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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Reeves’ Budget Dread

105 replies

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 17:14

I’ve listened to the budget from Rachel Reeves today and can’t help a feeling of dread.
what she’s produced as her budget compared to the Labour Party manifesto and it’s like night and day.

Why do politicians treat us as idiots? Why can’t they tell the truth? And why don’t they appear to give a sh#t about their lack of honesty? Or AIBU?

OP posts:
NationalGridESO · 30/10/2024 20:21

Silosmist · 30/10/2024 17:15

What are you a bot? It was a very good budget and I actually feel hopeful now for the first time in years!

You're happy about £40bn extra taxes??

Silosmist · 30/10/2024 20:21

dottiehens · 30/10/2024 19:06

Oh yes if there is a different opinion it must be a bot. Grow up!

It was a shit stirring op with no substance so there was no reason to suspect it was an actual person. A bit like your post actually.

Jc2001 · 30/10/2024 20:28

Menopausemayhem · 30/10/2024 17:20

Are you a non dom with a private jet op?
I personally thought it was a good budget

Maybe they run a small business?

Brananan · 30/10/2024 20:30

It was a weird budget. Time will tell whether it will make any long term improvement.

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:09

To reply to a few comments . . .
No I’m not a) a bot; b) work for the Tory party; or c) a non-dom, private jet owner.

What I am is someone who takes an interest in how our country is run and a few anomalies stick out, namely:-

1). Changing the fiscal rules to borrow more, means future generations will be servicing the debt.

  1. The cost of borrowing will actually increase as growth is lower than expected and forecast to stall (OBR figures) both in terms of the BoE MPC and gilts.

  2. There is no substance behind the 2% increase in productivity in the public sector, unless more automation which equals redundancies.

  3. 1.5% increase in Employer NI will mean a rebalance on business budget plans both for the EBIT & Capital Ex.

If you’re happy and comfortable with that, then ok.

And finally, a sign of a healthy democracy is one in which different views are expressed and given due thought without the need for personal insults. It’s no reflection on me to be insulted, rather, it’s a reflection on the person making them.

OP posts:
Julen7 · 30/10/2024 21:16

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:09

To reply to a few comments . . .
No I’m not a) a bot; b) work for the Tory party; or c) a non-dom, private jet owner.

What I am is someone who takes an interest in how our country is run and a few anomalies stick out, namely:-

1). Changing the fiscal rules to borrow more, means future generations will be servicing the debt.

  1. The cost of borrowing will actually increase as growth is lower than expected and forecast to stall (OBR figures) both in terms of the BoE MPC and gilts.

  2. There is no substance behind the 2% increase in productivity in the public sector, unless more automation which equals redundancies.

  3. 1.5% increase in Employer NI will mean a rebalance on business budget plans both for the EBIT & Capital Ex.

If you’re happy and comfortable with that, then ok.

And finally, a sign of a healthy democracy is one in which different views are expressed and given due thought without the need for personal insults. It’s no reflection on me to be insulted, rather, it’s a reflection on the person making them.

“Frothing” is the term used on MN to describe anyone even mildly critical of Labour policies

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 21:18

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:09

To reply to a few comments . . .
No I’m not a) a bot; b) work for the Tory party; or c) a non-dom, private jet owner.

What I am is someone who takes an interest in how our country is run and a few anomalies stick out, namely:-

1). Changing the fiscal rules to borrow more, means future generations will be servicing the debt.

  1. The cost of borrowing will actually increase as growth is lower than expected and forecast to stall (OBR figures) both in terms of the BoE MPC and gilts.

  2. There is no substance behind the 2% increase in productivity in the public sector, unless more automation which equals redundancies.

  3. 1.5% increase in Employer NI will mean a rebalance on business budget plans both for the EBIT & Capital Ex.

If you’re happy and comfortable with that, then ok.

And finally, a sign of a healthy democracy is one in which different views are expressed and given due thought without the need for personal insults. It’s no reflection on me to be insulted, rather, it’s a reflection on the person making them.

Fair points, maybe someone will counter without resorting to insult

Whenwillitgetwarm · 30/10/2024 21:20

StellaSmile · 30/10/2024 18:57

Well I'm a GP partner in a large practice with 60-70 employees, the NI changes will be huge for us, over £100,000 annually.
On top of that the NMW changes for the basic admin roles and we are at the point where we will need to be thinking of redundancies.
That will be of higher paid employees ie, doctors.
So well done Labour you've really fucked us over

Did you vote Tory at all over the last 14 years? If the answer is yes, then is they who fucked you over, aided and abetted by yourself.

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:24

Julen7 · 30/10/2024 21:16

“Frothing” is the term used on MN to describe anyone even mildly critical of Labour policies

Thank you Julen7, I was not aware of that.

OP posts:
Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:26

Chemenger · 30/10/2024 17:15

Can you rewrite your first paragraph in English?

Please read my second post, hopefully this will explain a few things.

OP posts:
Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:27

ComtesseDeSpair · 30/10/2024 17:19

What are you dreading? It seems a fairly benign budget, all in. We’re a wealthy household and it doesn’t really affect us in the slightest (until October 2026 when DH will have to reconsider the cost of his social vaping) so not much to complain about at this end of the income scale; at the other end, rise to NMW, changes to Carer Allowance and UC debt payments are obviously going to benefit many. A few business owners with tight margins may have concerns about NI rises, but that was pretty much from the manifesto, it shouldn’t come as a surprise.

Edited

Please read my second post, hopefully this will explain my concerns.

OP posts:
Brananan · 30/10/2024 21:29

Just done the Guardian budget calculator and dh and I will be 4.50 worse off 😆

Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:29

Beekeepingmum · 30/10/2024 18:22

It seems to broadly tie to the manifesto to me. Certainly can't see anything to make you feel dread unless you are a non-dom with a jet - in which case you can probably afford it.

Please read my second post, it explains my concerns.

OP posts:
Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:31

Standin · 30/10/2024 18:47

If you've come here to discuss this with the OP, don't bother!

In 90 minutes, the OP hadn't returned….

Please read my second post. Apologies for the delay in replying to you.

OP posts:
Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:33

FloralGums · 30/10/2024 20:05

OP do you work for the Tories? They are constantly on MN.
The budget was great from my point of view. Really great. Especially as I use the NHS and state education which the Tories have ruined. Labour will hopefully build them back up again so we get a decent service

Please read my second post as it outlines my concerns.

OP posts:
Niceandkneesy · 30/10/2024 21:35

Silosmist · 30/10/2024 20:21

It was a shit stirring op with no substance so there was no reason to suspect it was an actual person. A bit like your post actually.

Please read my second post, it explains my concerns.

OP posts:
Rummly · 30/10/2024 21:38

StellaSmile · 30/10/2024 18:57

Well I'm a GP partner in a large practice with 60-70 employees, the NI changes will be huge for us, over £100,000 annually.
On top of that the NMW changes for the basic admin roles and we are at the point where we will need to be thinking of redundancies.
That will be of higher paid employees ie, doctors.
So well done Labour you've really fucked us over

Interesting, thank you for the insight.

How many GPs’ practices do you estimate will be significantly worse off after the NI hike?

What happens to a practice of it becomes financially unviable? Does the NHS step in to pick up the pieces?

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 21:52

StellaSmile · 30/10/2024 18:57

Well I'm a GP partner in a large practice with 60-70 employees, the NI changes will be huge for us, over £100,000 annually.
On top of that the NMW changes for the basic admin roles and we are at the point where we will need to be thinking of redundancies.
That will be of higher paid employees ie, doctors.
So well done Labour you've really fucked us over

Fortunately for your member of staff there’s a shortage of GPs so your patients’ loss will be another practice’s gain.

iamtheblcksheep · 30/10/2024 22:16

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 21:52

Fortunately for your member of staff there’s a shortage of GPs so your patients’ loss will be another practice’s gain.

Utter bollocks. My BIL GP has struggled to get full time work due to the employment of PAs. He owns a couple of other businesses so he is fine but there are those that don’t have other income and aren’t fine

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 22:18

iamtheblcksheep · 30/10/2024 22:16

Utter bollocks. My BIL GP has struggled to get full time work due to the employment of PAs. He owns a couple of other businesses so he is fine but there are those that don’t have other income and aren’t fine

It’s not bollocks. The practice we’re registered with can’t get doctors for love or money.

jcyclops · 30/10/2024 22:23

FluentHedgehog · 30/10/2024 18:24

There was nothing in it that costs me personally other than knock on effects of things like minimum wage and employer national insurance.

I’m a teacher so I would be very pleased to see some investment in schools but it remains to be seen what it looks like.

I won’t be inheriting any pensions or farms and MILs house will probably go for care costs anyway so not overly bothered about inheritance tax. My parents are still young so there will be many budgets to change it again before then.

I thought it was quite a good budget and expected it to go further.

An "average" secondary school employs 70 staff so will need to find £60,000 - £70,000 extra from their existing budget to pay for the employers NI increase. There has been no indication that schools will be compensated for this extra cost.

Schools will have the same problems as @StellaSmile illustrated for a large GP practice.

lemonmeringueno3 · 31/10/2024 08:21

Don't worry about schools. My head is broadly pleased and thinks we'll come out winning even after the extra 1.2% in NI. Presumably, that will be replicated elsewhere.

I'm not saying there isn't more to be done but it's a step in the right direction after 14 years of deterioration and misery with absolutely nothing positive to show for it.

StellaSmile · 31/10/2024 08:54

Sorry I don't know how to respond to all individually.

Blossomtoes yes there are many unemployed GPS at the moment, practices can't afford to employ them and this will only make it worse!
I estimate for a small practice this might be an extra 20k per year, on the other end be heard of a very large multi practice partnership that now needs to find an extra half a million per year.
It's not sustainable for GP surgeries.
My personal income went done £25k last year.
If the government don't reimburse the NI or increase GP funding the partners will give back the contracts, well the buildings they own and the government will have to work out how to get a new functioning general practice

BIossomtoes · 31/10/2024 09:06

the government will have to work out how to get a new functioning general practice

Good. We only have the current model because of the greed of doctors 80 years ago. It’s high time we incorporated general practice into the wider NHS with all GPs paid a salary.

WestwardHo1 · 31/10/2024 11:13

As a (very) small business owner this didn't have the impact on me personally that I feared because of the increase in employment allowance.

However surely people are able to see that it's about more than themselves? Are all of you people claiming it's a great budget completely unaware of family farming, land management, food security and biodiversity? Are you truly unable to join the dots? Are you also unaware of the sheer numbers of people employed in SMEs and the effect that the NI increases will have on employment and job creation?

I can't believe (or maybe I can actually) some of the spiteful, envious downright shite I have read on the farming thread this morning. People who are unable to grasp that because a farmer owns land which may on paper be worth several million and spends his/her life farming it, it doesn't automatically mean they are cash rich and deserve everything coming to them. Where do these people imagine their food comes from? What do they think will happen to food production and land management if this current (aging) crop of farmers dies and their farms need to be sold to pay the IH. Don't tell me - there will be young bright eyed bushy tailed young farmers waiting to step in to buy the land and have a go themselves. They are really not queuing up to do this you know, despite occasionally appearing on Countryfile or feel-good documentaries involving a "shepherdess" and her nine children. It's a hard, hard industry.

So the land will be sold to developers, or giant agribusinesses, or solar farms. The first two don't care about heritage, and landscape and biodiversity and flood management.

The ignorance and envy being displayed is staggering. Still, that's Labour (and before anyone assumes, I have never voted Tory in my life. I might now though)

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