Renato Mariotti
Verified account
@renato_mariotti
1/ Giuliani revealed that Trump asked his lawyers for advice about how to pardon Manafort, and it has an obvious purpose: to signal to Manafort and other potential cooperators to "refuse to break," to use Trump's words. The message: don't flip.
2/ Giuliani couldn't reveal confidential attorney-client communications without Trump's permission, which suggests this release is strategic. Since Manafort was convicted, he's under pressure to strike a deal with Mueller rather than spend a lot of money fighting a second trial.
3/ Trump's fixation on "flipping" after the convictions of Manafort and Cohen suggests he is worried about what one or both men will tell prosecutors. You will hear commentators suggest this talk of pardons is obstruction of justice or witness tampering. In a broad sense, it is.
4/ But I don't think this would ever be charged by a prosecutor as obstruction or witness tampering--there are too many legal hurdles to doing so, even if Trump can be indicted while in office. What Mueller will use this for is as additional evidence of Trump's intent.
5/ If Trump had nothing to hide, why is he so fixated on flipping now that Manafort and Cohen are convicted? If Trump had nothing to hide, why dangle out a pardon to Manafort while he has an incentive to flip? Why publicly praise a convicted fraudster for "refusing to break"?
6/ Evidence that Trump has something to hide is relevant because it provides a motive for Trump to obstruct justice. It explains why he has gone to great lengths to undermine and impede the Russia investigation. /end