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Ukraine Invasion - Part 62

774 replies

MagicFox · 05/08/2026 07:18

Thanks as always to everybody consistently posting and keeping us all up to date πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

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ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 03/10/2026 13:13

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

❗️Putin prepares for years more of war with Ukraine β€” Bloomberg
The Kremlin has abandoned last year’s plan to gradually cut military spending and replenish reserves depleted by the war, Bloomberg reports.
Next year, Russia plans to increase military spending by 40% compared with this year’s planned outlays. That is nearly 380% higher than the pre-war budget.
A significant portion of the funds is earmarked for weapons production.
However, Janis Kluge, an analyst at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, notes that the increase in military spending does not in itself mean Moscow is preparing for a war with NATO.
One reason, he says, is the need to replenish arms stockpiles and strengthen Russia’s own defenses in response to Ukrainian strikes on its territory.

πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France has begun training Ukrainian pilots to fly Rafale fighter jets, Le Parisien reports.
Deliveries of 16 French fighter jets are expected in 2028–2029. However, the first four aircraft could be handed over immediately after the pilot training is completed.

The Russian Federation will continue to launch massive retaliatory strikes and warns foreign citizens and diplomats against traveling to Ukraine, the Russian Foreign Ministry said.

Russian billionaires facing asset confiscation have voluntarily transferred more than 470 billion rubles to Putin’s military budget, The Moscow Times reports.
Frightened by a wave of nationalizations that has swept up hundreds of companies worth more than 7 trillion rubles, along with criminal cases against businessmen stripped of their property, Russia’s wealthiest individuals have β€œvoluntarily” handed over hundreds of billions of rubles to a budget strained by a deficit and record war spending.
This year, the federal treasury is expected to receive 471.7 billion rubles ($5.67 billion) in β€œvoluntary contributions” from the business sector, according to the explanatory note accompanying Russia’s three-year budget law.
The Finance Ministry documents do not disclose who made the payments or the specific amounts contributed to government accounts.
The influx of donations began after Putin’s annual meeting with big business, where he suggested that billionaires on the Forbes list β€œchip in” for the war effort. At the time, the federal budget deficit had reached nearly 6 trillion rubles ($72.07 billion), far exceeding the planned annual figure of 3.7 trillion rubles.
By the end of the year, according to the latest Finance Ministry estimate, the deficit is projected to widen to 7.3 trillion rubles ($85.8 billion).
Before the meeting between business leaders and Putin, contributions from non-state entities totaled 15.6 billion rubles ($187.39 million). In the following month alone, the figure rose to 159.7 billion rubles ($1.918 billion). By mid-August, total contributions had reached 383.7 billion rubles ($4.60 billion).
According to sources cited by The Moscow Times, billionaires Suleiman Kerimov, Vladimir Potanin, and Oleg Deripaska expressed a willingness to support the budget with personal funds during their March meeting with Putin. They proposed transferring 460 billion rubles on the condition that the Kremlin abandon plans to impose a β€œwindfall tax” on their companies.
Despite this, the tax will still be introduced in 2027. It will apply to companies including Potanin’s Nornickel, Deripaska’s Rusal, and Kerimov’s gold-mining company Polyus. The Finance Ministry expects to receive 200 billion rubles annually from these companies over the next three years.

πŸ›’ G7 nations will release up to 100 million barrels of crude oil and diesel from emergency reserves under pressure from the Trump administration to curb rising fuel prices, according to a statement by G7 leaders.
They also pledged to maintain sanctions against Russia while cooperating with the International Energy Agency and partners to prevent the negative impact from spreading further to fuel, gas, and other commodity markets.

More than 11,000 migrants have attempted to enter Latvia from Belarus this year. Latvian authorities accuse Russian and Belarusian intelligence services of orchestrating the migration pressure, The New York Times reports.
Latvian officials say migrants from Africa and the Middle East are lured to Russia and Belarus, flown to Moscow and Minsk, and then transported in an organized manner to the EU’s borders. Sections of the border fence have been found cut, and tunnels up to 40 meters long have also been discovered.
Riga views the situation as part of a Russian campaign to destabilize Europe and an attempt to exacerbate internal divisions ahead of parliamentary elections. Amid the rising number of crossing attempts, Latvia has deployed the army and National Guard and has already spent more than $1 billion reinforcing its borders with Russia and Belarus.
According to Latvian authorities, Germany and other Western European countries are the ultimate destinations for many migrants. Riga says the smuggling operations are run by criminal networks that collaborate with the Belarusian KGB.

πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή Lithuania is deploying SkyFortress, an acoustic system developed in Ukraine, to detect low-altitude drones, LRT reports.
[..]"SkyFortress bolsters the first linkβ€”surveillanceβ€”by using artificial intelligence to detect and track low-altitude drones or cruise missiles,” said Minister of National Defence Laurynas KasčiΕ«nas.
According to him, the system can classify objects that leave acoustic or electromagnetic signatures in real time.
In addition to the system itself, the agreement signed this summer provides access to libraries of digital acoustic and radio-frequency signatures, personnel training, and assistance with processing data collected by the sensors.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan has imposed sanctions on 33 Russian companies and nine individuals, as well as 35 vessels belonging to Russia’s β€œshadow fleet.”
The restrictions target, among others, Voentorg, a key supplier to the Russian Ministry of Defense; VNIIR-Progress, a manufacturer of electronics for Iskander missiles; Alabuga Development and Alabuga Machinery, involved in the production and modernization of Geran UAVs; and Uralvagonzavod, an armored vehicle manufacturer.
Sanctions also apply to four companies from TΓΌrkiye and the UAE that supply Russia with restricted components for weapons production.
Additionally, sanctions have been imposed on Vladislav Kostin, CEO of VNIIR-Progress, and Dmitry Lelikov, Deputy Head of Rostec.

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany plans to establish its first drone regiment by 2027, with up to 600 troops, Defense Minister Boris Pistorius announced.
The dedicated unmanned systems regiment will include aerial and ground drones, loitering munitions, and an electronic warfare company. The new unit will be part of the 10th Panzer Division.
The regiment’s drones will be capable of operating at ranges of up to 500 km. Strike drones will be able to remain airborne for up to 70 minutes before attacking a target.

πŸ•― Two people have been killed and 32 injured in Kharkiv after Russian forces struck residential areas in the Slobidskyi and Nemyshlianskyi districts with guided aerial bombs in broad daylight, police said.
Among the injured are a 15-year-old girl and a 10-year-old boy. All the wounded are receiving medical attention.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 03/10/2026 13:22

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Russian forces may be using covert ground repeaters in Kyiv (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86028 to steer Shahed drones in real time, presidential tech adviser Serhii Beskrestnov warned.
The links could bypass electronic warfare shields to strike bridges and air defenses directly.

Russia is planning to cut 90% of electricity, heating and water supplies (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85948 in Kyiv, Kharkiv and Odesa this winter, according to an alleged intercepted plan obtained by The New York Times.
The newspaper said it could not independently verify the document.

The Kremlin says Russia and the US could begin β€œmutually beneficial https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85955 economic projects before any settlement in Ukraine.
The comments followed Putin envoy Kirill Dmitriev’s talks in Washington on ending the war and possible postwar cooperation.

President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia is targeting Kyiv’s civilian infrastructure and schools (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85952 to pressure residents into leaving the capital. Mayor Vitali Klitschko warned that the city is facing a β€œvery dramatic situation” as Russian strikes hit critical infrastructure, housing, logistics and energy facilities.

Ukraine has pushed back on reports that more than half of its F-16 fleet (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85959 has been grounded by maintenance delays and parts shortages.
Kyiv says its US-made fighter jets will remain operational through winter, despite demanding conditions and challenges sourcing components.

Switzerland approved $162M to finance eight recovery projects across Ukraine (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86018 the Swiss Federal Council announced.
Managed by Swiss firms locally, the aid targets the energy grid, public transit, and water networks ahead of winter.

Poland is drafting a law to strengthen the country’s readiness for a possible wartime scenario, amid growing concern over hybrid threats, cyberattacks and disinformation.
The proposed measures would speed up the deployment of Polish and allied forces, align national plans with NATO response procedures and prepare critical infrastructure. It is a preparedness bill β€” not a declaration that Poland is entering a state of war.

Ukrainian strike drones targeted the Tsymbulovo droneport (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86014 in Russia’s Oryol region early Saturday.
Satellite data detected multiple fires across workshops, storage hangars, and launch pads used to deploy jet-powered drones against Ukraine.

Zelensky has ordered officials to develop additional housing (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85975) and financial support for teachers.
The move came during a school visit ahead of Education Workers’ Day β€” one day after Russia targeted a Kyiv school with a drone carrying a 50kg warhead.

Russian forces struck a civilian cargo vessel flying the flag of Liberia (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86032) in an Odesa region port, killing one crew member and injuring three others, the Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority reported.
Thirteen crew members were evacuated from the ship.

A Ukrainian Mirage 2000-5F intercepted and shot down a Russian S8000 Banderol cruise missile (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86008) using its onboard 30mm cannon.
The engagement marks the first confirmed gun kill of its kind by the French-supplied jet, conserving costly air-to-air missiles.

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian drone launch site (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86023) and a tactical river crossing in Donetsk, along with a command post and warehouse in Russia’s Belgorod region, the General Staff reported.
Strikes also hit an equipment repair base in Kherson.

Chisinau International Airport suspended passenger check (https://www.kyivpost.com/post/85973)-in and evacuated its terminal following a bomb threat on Friday.
Moldovan authorities warned that scheduled flights could be delayed or changed while security teams inspected the airport.

Russian forces struck warehouses used by one of Ukraine’s largest pharmaceutical distributors outside Kyiv, raising fears of disruptions to medicine supplies.
Venta.LTD works with more than 400 suppliers, including Bayer, Sanofi, Pfizer, Teva, Darnytsia and Farmak.
The full extent of the damage and its impact on deliveries is not yet known.

Putin’s Pantsir-S1 was meant to shield Russia’s most valuable targets from drones and missiles. Instead, Ukraine keeps exposing its weaknesses.
Former U.S. Navy SEAL Chuck Pfarrer breaks down why Putin’s flagship short-range air-defense system is so vulnerable.
https://www.kyivpost.com/videos/85944

Ukraine’s National Police has opened nearly 227,000 war-crimes cases against Russian forces since 2022 https://www.kyivpost.com/post/86001.
Official data also reports 749 children killed, 2,924 wounded, and over 20,600 deported to Russia.

In this episode of Point of Impact, former U.S. Navy SEAL Chuck Pfarrer breaks down why Putin’s flagship short-range air defense system is fundamentally flawed.

In this episode of Point of Impact, former U.S. Navy SEAL Chuck Pfarrer breaks down why Putin’s flagship short-range air defense system is fundamentally flawed.

https://www.kyivpost.com/videos/85944

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 03/10/2026 13:25

Ok ive tried several times to remove the offending ) at the end of the links for kyiv Post and when I hit Save and Post on the edit, they turn up again. Sorry.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 03/10/2026 13:37

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

πŸ‡°πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦South Korea has threatened "additional measures" if Ukraine does not apologize for disclosing information about North Korean military personnel in Seoul.
President Lee Jae-myung stated that Ukraine effectively made him look like a liar by denying the existence of a non-disclosure agreement.
He also accused Kyiv of attempting to provoke a war on the Korean Peninsula.
The dispute arose when President Volodymyr Zelensky, during his speech at the UN General Assembly, said that Ukraine had transferred two North Korean military personnel captured in the Kursk region to South Korea.

[more info]
⚑️Russian relay devices that help Shahed drones adjust strikes may be operating in Kyiv. This was stated by Presidential Advisor Serhii "Flash" Beskrestnov.
According to him, there may be from one to three such relays. They provide a short-term control channel and allow drones to be precisely guided to targets right up to the moment of impact.
Flash notes that relays are difficult to detect, but "we need to search," because while they operate, electronic warfare means cannot effectively shield the city.
This version is supported by the precise strike on the SBU building on September 4, when there were no other relay drones in the sky, as well as by an analysis of attacks on Kyiv's bridges. Flash emphasizes that without stable online control, it is impossible to hit a specific bridge support or cable.

⚑️The Guardian reported that Western countries are preparing plans to evacuate embassies from Kyiv. Ukraine's Foreign Ministry denies this.
Two senior Western diplomats told the publication that contingency plans are being prepared to relocate embassies to Lviv or eastern Poland in case the Russians begin deliberately striking foreign diplomatic missions in Kyiv.
"Russia plans to freeze Kyiv, return it to the Stone Age [...] The situation is obviously deteriorating rapidly," one of The Guardian's sources said.
At the same time, Ukraine's Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi stated that no requests or notifications about plans to relocate from Kyiv have been received from foreign diplomatic missions. He said he does not know where the foreign publication got this information.

Former Ukrainian Defense Ministers Mykhailo Fedorov and Oleksii Reznikov.
Russia's Investigative Committee allegedly established that Fedorov and Reznikov were involved in "crimes against the civilian population of Donbas." They allegedly gave subordinates orders for "punitive paramilitary operations."
β–ͺ️Reznikov headed the Ministry of Defense from November 2021 to September 2023. Fedorov β€” from January to July 2026.

Russian forces launched 157 drones at Ukraine overnight and attacked the Odesa region with Banderol munitions.

Air defense neutralized 131 enemy drones; the rest struck 12 locations. Here are the main consequences in the regions:
πŸ”΄Kyiv region. Four people were injured in a Russian strike in Hostomel, two of them children. Warehouses caught fire.
πŸ”΄Dnipro. Late in the evening, the Russians struck an apartment building and a business center. Four residents were injured.
πŸ”΄Kharkiv. A drone struck near a private house and damaged a gas pipeline in the Kyivskyi district β€” three people were injured.
πŸ”΄Zaporizhzhia region. The Russians struck the territory of a fire and rescue unit β€” one rescuer was injured.
πŸ”΄Odesa region. Civilian infrastructure was hit β€” a private house and a non-residential building were damaged. No casualties were reported.

DdraigGoch · 03/10/2026 15:29

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 03/10/2026 12:51

Yes, with them starting to attack Kyiv's bridges I thought the same.

But when you think of Chechyna, they levelled it into rubble. They'd have preferred Ukraine in a good condition to make use of the facilities, but since the Ukrainians are proving recalcitrant - well, it's their own fault if the Russians have to destroy their land, right?

Classic abuser: "If I can't have her, no one can!"

blueshoes · 04/10/2026 01:17

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-3-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Five Russian drones, including Banderol loitering munitions, crashed in Moldova on the morning of October 3, exceeding the number of aerial vehicles involved in the last Russian violation of Moldovan airspace.
  2. Russian forces struck the Northern Bridge in Kyiv City on October 3 as part of Russia’s continued efforts to degrade the city’s traffic across the Dnipro River and cause wider disruptions to Ukraine’s economy and daily civilian life.
  3. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against missile and drone launch sites in Russia. Russia launched 157 drones against Ukraine overnight and Banderol loitering munitions on the morning of October 3.
  4. Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Sumy City.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 11:50

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️Moscow unveils 'new doctrine' targeting Ukrainian civilians, Zelensky vows to respond with more energy strikes.
President Zelensky said that Ukrainian intelligence obtained documents revealing that Russian President Putin issued a new policy allowing Russian forces to launch broader strikes against Ukrainian civilian targets this upcoming winter.

⚑️Exit polls show pro-Ukraine United List party leading Latvian parliamentary elections as counting begins.
Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs’ centrist United List party is projected to win the greatest number of seats in the Latvian parliament with 35% support, exit polling commissioned by public broadcaster LSM showed on Oct. 3.

⚑️Series of drone attacks disrupt power supply near Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant, IAEA says.
The strikes damaged transformers considered vital for maintaining the ZNPP’s off-site power supply.

⚑️ Russia targets Kyiv bridges for fourth consecutive day, hits Northern Bridge.
From Oct. 1 to Oct. 3, Kyiv's Southern and Northern bridges were targeted in multiple Russian drone strikes amid an intensifying campaign against infrastructure in the capital.

⚑️Pontoon crossings coming to Kyiv following Russian strikes on key bridges, media reports.
A Ukrainian official said that the construction of pontoon crossings could take up to three months and would help traffic move through the capital, which remains heavily restricted after multiple bridge attacks by Russia.

⚑️ German Chancellor Merz arrives in Kyiv, pledges further support for Ukraine.
Merz was accompanied by Economy Minister Katherina Reiche and 10 executives from Germany's defense and energy sectors.

⚑️U.S. peace negotiations with Russia could now involve multi-billion dollar Lukoil deal, NYT reports.
The Trump administration’s peace negotiations with the Kremlin have come to include discussions of a multi-billion dollar deal involving assets owned by Russian oil company Lukoil, the New York Times (NYT) reported on Oct. 3.

⚑️At least 15,000 civilian casualties documented in Ukraine in 2026, UN report finds.
The UN Human Rights Office found that an average of more than 400 civilians were killed or injured every week in Ukraine during the first eight months of 2026, a 55% increase from the same period in 2025, High Commissioner Volker Turk told the Human Rights Council in Geneva on Oct. 2.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:01

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Ukraine will step up strikes on Russian oil refineries in response to Moscow’s new airstrike doctrine, which aims to force people to flee Kyiv and other cities, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told Reuters.
According to Zelenskyy, Ukrainian intelligence obtained documents indicating that Putin had approved a β€œnew doctrine” for military attacks targeting a much wider range of civilian facilities ahead of winter.
β€œWe have seen the documents and know they authorize attacks on infrastructure, logistics, roads, schools, and hospitals to pressure peopleβ€”forcing them to leave the capital and other cities. That is the operation’s goal,” Zelenskyy said.
The President said the shift was driven by Putin’s desire to project strength at a time when his army is losing ground in a key frontline sector and suffering mounting casualties.
The Kremlin was unavailable for comment on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Russian Foreign Ministry, in a statement urging foreigners to leave Kyiv, said Moscow would continue to systematically strike targets.
Zelenskyy said Ukraine would respond to Moscow’s change in tactics but would not mirror the approach by indiscriminately striking civilian infrastructure.
[...]
Ukrainian officials warn that Russia has stockpiled hundreds of ballistic missiles ahead of an expected winter campaign against critical infrastructure.
Kyiv is urgently working on solutions, particularly on strengthening electronic warfare (EW) capabilities.
In the second half of October, Ukraine is set to receive the first batch of small, low-cost air defense missiles capable of shooting down the new β€œShahed” drones.
Zelenskyy also announced that Ukraine is developing five models of new interceptor drones to counter jet-powered β€œShaheds.”
Tests of two models have so far shown moderate effectivenessβ€”around 30%.
β€œWe will have to scale this up. I hope that with all these elements, we will find a way,” he said.
This week, Ukraine used its own FP-7 ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 250 km, in combat for the first time.
Zelenskyy said he had called the manufacturer, Fire Point, and pressured the company’s leadership to expedite development of the longer-range FP-9 model, which the company claims is capable of striking Moscow.
[...]
According to Zelenskyy, following talks with European officials in Brussels, Ukraine has secured funding for the drones needed to continue combat operations into early 2027.

πŸ™πŸ» Humanitarian aid has been delivered to Oleshky by drone for the second time.
National Guard troops, together with Marines and border guards, delivered nearly 4 tons of food, medicines, and children’s kits.
All nearly 400 packages were successfully delivered to residents of the occupied city. The β€œPerun” UAV crew also rescued six animals from the area.

❗️ Russian forces have struck the roadway of the North Bridge in Kyiv. Emergency services are en route to the scene, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said.
Ukrainian strikes have reached Russia’s Samara region, with new results reported in the Black Sea, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

The Russian Federation’s ambassador to Chisinau has been summoned and handed a note of protest following the unauthorized entry of five Russian drones and missiles into the Republic of Moldova’s airspace, which exploded near settlements in four districts, Moldova’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported.

The moment of the Russian drone hitting Pivnichnyi (North) Bridge in Kyiv. https://t.me/United24media/46619

A battle of the future: A Ukrainian unmanned ground vehicle (UGV) snared a Russian fiber-optic FPV drone with a net. Electronic warfare is ineffective against such drones.
Thus, the drone war is gradually evolving into a confrontation between unmanned systems, with ground-based robots taking on an increasing number of tasks directly on the front line. https://t.me/United24media/46613

πŸ’₯ A car carrying a Russian soldier accused of torturing Ukrainian Armed Forces troops exploded in Russia’s Tula region.
The incident occurred in the city of Novomoskovsk on October 2. According to Russian media reports, the explosion killed Russian soldier Roman Syromyatnikov, who had fought against Ukraine as part of a paratrooper company of the 51st Regiment, 106th Division.
Syromyatnikov had been placed on the wanted list by the Prosecutor General’s Office of Ukraine. The Myrotvorets website states that he was involved in the torture of Ukrainian prisoners of war at Penal Colony No. 1 in the Tula region.

Russia concealing possible pneumonic plague outbreak, reports The Sun
The British newspaper The Sun reports on a possible outbreak of pneumonic plague in the Irkutsk region, suggesting that Russian authorities are not disclosing the true scale of the situation.
Epidemiologist Mikhail Favorov believes that a 28-year-old employee of an anti-plague institute might have initially been mistaken for a COVID patient due to respiratory issues and placed on a ventilator. He notes that if the woman did indeed have pneumonic plague, this could have led to the infection of others, spreading through those who had been in contact with her.
However, the expert dismissed the theory that a test tube had broken in the laboratory as unlikely. He explained that staff at anti-plague institutes work in specialized protective gear, making the probability of infection in such a manner very low.
Amid the situation, Anna Popova, the head of Rospotrebnadzor, has personally traveled to the Irkutsk region. Meanwhile, the regional governor still has not specified the exact nature of the illness.

Failed attempt by Russians to transport a Mi-2 helicopter on the roof of a pickup truck in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai. https://t.me/United24media/46620 [quite funny, this one]

UNITED24Media

The moment of the Russian drone hitting Pivnichnyi (North) Bridge in Kyiv.

https://t.me/United24media/46619

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:07

Just reposting this clip of a helicopter on top of a pick up truck that gradually leans over and pulls the truck over, because it's awesome

t.me/United24media/46620

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:12

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Alexander Lukashenko said Minsk remains fully committed to Moscow’s war against Ukraine, joking that he and Vladimir Putin debate who is the bigger "co-aggressor."
He pledged Belarus will carry out any decision made by the Kremlin.

Ukraine will fully cover its current budget deficit by the end of the year, President Zelensky announced following talks with the EU.
Part of next year’s loan will be brought forward toward January to fund drone procurement for early 2027.

Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama warned that Western promises of EU membership to Ukraine under standard procedures are β€œa lie,” arguing Kyiv will never enter via regular channels.
He urged a phased accession model and abolishing the EU national veto.

Ukraine’s β€œOperation Vivaldi” has liberated 125–140 sq km so far, Zelensky said.
He noted Russian monthly casualties rose to 42,000 during the campaign, with Ukrainian forces suffering several times fewer losses than defending Russian units.

Ukrainian strike drones targeted Russia’s Khanskaya military airfield in the Republic of Adygea overnight, sparking a massive fire across the base.
NASA FIRMS satellite data and geolocated footage confirmed thermal anomalies at the staging facility.

Ukraine’s FP-9 ballistic missile capable of reaching Moscow will be operational this autumn, President Zelensky told Reuters.
He added Kyiv will retaliate against Russian attacks on civilian infrastructure by striking oil refineries that fund the war.

Russian forces struck residential high-rises in Sumy with guided bombs on Sunday morning, injuring at least five civilians, two critically.
Five aerial bombs hit the Zarichnyi district, damaging apartment blocks and cars, regional officials said.

Photos reveal the damage to Kyiv’s North Bridge following a Russian drone strike, showing a deep blast crater torn through the roadway.
Emergency crews and specialized utility technicians are on site repairing the severed electrical transit lines.

Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
Ukraine Invasion - Part 62
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:16

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

⚑️Russian strikes on Kyiv's bridges threaten a "logistics nightmare" for Ukraine, The New York Times reports.
The publication claims that due to Russian attacks, authorities were forced to suspend traffic on five of the capital's six road bridges. Kyiv's bridges have come under attack six times over the past three days.
At the same time, the newspaper adds that destroying the bridges with drones will be difficult. However, the attacks could damage the bridges' load-bearing structures, forcing authorities to close them indefinitely to prevent collapse.
As a result, this would cause a real "logistics nightmare," since food and various equipment are transported across the bridges.

In Kyiv, construction of several reserve pontoon crossings over the Dnipro is planned to begin next week, announced Minister of Restoration, Infrastructure, and Transport of Ukraine Mykola Kalashnyk.
Construction may take up to three months, and the structures themselves must provide at least half the throughput capacity of the bridges. Currently, an average of 600,000 vehicles use Kyiv's bridges per day.
The crossings are planned to be built not only in Kyiv but also in other regions of Ukraine.
In the long term, the ministry is considering building an underwater tunnel under the Dnipro. It will cost several billion hryvnias, so Ukraine will need to seek international partners.

The response to bridge strikes, Ukrainian ballistics, and a meeting with Putin. Key points from Zelensky's interview with Reuters.
πŸ”΄In response to Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy sector, Ukraine will strike oil refineries in Russia but will not hit civilian targets on its territory.
πŸ”΄As part of Operation "Vivaldi," Ukraine has already liberated approximately 140 kmΒ² of territory.
πŸ”΄Zelensky said he would be willing to meet with Putin at the G20 summit in Miami in December.
πŸ”΄In the second half of October, Ukraine expects a shipment of weapons capable of shooting down jet-powered Shaheds. Five interceptor drones were also tested, two of which showed 30% effectiveness β€” they will be scaled up.
πŸ”΄This week, Ukraine tested its own ballistic weapon, the FP-7. Additionally, Zelensky is asking Fire Point leadership to quickly complete development of the longer-range FP-9 model, which could reach Moscow.
πŸ”΄To close the $27 billion gap in Kyiv's defense budget this year, Ukrainian officials, together with European partners, have developed a joint plan.

Russian forces launched 135 drones at Ukraine overnight, the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported.
Air defense neutralized 123 enemy drones and two Banderol munitions. The rest struck 5 locations.
In Kyiv, drone debris fell on the roof of a private house and on open ground. No casualties were reported.
In the Dnipropetrovsk region, a minibus and an enterprise were damaged. An explosion was also heard in central Dnipro in the morning. The premises of a communications company were hit.
The Russians attacked the Sumy region with five aerial bombs. At least five people were injured.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:18

This car-bombing habit of both sides is very distasteful.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 04/10/2026 12:20

Russia concealing possible pneumonic plague outbreak, reports The Sun
The British newspaper The Sun reports on a possible outbreak of pneumonic plague in the Irkutsk region, suggesting that Russian authorities are not disclosing the true scale of the situation.
Epidemiologist Mikhail Favorov believes that a 28-year-old employee of an anti-plague institute might have initially been mistaken for a COVID patient due to respiratory issues and placed on a ventilator. He notes that if the woman did indeed have pneumonic plague, this could have led to the infection of others, spreading through those who had been in contact with her.

(several other sources are also reporting this)

I think it is probably safe to say that for "anti-plague institute" one might do well to read "biological warfare research centre", given that the thing is Russian.

Several sources say that they have isolated two hundred "contacts" of hers, which I would suspect means "the rest of the workforce". And "it won't have happened because she broke a test-tube" as a Russian source is quoted as stating, is contradicted by the report in the Moscow Times saying that she told fellow workers that she had done that while collecting live samples of the bacteria. Mind you, the Moscow Times also reports that she became ill after returning from a work trip in Buryatia in eastern Siberia, so it is really up to us which of their stories we want to give credit to. Maybe they are not conflicting, and she broke a test-tube in Buryatia.

DrBlackbird · 04/10/2026 15:20

Why have reports of Russia as a threat to the UK been increasing lately? Along with the encouragement of the uk govt for us to all stock up. Anyone know anything more?

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 15:23

The UK gave Ukraine the specs for the Storm Shadow missiles and Russia wasn't happy.

But really there's been a slow increase of threats and hostile actions and much as the UK and other countries don't want to face it, the point is coming that they are trying to prepare the populations for the idea that things might go South.

The NL has issued a leaflet about what to stock up on and general protocols too. There were reports of more active measures to prepare the population too but I admit that they've gone over my head, if they are accurate reports

blueshoes · 04/10/2026 15:27

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 12:07

Just reposting this clip of a helicopter on top of a pick up truck that gradually leans over and pulls the truck over, because it's awesome

t.me/United24media/46620

That is crazy! Failure of common sense. I wonder how they even loaded the helicopter on the top of the truck to begin with.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 17:28

Me too

"one two three boys, HUP she goes!"

And you'd better plan your route ever so carefully, one small bridge and you're buggered.

notimagain · 04/10/2026 17:40

I don't know much about helicopters but I do know they have all sorts of imaginative ways of writing themselves off by rolling over....and that's even before you stick them on top of a truck...

MissConductUS · 04/10/2026 17:59

notimagain · 04/10/2026 17:40

I don't know much about helicopters but I do know they have all sorts of imaginative ways of writing themselves off by rolling over....and that's even before you stick them on top of a truck...

Beyond being an aerodynamic disaster, helicopters are inherently unstable. I've never liked riding in them.

I recently saw this about Ukraine's F-16 fleet and wondered whether it's in the news in Europe and what you think of the maintenance turnaround times.

Ukraine Has an F-16 Emergency - Maintenance delays in Belgium are grounding its best defense against Russia’s jet drones.

It's such a common aircraft that I wouldn't have expected outsourcing maintenance to be much of a challenge.

notimagain · 04/10/2026 19:14

Thanks for the link, no hadn't heard that and agree with your thoughts on maintenance.

I'll see if I can find any other info.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 22:31

Its been reported that there are zero F16s able to fly in Ukraine atm, although Kyiv hastily denied that. But its clear there's a major problem.

MissConductUS · 04/10/2026 23:45

The USAF has withdrawn all of the B-1 bombers from RAF Fairford due to concerns about the recent security incident.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/all-b-1-bombers-returning-to-u-s-from-u-k-base-bfa0f797?st=ePvMXA

There are other bases they can fly missions to Iran from.

Something must have emerged from the ongoing investigation.

blueshoes · 05/10/2026 01:33

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-4-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) presented its main rhetorical framing to justify what will become Russia’s brutal Fall-Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure. The Russian MoD is unfoundedly framing these strikes as a response to many grievances going back several months.
  2. The Russian strikes are not an actual response to specific events, however, and many of the MoD’s specific claims are blatantly false.
  3. The prominent Kremlin-affiliated milblogger Rybar media project criticized the Russian MoD’s disingenuous framing of its Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign as retaliatory in nature.
  4. Ukraine is already suffering from Russia’s increasingly deadly strike campaign that has intensified since late September 2026, however.
  5. Ukraine is urgently pursuing domestic production of jet-powered drone interceptors to combat Russia’s escalating strike campaign, as Russia continues to stockpile ballistic and quasi-ballistic missiles for future long-range strikes.
  6. The Russian military continues forming new maneuver divisions as part of the implementation of its longstanding plans to transition towards a force structure based on mass and divisions.
  7. Russian civilians protested the results of the September 2026 State Duma elections in Moscow City on October 4. [this is going to work]
  8. Ukrainian forces advanced in the Borova direction and Lyman tactical area.
  9. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian military assets. Russia launched 135 drones against Ukraine overnight.
Natsku · 05/10/2026 04:38

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 15:23

The UK gave Ukraine the specs for the Storm Shadow missiles and Russia wasn't happy.

But really there's been a slow increase of threats and hostile actions and much as the UK and other countries don't want to face it, the point is coming that they are trying to prepare the populations for the idea that things might go South.

The NL has issued a leaflet about what to stock up on and general protocols too. There were reports of more active measures to prepare the population too but I admit that they've gone over my head, if they are accurate reports

Definite increase in hostile actions to European counties by Russia. Finnish MP's houses have been broken into in the classic KGB style, that's quite a step up from the usual border violations by planes and suchlike.

notimagain · 05/10/2026 06:58

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/10/2026 22:31

Its been reported that there are zero F16s able to fly in Ukraine atm, although Kyiv hastily denied that. But its clear there's a major problem.

All or almost all reports I'm finding on this circle back to the WSJ piece and that leans very heavily on comments made by a ?former US Navy (USN) Very Senior Officer (VSO).

No idea what the VSOs connections with aviation are or were but the USN has never been an operator of the F-16 so there'd a bit of a question mark about some of the claims.

No-one seems yet at least to have been able to come up with a convincing explanation as to why scheduled maintenance that would take abouy a month stateside is taking 40 weeks in Belgium.....unless the spares supply chain is compromised in some way.8

It's not absolutely impossible the story is true and the fleet is getting into trouble but the main isdue being more discussed in the conyext of Western supplied fighters is a shortage of air to air missiles.

FWIW on that subject there were reports last week that a French supplied Mirage 2000 got a guns kill on one of the fast Russian drones..so that's one missile saved.