I think it is hugely likely that there is something environmental having an impact. The huge increase I’m seeing, as a professional, is in children with profound difficulties, non-verbal, huge sensory needs, incontinent. Screen time, parenting etc isn’t causing these needs, these children were born this way, but why? I’ve got a horrible, horrible feeling in 50 years time well find out something we all use, every day, massively increases the liklihood. I’ve already seen a couple of studies about paracetamol having an impact. Interestingly, having a high fever also increases the liklihood.
But in addition to those children, there’s also an increase in the number of children with what might have been called ‘lower level‘ needs once upon a time. For these children, lack of support, over stretched resources, technology and poor parenting absolutely do have an impact. I see it every day in my job - people would be astounded at the parenting that goes on. If you’re on MN, it’s probably not relevent to you. I also see lots of parents with their own significant needs, some who attended specialist school themselves, who naturally genetically have children with higher levels of need.
Controversially in my field, I’m massively pro specialist provision. I think every primary school and secondary school should be required to have a ‘specialist base’, and we should built more specialist provision. But the LA isn’t allowed to built new special schools, the Tory government only allows for new ‘free’ schools. We have begged for funding to extend our existing specialist provision but the government says no. So we’re stuck.