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Results like these at a general election would mean Tory annihilation

702 replies

noblegiraffe · 20/10/2023 07:49

Says a BBC headline this morning.

Anyone else stockpiling popcorn?

OP posts:
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21
Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 15:14

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 15:00

We have unaffordable rents and low wages which has obviously caused very high Housing Benefit bill.

Who sold the council houses and crushed the unions?

We have human shit on our beaches and hose pipe bans in summer because privatised water companies gave "profits" to shareholders rather than invest in infrastructure projects.

Who sold off our water?

The point is any other party could have built council houses (and at the time there were no housing shortages so the right policy at the time) or renationalised water and chose not to. It as ridiculous to blame thatcher for now as to blame Churchill for any problems in the 80s

Passepartoute · 20/10/2023 15:19

mumda · 20/10/2023 13:04

What did Labour stand on at these by-elections?
Was it anything?
Or just "we're not blue"

Were you paying attention to the conference reports last week? You could find the answer to all those questions there.

Imnotswallowingthat · 20/10/2023 15:19

genesis92 · 20/10/2023 14:57

Let's face it, if/when Labour win it will only be because they "aren't the Tories" . It will be nothing to do with them being a spectacular opposition.

Absolutely. Labour’s vote actually went down in Mid-Bedfordshire from the 2019 GE (14,028 in 2019 v 13,872 yesterday). They won because the Tories are a shower of shit at the moment and their vote just didn’t turn out for them.

SkinnyMalinkyLankyLegs · 20/10/2023 15:20

I've lived under Labour rule, Tory rule, the SNP locally, I don't think I've noticed much of a difference to my life under any them.

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 15:26

It's a lot harder to spend the huge sums of money to buy back what was sold off than it was to sell it.

Especially as when you take over from a Tory government everything is broken and there's no money left.

Those short termist "selling off our country's silver" policies set us up for so many of the problems we have today.

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 15:27

SkinnyMalinkyLankyLegs · 20/10/2023 15:20

I've lived under Labour rule, Tory rule, the SNP locally, I don't think I've noticed much of a difference to my life under any them.

I notice this one

Results like these at a general election would mean Tory annihilation
verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 15:27

SkinnyMalinkyLankyLegs · 20/10/2023 15:20

I've lived under Labour rule, Tory rule, the SNP locally, I don't think I've noticed much of a difference to my life under any them.

No mortgage?

jgw1 · 20/10/2023 15:29

TheThingIsYeah · 20/10/2023 12:51

@jgw1

Much of the cost to the government of immigration is in hotel bills. If they changed the law and policies so asylum seekers could work whilst their claims were being considered and/or processed those claims quickly then the cost would be less.

Would it though? Granted they won't be spunking £millions a day on hotel costs, but the erm...highly skiled migrants still need housing - at considerable public expense, plus various in-work benefits. Just like it is with the existing population.

The majority of adults in the UK do not pay income tax, so odds of them being net contributors to HM Treasury are low.

Sounds like an argument for ensuring that businesses pay a proper living wage, rather than creaming off money to give to their directors, whilst taxpayers fund their workers wages.

Neurodiversitydoctor · 20/10/2023 15:30

Teentaxidriver · 20/10/2023 14:21

"Linky" - typifies the problems with this country. Are you a spoon-fed, dependent minor or an adult with access to a search engine?

I have just been on the IFS website and read 2 of the papers published this week. I cannot see anywhere what you are alluding to.

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 15:32

genesis92 · 20/10/2023 15:05

There are several other parties who also "aren't the Tories".

Oh come on.....everyone knows other parties are wasted votes if you actually want the Tories out.

I think I will need to vote Lib Dem where I live to oust our Tory MP.

There are several constituencies like mine where (probably) Labour is the wasted vote.

The Greens are campaigning hard in university towns because the young and intelligent want a liveable planet so they might be a force to be reckoned with in some areas.

Voting for someone who can't win in your constituency is a wasted vote if you want the incumbent out.

jgw1 · 20/10/2023 15:36

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 14:39

Much of the cost to the government of immigration is in hotel bills. If they changed the law and policies so asylum seekers could work whilst their claims were being considered and/or processed those claims quickly then the cost would be less.

They still have to live somewhere, so where do you find the money (and land, and builders) to build the tens/hundreds of thousands extra homes needed for them, plus healthcare, education, social services, training, etc., so they can enter the workplace? Bunging them in hotels is actually probably the cheaper option, especially as some will end up being moved abroad!

In the interests of factual accuracy there are by some estimates over a million empty homes in England alone.
The government figure has it at nearly 700,000.

There is not a shortage of housing, there is a crisis in the distribution of housing.

AlecTrevelyan006 · 20/10/2023 15:43

genesis92 · 20/10/2023 14:57

Let's face it, if/when Labour win it will only be because they "aren't the Tories" . It will be nothing to do with them being a spectacular opposition.

And when the Tories win it’s because they ‘aren’t Labour’. This is what happens with FPTP. People end up voting for the party they dislike the least.

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 15:57

Honestly, plenty of people don't . I don't vote how I vote because they are 'not Tories'.

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 15:59

Imnotswallowingthat · 20/10/2023 15:19

Absolutely. Labour’s vote actually went down in Mid-Bedfordshire from the 2019 GE (14,028 in 2019 v 13,872 yesterday). They won because the Tories are a shower of shit at the moment and their vote just didn’t turn out for them.

That doesn't mater : they lost. Traditionally, Tories are better at getting their voters out. This is a Huge Problem for them.

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 16:02

mumda · 20/10/2023 13:04

What did Labour stand on at these by-elections?
Was it anything?
Or just "we're not blue"

Do you actually want the answer or are you just being rhetorical?

OnlyTheBravest · 20/10/2023 16:03

It does matter for democracy. Labour did not win. They came first because of voter apathy, which shows more people are not happy with either of the main two parties.

IClaudine · 20/10/2023 16:06

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 14:51

Yes @Teentaxidriver going on about thatcher is pathetic ( and actually the country was better run then anyway), its as if voters in the eighties had blamed problems on Churchills government (which I don't remember happening). And you are right no party has put forward policies for deep seated problems that people care about, just go on about banning smoking and cutting VAT on school fees. So depressing.

Sigh.

We are still living in the long shadow of Thatcherism.

The lack of security and profiteering in the rental sector that the Housing Act 1988 enabled and the other ramifications that Act had for housing.

The current profiteering of the utilities companies that Thatcher privatised.

The long term deprivation in once thriving communities that were destroyed by Thatcher's policies.

That is just off the top of my head.

Do you not understand that the political past affects the present day?

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 16:07

OnlyTheBravest · 20/10/2023 16:03

It does matter for democracy. Labour did not win. They came first because of voter apathy, which shows more people are not happy with either of the main two parties.

Wait... coming first isn't winning??

The mental gymnastics on this thread are astonishing.

LeefsPrings · 20/10/2023 16:07

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 08:17

Thsi is not just about 'cycles'. Mid Beds has been Tory since 1931. This is a rejection of a corrupt, venal and self serving government , personified by Nadine Dorries.

The fact the Tories had no one decent to run in mid Beds or Tamworth speaks volumes'.

Piggy is right. The one and only reason the Tories lost in Mid Beds is because of the god-awful mess created by Nadine Dorries. Labour didn't win here because of a nationwide shift in the direction of Kier Starmer, however much he thinks otherwise.

Neurodiversitydoctor · 20/10/2023 16:08

Neurodiversitydoctor · 20/10/2023 15:30

I have just been on the IFS website and read 2 of the papers published this week. I cannot see anywhere what you are alluding to.

Assuming this is the paper you refer to ? Published in August ?

Results like these at a general election would mean Tory annihilation
Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 16:08

Thanks but actually I think there is more to it than Nadine. But I do think it shows how much disgust there is in her.

However, I think you miss my point that she embodies the party - not just an individual.

IClaudine · 20/10/2023 16:12

Piggywaspushed · 20/10/2023 16:07

Wait... coming first isn't winning??

The mental gymnastics on this thread are astonishing.

Does that mean the Tories didn't win in Uxbridge?

GunboatDiplomacy · 20/10/2023 16:15

LeefsPrings · 20/10/2023 16:07

Piggy is right. The one and only reason the Tories lost in Mid Beds is because of the god-awful mess created by Nadine Dorries. Labour didn't win here because of a nationwide shift in the direction of Kier Starmer, however much he thinks otherwise.

Combination of the two I'd say.

If Dorries had stepped down in an orderly manner as the result of (say) a cancer diagnosis then the seat would have stayed blue regardless of Johnson/Truss/Sunak's disasters.

But if Dorries had been a shitshow for months on end as a single bad apple within a confident government with some public goodwill and providing decent public services then I think they'd have also held the seat.

MrsBennetsPoorNerves · 20/10/2023 16:19

LeefsPrings · 20/10/2023 16:07

Piggy is right. The one and only reason the Tories lost in Mid Beds is because of the god-awful mess created by Nadine Dorries. Labour didn't win here because of a nationwide shift in the direction of Kier Starmer, however much he thinks otherwise.

There is truth in this, of course. But Nadine Dorries didn't exist in a vacuum. She was part of a toxic culture that started at the very top of government, created by Boris Johnson, in which a complete lack of integrity, an absence of any accountability and a strong inclination towards self-serving behaviour became the norm. And our current PM was a very senior minister within that regime, so he doesn't get to distance himself from what he previously supported by claiming that he is now the candidate of change. The toxicity has not been cleansed.

I was no fan of Theresa May and her right wing politics at all, but I do believe that she was driven by a sense of duty, service and integrity. That version of the Tory Party has long since been eroded, and while Nadine Dorries and Boris may have finally gone, it is the politicians of her ilk and that calibre that we are left with. The Tories are in very great trouble indeed.

GETTINGLIKEMYMOTHER · 20/10/2023 16:22

Turnout is nearly always considerably lower in by-elections than in GEs, so the Tories who stayed at home this time, may well make the effort, but I doubt it’ll make a lot of difference.

Labour needs to guard against complacency, though, not to mention any sort of triumphalism before the results. Some of us are old enough to remember Neil Kinnock’s celebratory rally - just before Labour lost yet again.
I’d hope that KS will be a lot wiser than to indulge in any such thing.