No it's not. The findings are there, thats not the underlying data. Theres a link to charity who has no findings that relating to 2 parent families, where both parents are fit and healthy and work. Which is what I was talking about.
Saying 1.6m are impacted by the 2 child rule. Isn't the same as all living in poverty. That's simply looking at how many families have 3 or more children.
Saying that 7 out of 10 children living in poverty, have one parent working doesn't mean they work full time or that the other parent can't work. Which is what my original comment was about.
The 300k children that will be lifted out of poverty does take into account many things. Because the underlying data isnt there. Like families where the additional amount won't be spent on the childrens welfare because the household is dysfunctional or because they have so much debt it won't make a difference. That's just 2 examples.
At the beginning of the pandemic when schools closed teachers were hugely concerned about thousands and thousands of children, being locked at home when home wasn't a safe space. It's likely that alot of children living in poverty are in these homes. Do you think an extra £40-£60 a week will make a difference there?
In non of these studies have they actually looked indepth into people's finances (understandably) and so they have no idea if the extra will mean all 300k will be brought out of poverty.
For me they can remove it the rule. But It's likely to have little to no impact on child poverty. No impact on child poverty where a house has 1 or 2 kids. Likely to have little impact where children are neglected, parents have addictions, severe mental health issues, physical health problems, high debt, domestic violence, emotional abuse, live in places where rents and mortgages are high and wages are low and so on. Non of these studies disregard these groups when measuring whose life it will improve. Or they arent sharing it.
Back to my original point if a household has 2 healthy parents who both work and they are still in poverty this small won't solve the problem on a large scale. The underlying causes need looking at.