This almost precisely matches to what I told you earlier in the thread would be the net cost from not clawing back tax revenue from means testing it: I said £1.5 billion. You are now posting to say that in fact the additional tax paid via the HICBC or people being completely inelligible is actually lower than I said, at £1.4 billion. Fine.
However, you’re ignoring the fact that it costs HMRC £1.5 billion per year to do the means testing. So the net impact on tax revenues is negative. All that is happening is money that would have been going to children is now being spent on additional HMRC staff instead.
Then we have, on top of the fact that it saves nothing (or based on your own figure, actually costs the Government £100,000,000 per year more to means test it than it saves), there is a significant economic cost many times this size as a result of the cliff edge created by doing so, per the studies provided.
Means testing PIP would be even more complex and expensive and introduce yet another cliff edge when the economic data is very clear that what we need to do is to remove them. Frankly, it’s an idiotic idea motivated entirely by spite.
The reason the Government don’t wish to take this very clearly evidenced and obvious step of removing the cliff edges in the tax and benefits system to improve UK productivity, increase tax revenue and improve growth are because of political optics. Because they know that in the case of removing the means testing of child benefit, the withdrawal or the personal allowance/ childcare funding they would be accused by people like you of “giving a tax cut to the rich”. And the reason that they don’t want to remove similar disincentives that are just as damaging at the lower end by reducing the universal credit taper rate to a sensible level etc (even though they know the high marginal rates at this level increase the welfare bill, lower tax revenue, reduce employment participation and create skills shortages in areas like care work) are again, because people like you would then accuse them of paying too much out to people in benefits. Because people like you absolutely hate anybody who either earns more than they do, or is more unfortunate than you so requires a larger amount of state support and you’re furious they receive something you don’t.
Instead, we continue with our spineless Governments - of any colour - mismanaging the economy to keep an economically illiterate electorate happy because they can’t possibly challenge the ignorant prejudices of people who haven’t the faintest clue that their spiteful attitude towards everyone else in society is one of the main reasons that their own living standards are declining year on year and will continue to do so.
I’m not sure how much more simply it can be explained, even to someone who has declared that they don’t like numbers/ maths/ economics etc and states - as your have - that they see no need for them to learn about understand it. I really have tried to be as clear as I possibly can.
At this point, I’m done answering any more questions on my own clearly evidenced statements about this for which I have provided data and sources.
We are all still waiting for the evidence for your own assertions that you could implement a system to cheaply and simply means test PIP and that this would save taxpayers more than it costs and wouldn’t harm growth or living standards further, contrary to all economic studies.
All of my comments on this matter have been to refute your original, ridiculous claims that the above is possible. I’ve provided plenty of data and evidence for my assertions that you’re wrong, yet you’ve still provided absolutely no data or evidence for your assertions - that began the conversation - at all. Are you going to do so, finally? If not, it’s the height of hypocrisy.
You’ve insulted me, questioned my professional competence, demanded I provide links to data because you can’t be bothered to look it up yourself and I’ve done so.
Where is your data to support your claims?