Perhaps an unpopular opinion alert.
I do think we need to increase NI for working age people with a view to going on their care in the future.
The problem is that health and social care costs over someone's lifetime have increased in relative terms as we live longer and our health care has become more complex and costly as a result.
We pay less per head on health than many other Western European countries and this shows.
The rise is long overdue imho.
In addition to that we also have the fall out financially on the NHS from covid.
HOWEVER
And this is where I put some of this into context.
Young people will over the course of their life times put more money into the system than they get out to subsidise then their older relatives even before this. Those over 65 will take more from the system than they have put in over the course of their life time.
This also needs to be rectified and there needs to be a rebalancing in the system.
Therefore I strongly support another controversial decision - axing the triple lock.
People over 65 are much much more likely to be home owners than the young. They financially are in relative terms much better off than their younger relatives even though they have retired. They dont need as much support from the state for other things compared to the young simply because they have the assets and have benefitted most from equity gains on assets. They should be taking up some of the short-fall from what they will cost society rather than passing it on the future generations.
And yes, inheritance does need to be tinkered with.
I would also say there needs to be uplift at the bottom of the pay scale too, so that the poorest workers aren't disportionately putting in more and that those pensioners who are in genuine poverty aren't particularly badly hit.
The basic problem is the entire taxation structure needs an overhaul to reflect todays demographics and needs. No one has been brave enough to do this yet.
So in theory I'm ok with the change provided other changes to rebalance the whole system is also done.
I don't think hitting income tax would necessarily be sufficient to do this (especially since the ultra wealthy can either off shore or have good accountants). It has to be more than that. It has to take into account the issue with housing equity which younger generations will never get the benefit of.
Equally i dont think you can take social care out of assets for those who need it only. The 'dementia tax' was a nuts idea that didn't solve the problem either.
There isn't a simple solution here. Taxation has to be raised to cover our health and social care costs. There isnt a way around it. (Other than putting people down...) Everyone is going to be unhappy at paying more at some point. And we all SHOULD be paying more tax.
(Also the gap between executive pay and workers needs to be addressed. But thats an entirely different argument).
Johnson in deciding to do some addressing of the social care issue is at least taking one of those difficult decisions which frankly should have been done 20 or 30 years ago but subsequent governments have been too chicken to address. Especially when he has complaints that the electorate won't like it. Something does need to be done. Its a complex issue and frankly I think the revenue needs to come from multiple sources (including big business and ultra wealthy too). I am hoping this is the first of several steps and announcements. If its the only step, I think its deeply problematic.
(I told you it was a controversial opinion!!)