According to RealClearPolitics, Biden is 183 delegates vs 125 for Trump
Among toss up states, Biden has a lead in:
Florida, +3% on Fox; 2016 with 1.2 for Trump - 29 delegates
Pensylvania, +8%, even in the Fox News poll. Narrowly won by Trump in 2016 - 20 delegates
Michigan, +8% on Fox. Narrowly won by Trump in 2016 - 16 delegates
Trump has a lead in:
Texas, +2.5%, but 9% in 2016 - 38 delegates
North Carolina, +1%, but polls vary a lot. 3.7% in 2016 - 15 delegates
With these numbers, Biden would have 352 delegates, 82 more than needed to win.
Trump must be worried. Although, things change. Quickly. A lot... 2016...
www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html