone else more and more to pay for them all.

What do you mean by "economically underachieving people"?

Jan1205 · 23/01/2026 15:28

Christmasinmecar · 23/01/2026 15:26

But she might be a pensioner one day and will probably U turn on that comment.😀

I will genuinely be astonished if state pension (at least in its current form) still exists when I reach retirement age! As such I have taken my own steps to actively plan for retirement so that I can sustain myself at the time, I don’t think it’s unreasonable to give younger people a lot of notice that they need to do the same and to therefore incentivise doing so

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:29

People have prioritised tax cuts over investment and now they need pensions / healthcare / social care and its not there and due to the falling birth rate , anti immigration etc sufficient workers are not there to pay the tax to support

this is the crux of it.

Jan1205 · 23/01/2026 15:31

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:27

@Jan1205 to have any hope of productivity improvements I think we need to reform it now. This generation of pensioners as a whole are wealthier than upcoming ones.

I don’t disagree but I do think there’s a balance between what is achievable without insane backlash (look at the winter fuel payment fiasco) and what is the best plan overall

By moving to means testing in the near future, followed by further reforms staggered over years with much notice, I think it’s a ‘best of both’ method.

No government will do a total overhaul as it will be so unpopular they will essentially have thrown their own funeral

lifeonmars100 · 23/01/2026 15:31

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 14:46

you want to make any real change to welfare spending, you have to look at pensioners. I suspect few governments would be brave enough to tackle this in any meaningful way.
One way to immediately ease this problem would be to abolish the triple lock. It would cause quite a bit of outrage, however

it’s ridiculous that a household bring in up to 70k still gets the winter fuel but look at the outcry. People will vote for what benefits them.

I found this in the Age Uk webiste so I guess they are correct, the payment only benefits pensioners on £35k p. a.or less

The Winter Fuel Payment is an annual payment to help you with heating costs during the colder months. You must have reached State Pension age. Your Winter Fuel Payment will be recovered through the tax system if your taxable income is over £35,000.

YesSirICanNameChange · 23/01/2026 15:32

I'm in the LCWRA group. I think I could probably work full time from home, or part time close to home.

Every single job currently available in a 10 mile radius of my house requires either a driving licence, or a significant amount of physical activity that I'd be unable to do. The government is obsessed with companies getting people back to the office so home working jobs are few and far between.

What am I supposed to do? I'm retraining into an industry with more work from home jobs, but that'll be a good few years until I'm qualified.

chrsanthenum · 23/01/2026 15:32

Nikii83 · 23/01/2026 14:33

The biggest cost is rent, due to the lack of affordable social housing and the large increases in cost of private sector rent. Then the triple lock state retirement pension.

until we regulate rent and have better social housing stock and people are paid an actual living wage the cost will continue to soar

This.

Sweetpeasaremadeforbees · 23/01/2026 15:32

Everyone seems to say 'yes but it's mostly pensions' but I'd like to see more of a breakdown in the figures. Every single elderly person that I know also has a private or occupational pension of some kind in addition to the state pension. Even my mum who didn't work after she got married has inherited my dad's (small) private pension.

I would imagine that a lot of these pensioners are paying tax (even my mum is with the tiny amount of private pension) so does the pension pay out figure take into account the amount of tax that many pensioners are paying?

If not I think it's a crock of shit.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:33

@lifeonmars100 its per person so household could be up to 70k if two of you living there & still qualify.

Cappuccinodelight · 23/01/2026 15:34

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:25

Yes we can call state pension a benefit but we have to bring the others in line

Its a benefit, end of.

Yes but other benefits need to treated the same. Contribution based and taxable.

FlyingApple · 23/01/2026 15:34

I think this thread happens every year and as angry as many posters are, nothing seems to change.

Faceonthewrongfoot · 23/01/2026 15:34

Oopsylazy · 23/01/2026 14:42

🙄

Someone on a £100K salary in the UK pays 40% in taxes. Are you aware of this?

If you tax the rich so highly there’s no point in them being here they’ll move to another country - as is happening. Last time I checked the UK had lost 15% of high earners under the new Labour government.

They don't pay 40% on £100k though, that's misleading. Like everybody else, the first £12k is tax free, the next chunk of income up to £50k is taxed at 20%, and its only everything over £50k that is taxed at 40%.

Playingvideogames · 23/01/2026 15:36

UserFront242 · 23/01/2026 15:28

What do you mean by "economically underachieving people"?

People who insist they can’t work for XYZ nebulous reason

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:36

@Jan1205 I agree that any government that tries to reform is out. I still think the triple lock should be paused now.

One issue with putting more burden on younger generations is that more will emigrate as other countries will need younger workers too.

Playingvideogames · 23/01/2026 15:36

Faceonthewrongfoot · 23/01/2026 15:34

They don't pay 40% on £100k though, that's misleading. Like everybody else, the first £12k is tax free, the next chunk of income up to £50k is taxed at 20%, and its only everything over £50k that is taxed at 40%.

Which is still an awful lot.

chrsanthenum · 23/01/2026 15:36

HoskinsChoice · 23/01/2026 14:44

Do you work for a newspaper? Or is this going to be used for some other kind of research?

Or to warm us up for another go at the disabled.

bathsmat · 23/01/2026 15:37

@Cappuccinodelight I don’t have an issue with linking benefits to what is paid in or taxing them.

chrsanthenum · 23/01/2026 15:37

Badacrowe · 23/01/2026 15:00

So does this include in work benefits?
If so then maybe if employers paid an actual living wage, one that doesn’t need topping up, and contributes to their company profits totally from their business and not via the taxpayer that might help.

Although pensions are categorised as a benefit I don’t think that’s right. Everyone who lives long enough reaches a stage where work is no longer realistic. Because of that, income in old age is a necessity not a form of charity. The UKs pension is not generous compared to many other countries. Humans age and there comes a time when you cannot work so what are pensioners meant to do, get a job or something. Having said that, I think public sector pensions need to be addressed as they really seem over generous and perhaps no longer affordable in their present form.

Lack of social housing (blame Thatcher and then all successive governments), high uncontrolled rents (who actually benefits from that? Private housing providers).

So it’s not just individuals who receive benefits, many make money off the back of them. So it’s not right as ever to demonise people who are sick, old or disabled.

Finally, when people say “surely many on benefits could get a job, with adaptations, etc”. Well yes, perhaps some, but it requires the employer AND colleagues to take on the person in the first place, and not whinge when X person isn’t always able to give advance notice of a flare up of a condition, etc. Be honest, how many times have I read about colleagues moaning that someone else is getting special privileges. It’s not so straightforward as it sounds.

Well said !

Itsnotallbadreally · 23/01/2026 15:38

Faceonthewrongfoot · 23/01/2026 15:34

They don't pay 40% on £100k though, that's misleading. Like everybody else, the first £12k is tax free, the next chunk of income up to £50k is taxed at 20%, and its only everything over £50k that is taxed at 40%.

Not in Scotland, we pay more than the rest of the UK in taxes.

It's still a lot of money in tax even thought it's not 40% on the full amount.

lifeonmars100 · 23/01/2026 15:38

Evil greedy selfsh pensioner here hanging my head in shame despite the fact that I still pay income tax and of course full council tax and worked for 50 years before retiring. Of course during those 50 years I paid income tax and NI. When someone retires their state pension is calculated from the number of years they have paid NI contributions, the less you have paid the less you get and it is worth remembering that the UK state pension even if paid at the full rate is not enough to live on so of course people need a work place pension to have any reasonable standard of living. It woud help if the headline figure was broken down to show what is spent where.

Allseeingallknowing · 23/01/2026 15:38

Playingvideogames · 23/01/2026 15:36

People who insist they can’t work for XYZ nebulous reason

👏👏👏👏

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