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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

to tell you violent crime in the UK is falling

142 replies

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 07:03

violence is falling, robbery is falling, gun crime is falling, knife crime and sex crime is not significantly falling or rising, fraud is rising, shoplifting is rising

OP posts:
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EasternStandard · 04/08/2025 14:39

bumblingbovine49 · 04/08/2025 09:46

You see this is terrible and I am really sorry the happened to your son. I have friends with teenagers in London who really worry for their children, and have heard of at least one teenager they know who has been stabbed. It is absolutely apalling and is definitely an area of crime that needs to be solved. Crimes on young teenagers (often boys though of course not exclusively) are an area that does seem to be out of control particualarly in larger cities, and particularly in London

I can really see how someone saying crime is down overall feels like someone is denying this experience and I don't think it is. In fact if crime is down overall across the country, this makes it even more important that this particular type of crime is dealt with and less excuse for it not to be.

I imagine that of they are true the statistics also refer to the easier to solve crimes which whilst could be some good news, in no way negates the fact that this area of crime definitely needs to be tackled

The Government data on this defiinitely suggests the numbers and rates of knife crime in London are up here - or at least were a couple of years ago https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn04304/

Specifically this table (table 8 in a file which can be downloaded from the above link if you can't open the excel file below) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Uxm_vTdVajMUc-avkp3ykc_xqTMEzIRL/edit?gid=1410319181#gid=1410319181&range=B2

This is only until 23/24 and only shows a year change between 22/23 and 23/24 but show a real rise in knife crime in different boroughs in ondon particularly in Richmond upon Thames (+c. 50% in both numbers and rate per 100,000 population) and Kingston upon Thames (+c38%) , though the numbers are still pretty low compared to other boroughs

The largest numbers are in Westminster, Lambeth and Southark, and Croydon. Croydon has seen quite a rise. They main thing though is the general increase across all boroughs. Except Islington which seems to have had a small decreasesurprisingly (-9%). The broughs with the largest numbers seem to have between 200-350 knife incidents per 100,000 population which is a tiny proportion but still way too high in my opinion

So the official data does show a real increase in knife crime in London.

Does that make you more or less likely to believe the other data from similar sources saying crime is down overall or do you only believe the numbers you agree with or that support the things that concern you?

So London is bucking the trend? Why is our crime going up.

NewWin · 04/08/2025 15:46

Theunamedcat · 04/08/2025 09:12

Because i live in England and i can see its gone up but police reporting and action taken has gone down? So many things have legitimately been decriminalised and decriminalised due to zero action taken that any data reports are biased in favour of the government

Well I live in --- and crime is very low and barely affects me, so therefore the data must be wrong. And actually the ONS must be over reporting crime such as iPhone theft, because I've never owned an iPhone and never had one stolen. Really can't believe that people believe these 'stats' around iPhone theft, not round my house I'll tell you that! They must be lying.

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:50

Mydogisatool · 04/08/2025 14:32

No, they aren’t here. It’s all young men, coming over with no paperwork.

They are here, about 40% of asylum seekers are female

OP posts:
ThisSharpFox · 04/08/2025 15:52

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:50

They are here, about 40% of asylum seekers are female

Where? Back up the statistic please.

DeLaRuiz · 04/08/2025 15:54

No, it’s not falling, why would it?! It’s that police don’t get told, because they
seem to have stopped functioning.

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:59

ThisSharpFox · 04/08/2025 15:52

Where? Back up the statistic please.

govt statistics, look it up for yourself

OP posts:
skymagentatwo · 04/08/2025 16:04

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:59

govt statistics, look it up for yourself

As usual selective facts and figures can be presented to back up bias, so on that note how many illegal small boat crossing immigrants/asylum seekers were male and how many were female?

I bet you wont answer that will you 😂

OneKhakiFish · 04/08/2025 16:19

I don't believe any of this! I've never heard anyone say in the last few years, what a relief the UK's crime has drastically come down, it's so much safer now!

Foolsgold74 · 04/08/2025 17:46

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:50

They are here, about 40% of asylum seekers are female

Are they shit. You only need eyes in your head to see that that's patently not true.

EasternStandard · 04/08/2025 17:56

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:50

They are here, about 40% of asylum seekers are female

Where is here, so it’s 40%?

skymagentatwo · 04/08/2025 17:58

@1diamondearing Still awaiting your answer?

Valeriekat · 04/08/2025 19:03

The reputation of the ONS is not very high at the moment.

dizzydizzydizzy · 04/08/2025 19:51

randomusername03 · 04/08/2025 07:29

do you mean in the last 2 to 3 years rape has levelled out because rape has sharply increased since 2013, so much so that uk is now the rape capital of Europe. Its absolutely nothing to be gloating about. What change happened in 2013.

Perhaps the increase is due to a greater willingness to report rape or some change in the way police record it.

1diamondearing · 05/08/2025 07:06

skymagentatwo · 04/08/2025 17:58

@1diamondearing Still awaiting your answer?

answer to what?

OP posts:
Theolittle · 05/08/2025 07:16

Valeriekat · 04/08/2025 19:03

The reputation of the ONS is not very high at the moment.

What is this about? The UK’s ONS is trusted across the world for accuracy and impartiality and produces loads of data.

Yabberwok · 05/08/2025 07:28

Got to love the negativity here. Here's a simple fact. We live in the safest time in human history. I know horrendous events are occurring in Africa, the middle East and Ukraine. However, in the scope of human history you are less likely than ever before to be the victim of violent crime.
The UK and western Europe is probably at it's lowest people to people crime levels ever ie crime by direct theft from the person or property and yet people don't see this because of the fact that the media loves misery. Plus go back and watch how dreadful events were reported in the 70s and 80s and how they are now. With a 24 hour need to fill the news agenda were subjected to repeated doom and gloom far beyond what the story warrants.

RammyEwie · 05/08/2025 08:43

I feel safe in my suburb, but going into town is another matter.

A few weeks ago a group of youths smashed their way into a jewller's shop with hammers in the middle of the day on the busy High St. Lots of comments on the fb news articles of "why didn't people stop filming and stop them?" Err because they're violent people armed with hammers and don't give a shit??? Who wants to risk having their head caved in?

This was very literally opposite the bank where less than 3 months ago a customer was murdered in a stabbing.

Our Police and Crime Commissioner is appealling to the Home Secretary for more support to manage the number of serious violent crimes in our county.

Barely a weekend goes by without some serious injury or fatal stabbing either in town or smaller towns around the surrounding area.

There may well be fewer (recorded?) brawl type incidents. Late night fights used to be common, but night life culture has quietened down in numbers. The incidents that occur and are recorded certainly include more serious assults.

Drugs are increasingly avaliable. This will affect people's reactions and self-control and its supply chain is a major source of crime anyway.

When I'm out and about in certain areas, I'm on high alert because of clusters of young men loitering, and drugs runners barrelling through on illegal electic bikes and e-scooters. (Plus the mass of businesses known to be fronts for money laundering on the High St). There are constant waves of the High St being filled with bored street drinkers/ drug addicts constantly spoiling for drama. I've been verbally abused on a few occasions for quietly ignoring and walking away when my presence had fallen under their radar. At least the "Spice Zombies" phase has passed, that was grim.

During a recent dinner conversation DH was surprised when DS casually said "yeah, I've seen people being arrested a few times". We'd just been going about our business in town.
A couple of years ago buying DS a school bag, someone came into the shop, grabbed an arm full of clothing from near the entrance and scarpered with £££s of stock. This is common through the shopping centre. The increase in second hand sales makes it easier to shift stolen goods, and has made the offences more serious in their scale.

Not local, but in one depressed seaside town, I've seen Lurpak in perspex security containers!

As a person living in a nice suburb and not engaged with any criminal contacts*, my chances of being a victim of (in person) crimes is probably fairly unchanged over the years. What does concern me is that if a random stranger crime does occur, the odds of them being high on drugs and armed with a knife designed to wound is higher than it used to be, with potentially more serious consequences.

But hey, at least "bleed kits" are getting more common to go with defribulators.

*I am not in touch with my former pupil who was convicted of murder (gang stabbing) a few years after I taught him.

Mydogisatool · 05/08/2025 09:37

1diamondearing · 05/08/2025 07:06

answer to what?

How many women come over in boats from France. You’d have to be blind to think it was 40%

That statistic is not from people crossing the channel.

I did have a google yesterday. All that came up was an article and a photo of those brave, fearless princes among men, pushing women off boats in France so men could clamber on instead, and a story of one woman drowning because of it.

I also can’t find it now, but there was an article i read a couple of years ago of a woman who was gang raped on the way over.

Women are not crossing on boats. A short Internet search will tell you it’s vanishingly rare and that they don’t fare well, because of the men.

Just the sort of chaps we need.

EasternStandard · 05/08/2025 09:51

1diamondearing · 05/08/2025 07:06

answer to what?

The 40% female asylum claim. The question was where are you that that’s the case

Awwlookatmybabyspider · 05/08/2025 10:31

Meadowfinch · 04/08/2025 07:23

I've just checked domestic homicide, and 108 in 2024 compared to 107 in 2023. But at least it isn't up significantly.

Edited

Even 1 domestic abuse incident is far too many

genesis92 · 05/08/2025 10:41

I mean if people don’t FEEL like crime is falling, then what’s the point of this post?

So many people feel like the country is more lawless than ever, so your “stats” are somewhat redundant.

genesis92 · 05/08/2025 10:47

1diamondearing · 04/08/2025 15:50

They are here, about 40% of asylum seekers are female

You best believe, if there were evidence of a single boat crossing the channel that contained a significant number of woman and children, the Guardian and left wing media would broadcast that image far and wide. They would shout it from the rooftops.

They can’t because these photos simply don’t exist, because these boats are always full of young men.

Mydogisatool · 05/08/2025 10:58

genesis92 · 05/08/2025 10:47

You best believe, if there were evidence of a single boat crossing the channel that contained a significant number of woman and children, the Guardian and left wing media would broadcast that image far and wide. They would shout it from the rooftops.

They can’t because these photos simply don’t exist, because these boats are always full of young men.

Absolutely. It would be on the front pages everyday.

1diamondearing · 05/08/2025 11:31

EasternStandard · 05/08/2025 09:51

The 40% female asylum claim. The question was where are you that that’s the case

Edited

In Britain

OP posts:
Mydogisatool · 05/08/2025 11:44

1diamondearing · 05/08/2025 11:31

In Britain

Where does that 40% come from.

Because it’s not from the men who turn up on boats and try to claim asylum.

What does that figure come from, and how many people are they counting? 40% of 100 people who presented from Somalia, not entering on illegal boats? (For example, I’m tired and plucking names out the air).

There are vanishingly few women coming across in boats. It’s all men. As a PP pointed out, we’d never hear the end of it if women and children were on them.

They are not being housed separately either. The hotels and HMOs are all young men, because it is all young men.

I mean, 50% of adults in my area are vegetarian. My “area” being my home. 50% being two out of 4 adults in my home.

Statistics can mean anything with no context.