OK _ have looked at the crime figures - on UKCrimeStats.com for our area
only the antisocial behaviour increased 4x (12 to 49)
violent crime only doubled (2 to 4)
burglary went from 1 to 13 - quite a rise
and vehicle crime went from 4 to 35 (almost 9 times),
robbery went from 0 to 2
and other crimes from 9 to 30..... in one month...
Oh boy. Right, I know almost nothing about statistics, but fortunately you know even less. These numbers are tiny, and at least two (violent crime and robbery) don't look like statistically significant rises at all. The burglary rate going up x13 could be the result of a single burglar gang arriving in your area for a spree - that's how reactive to micro-events these figures will be. All figures at the ward level are going to show wild outliers depending on highly local circumstances, that's why we add them up to arrive at an overall regional/national trend. It's only with bigger aggregated numbers, over a series of months (and taking into account seasonal fluctuations) that you can really start to spot trends, you can't just say "This number's bigger than that number, I'm done!"
I'm not even clear what you're saying these stats mean. What people have arrived in the area lately that you're willing to finger for these particular crimes? And have you taken your suspicions to the local constabulary?
and I did not ANYWHERE mention immigration
Erm. Actually I think you were the first person to mention it, right there. Though it is hilarious that you were clearly so intent on watching out for other people mentioning it that you managed to read a mention of it into something someone else said quoting you.
I'm out, this is like fish in a barrel with targets painted on them.