To think we are heading for a full 2 week national half term lockdown

[Midlifelights]

DS’s school ramping up the preparation to teach on MS teams & making sure they can all use it & have the tech in place.

Teachers indicating that it’s going to be half term plus another couple of weeks after.

Given the rising numbers, it’s seems more likely that’s what’s coming - and maybe even a full lockdown this time & not the half arsed one we had before.

Aibu? I am worried as my kids really hated it last time but with so many new cases, it just seems the likely path

Yesterday Public Health Wales said there have been positive cases in 577 different schools. According to the January figures there were 1480 local authority schools in Wales. There are also just under 100 independent schools. I may have missed some schools somewhere, but when I work that out that is one third of schools that have reported at least one positive case. Even if the figure is closer to one fifth that is still a lot!

In comparison, by 22nd September 275 schools had reported positive cases.

I am responding to previous posters who say they know of no schools with cases - it does all depend on where you live. The point I am making is that once even quite a small % of teachers are off ill or isolating it will be very difficult to keep the whole school open.

The point I am making is that once even quite a small % of teachers are off ill or isolating it will be very difficult to keep the whole school open

Then there will be localised school/year group/class closures as is planned.
Our school has been open 7 weeks now. No cases, no closures, no teachers isolating (well one had to for 48 hours while awaiting test results). So what would be the sense in blanket school closures?

Utterly - my dds secondary school (and 4 others nearby) have all been ok too. Far better than feared. So would love them to stay open especially as there might be closures later on.

A reminder that there are 32,000 schools in uk. So 509 closed is bad of course but that means 31,500 are open.

apols don’t know the total uk schools closures

We are ready to go in my school, all lessons are ready to be made online and we have paper copies of lessons where we need to. We haven’t actually been given any indication this will happen however BUT I wouldn’t be surprised because we currently have four year groups off with covid. Over 16 cases within the first two weeks. Tried initially to do track and trace but it just spreads like wild fire. At any one point we have 10% of a year group off due to symptoms too

I would go with the Health Minister's statement rather than your own calculations.

Even so though, as they have said, the cases are not tending to spread AT school. So one case could be exactly that, ONE CASE. What does it matter how many schools have one or two cases? My DS' primary school has 700 pupils! There have been no cases there as of yet, but one case out of 700 children plus all those staff is hardly groundbreaking.

I swear some people (not referring to the OP as they mentioned their anxiety) WANT the schools to close and love being doom and gloom.

No - I really don't want schools to close. I don;t want my friends and family to be ill. All I am doing is looking at the the facts. Again, whilst some people live in parts of the country where cases are low and schools are not affected that is not the picture for everyone.

As I said - I may have missed some schools in my calculations but the figures I have are from published sources - and even if it is 20% that is still a lot. ONE case per school still leads to many absences. The increase in the number of schools in the last 2 weeks is an indication of how quickly one case may lead to others. In response to the original theme of this thread - do I think that there will be a 2 week shutdown - yes I do.

Listening to R4 I was glad Sunak is in the economic corner. He won’t undo all the hard work with furlough moving to new scheme.

Two weeks will barely touch the growth of the virus, but will hugely impact livelihoods and jobs.

It's impossible to have a complete lockdown, unless people mean literally everything shutting, including those who man the national grid etc.

I think people forget this. A “total lockdown” would kill more people from starvation, lack of medical care, cold, domestic violence, contaminated water etc than Covid would. It just isn’t going to happen.

I love shrubs

We're in a high infection rate area - our schools have been affected fairly significantly already with whole year groups and teachers off for 2 weeks etc

But the sense I get here is that we're just powering through. There's no panic. It feels as though we're starting to live with the virus - rather than lock ourselves away with it. So if government doesn't enforce anything - I think we'll all just keep on working through this.

But that's my feeling coming from a very local perspective.

lock ourselves away from it

But don't worry. Donald Trump says we mustn't let it dominate our lives.
(I expect the £1m plus people who've died would like the opportunity.)

I think it's a good idea if it does happen.

I think it's a good idea if it does happen.
What, creating thousands of unemployed?

@LovelyIssues

I think it's a good idea if it does happen.

That's nice for you.

You presumably don't have a job which depends on people being able to go out and do things? Or teenagers who are like caged animals at home endlessly?

This nonsense about teachers socialising outside school - why is it blameworthy? That there are so many cases points to the fact that current rules are not really working, and I'm not sure why teachers are implicitly expected not to socialise. Keeping away from each other in school is bullshit because we're sharing toilets, workspaces and oxygen!

I hope not. I went through utter hell during the previous one, and so did my son. And many other children. For various reasons he couldn't cope with home schooling. Since he's been back in school he's like a different child. I can't do that again. If we do, I will need to speak to the school and either not do any work or see if he can go into school still as he has sen