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Ukraine Invasion: Part 61

1000 replies

MagicFox · 28/04/2026 15:57

Welcome to thread 61 with many thanks to all So many thanks to all contributors and a special salute to those providing daily updates. For the 61st time, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

**
Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content
C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful
D. Please keep on topic

OP posts:
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blueshoes · 15/06/2026 19:57

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-14-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. British forces intercepted a Russian shadow fleet vessel in the English Channel for the first time on June 14.
  2. US President Donald Trump spoke with both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 14.
  3. The Russian military command is reportedly planning to relocate remaining Black Sea Fleet (BSF) command structures out of occupied Crimea.
  4. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions.
  5. Russian forces launched 98 drones against Ukraine overnight.
blueshoes · 15/06/2026 20:11

DuncinToffee · 15/06/2026 13:22

This link has a share token to the FT article "Arson targeting Keir Starmer properties originated in Russia"

https://bsky.app/profile/joshspero.ft.com/post/3mod7ht73ls27

Thanks for sharing @DuncinToffee . Straight out of the Russian playbook to prey on weakness and desparation whilst remaining in the shadows.

blueshoes · 16/06/2026 10:59

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-15-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian forces conducted another devastating large-scale drone and missile strike series against Ukraine on the night of June 14 to 15, heavily targeting Kyiv, Dnipro, and Kharkiv cities.
  2. Russian forces continue to adapt their strike tactics to maximize damages.
  3. Russian strikes damaged significant cultural sites in Kyiv, Dnipro, and Kharkiv cities.
  4. The Russian information space is trying to deflect blame for the June 14 to 15 strikes by either blaming Ukraine for the damage or justifying the strikes as militarily necessary.
  5. Russia appears to be perpetuating sophisticated information operations that use artificial intelligence (AI)-generated footage of flag raisings to fabricate claims of Russian tactical successes in Kostyantynivka.
  6. Ukrainian officials continue to report that only about 100 to 150 Russian servicemembers have infiltrated into Kostyantynivka, however.
  7. Ukraine’s tactical situation in Kostyantynivka is deteriorating, but the Russian MoD is falsely framing the potential future seizure of Kostyantynivka as a harbinger of the immediate seizure of the entire Fortress Belt and the rest of Donetsk Oblast.
  8. Ukraine continues to express willingness for a leader-level meeting with Russia while the Kremlin demonstrates its continued pursuit of maximalist war aims and a total intransigence to negotiate.
  9. Russian forces recently advanced in northern Sumy Oblast.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 16/06/2026 11:26

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Breaking: EU opens 1st negotiation cluster for Ukraine, Moldova.

⚡️Exclusive: Zelensky, Trump, Macron hold behind-the-scenes meeting at G7 summit as Ukraine pushes peace talks.
The meeting marked the first face-to-face encounter between Zelensky and Trump in nearly four months, as Kyiv seeks to revive stalled peace talks with Moscow.

⚡️Update: Trump may invite Zelensky, Putin to US for meeting, Zelensky says.
"Yesterday, we discussed with President Trump that such a meeting could be organized in the USA, in a format where it would be much harder for Putin to refuse, at least to President Trump," Zelensky said.

⚡️Update: Trump says he had 'good meeting' with Zelensky, adds Russia 'should make a deal.'
"I'm meeting (Zelensky) later today," U.S. President Donald Trump said, hinting at another possible encounter.

⚡️Polish official explains delay in MiG fighter jet transfers to Ukraine.
"We have not transferred the MiGs to Ukraine. There is an ongoing dialogue between Poland and Ukraine," Polish Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk said in an interview with Radio ZET.

⚡️Lukashenko says Belarus poses no military threat to Ukraine, apologizes to Zelensky for past remarks.
In an interview with Al Arabiya, Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko said that Belarus poses no military threat to Ukraine and apologized to President Volodymyr Zelensky for previous harsh remarks.

⚡️Drone attack sparks fire at oil depot in Russia's Krasnodar Krai.

⚡️ Russian Tu-22M3 bomber crashes during landing in Irkutsk Oblast.
A Russian Tu-22M3 strategic bomber crashed while approaching for landing during a training flight in Irkutsk Oblast, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed.

Exclusive: European Parliament to scrutinize its most pro-Russian member
A special committee of the European Parliament is set to investigate its pro-Russian Luxemburger, Fernand Kartheiser, for potential breaches of parliamentary rules linked to his ties to Russia, according to a letter first seen by the Kyiv Independent on June 15.
The news comes shortly after Kartheiser visited the economic forum in St. Petersburg and subsequently sent to fellow members of the European Parliament (MEPs) and their staff a so-called St. Petersburg declaration, the backers of which declare themselves ready to “support all concrete initiatives seeking … the improvement and the normalization of relations” between Russia and the EU.

From Soviet explosives to Russian drones: The long assault on Kyiv Pechersk Lavra
The Dormition Cathedral of the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra, one of Orthodox Christianity’s oldest and most sacred monasteries, was among the targets in Russia’s latest overnight attack on June 15.
The images of the Dormition Cathedral’s roof ablaze recall a level of violence against this holy site not witnessed since World War II, when the Soviets, retreating before the German advance, rigged it with explosives. They blew the cathedral up on Nov. 3, 1941, after German troops took Kyiv.
It was fully rebuilt and reconsecrated only in 2000.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 22m
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 16, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average; 🇷🇺 gains of 13 km² confirmed
■ 16 air-defense systems destroyed in the last 7 days
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks included 2 Iskander-M missiles; drone interception rate could be better
■ All 🇷🇺 strike indicators below average; 12 🇺🇦 strikes reported; no data available on drones launched into 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 16/06/2026 11:32

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

⚓️🇺🇦 Ukrainian company Global Mark unveiled its unmanned submarine platform, SEA TRIDENT, at the Eurosatory 2026 defense exhibition.
The vessel is designed as a multi-role underwater platform with a low-visibility profile and a high degree of operational autonomy. It is equipped with an inertial navigation system, GPS, and Starlink connectivity.
According to the developers, SEA TRIDENT can be used for logistics and strike missions, serve as a carrier for drones or air defense systems, and conduct missions against other underwater targets.
The platform has a declared operational range of up to 2,000 miles (3,218 km) and can carry a payload of up to 1,000 kilograms.
SEA TRIDENT is currently undergoing testing.

❗️A UN arbitration tribunal has ruled against key Russian claims regarding the Sea of Azov and the Kerch Strait, while Moscow is already attempting to reinterpret the decision.
The tribunal did not uphold Russia’s position on the legal status of the Sea of Azov and the Kerch Strait, reaffirming that the waters are shared internal waters of Ukraine and Russia rather than belonging exclusively to Moscow.
The tribunal also found that Russia violated the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea by failing to conduct a proper environmental impact assessment during the construction of the Crimean Bridge.
[...]
At the same time, the Russian Foreign Ministry declared the outcome a “victory,” focusing solely on the tribunal’s findings related to environmental violations during the bridge’s construction while downplaying the broader conclusions of the ruling.

🔥 The ELOU-AVT-6 primary oil processing unit is reportedly on fire following a drone strike on the Moscow Oil Refinery
The facility is a key component of the refinery’s operations, responsible for primary crude oil processing.
The refinery processes around 11 million tons of oil annually and supplies approximately 40% of Moscow’s gasoline and 50% of its diesel fuel.

🎯 Footage reportedly shows a strike on an unidentified advanced Russian electronic warfare system that was allegedly being used to jam Starlink communications for Ukrainian long-range suicide drones. https://t.me/United24media/43359

🇺🇸 U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Julie Davis condemned Russia’s latest attacks on Ukraine.

☦️🇺🇦 More than 70 foreign diplomats visited the site of the Russian strike on the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra.
Diplomatic representatives also climbed to the roof of the Assumption Cathedral, where the Shahed drone struck, and witnessed firsthand the extent of the damage inflicted on a site of both Ukrainian and global cultural significance.

🤡 Russian propagandist Vladimir Solovyov claimed that Russia is “not fighting Ukraine, but NATO,” adding that Russian troops allegedly refer to Ukrainian soldiers on the front line as “Niemtsy” (“Germans”).

❗️Russian forces shelled the city of Balakliia in Kharkiv region with mortars, injuring six people, including two children.

UNITED24Media

🎯 Footage reportedly shows a strike on an unidentified advanced Russian electronic warfare system that was allegedly being used to jam Starlink communications for Ukrainian long-range suicide drones.

https://t.me/United24media/43359

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 16/06/2026 11:36

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

G7 leaders will meet President Zelensky at the Evian summit as US President Trump signals optimism that diplomacy could also move forward on Ukraine after his Iran breakthrough.
European leaders are expected to press Trump to keep pressure on Moscow and avoid pushing Kyiv toward concessions, while Zelensky urges a decisive response to Russia’s latest deadly strikes.

Zelensky said Putin rejected a proposed meeting on the sidelines of the G7 summit that would have included the leaders of the US, France, and other democratic nations.
“We offered Putin a meeting anywhere real decisions to end the war could be made. He doesn’t want it.“

The UK will fund supplies of enriched uranium for Ukraine’s nuclear power plants for the next two years under a new agreement announced at the G7 summit, Politico reported.
British company Urenco will provide enriched uranium to Energoatom, with £210 million in financing backed by UK Export Finance.
British officials said the deal will help ensure the stable operation of Ukraine’s energy system during the coming winters and further strengthen long-term nuclear cooperation between the two countries.

The UK has announced 70 new sanctions targeting Russia’s shadow fleet, military procurement supply chains and illicit financing networks used to evade existing restrictions.
“These sanctions target the ships, money and individuals sustaining Russia’s war economy and threatening European security,” Prime Minister Keir Starmer said.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed a strike on the Moscow Oil Refinery, located around 500 kilometers from Ukraine, following one of Russia’s largest attacks on Ukraine this year.
Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said Russian air defenses intercepted 60 drones during the attack.
One of the drones carried a message from Unmanned Systems Forces commander Robert “Madyar” Brovdi: “The Lavra will stand for centuries. Moscow will fall.”

What to Expect for Ukraine at the G7

Trump turns from Iran to Ukraine as Zelensky urges G7 leaders to answer Russia’s latest deadly strikes with pressure, not concessions.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/78246

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 16/06/2026 11:40

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇭🇺In Hungary, a prime minister will no longer be able to hold office for more than eight years — parliament has adopted a constitutional amendment.
The provision has retroactive effect. This means that Viktor Orbán, who was prime minister for 20 years (1998–2002 and 2010–2026), will not be able to return to power.
Parliament also used the amendment to abolish the Sovereignty Protection Office — a body that under Orbán was tasked with protecting "constitutional identity" and combating foreign influence.

In Poland, Russian artist Semyon Skrepetsky has been killed.
According to Polish police, there were likely two perpetrators. One of them was reportedly detained near the Belarusian consulate in Biała Podlaska.
"Skrepetsky gained popularity as an artist and blogger whose satirical paintings exposed Russia's imperialist ambitions. His work depicted the degraded ruling elite, the poverty of the Russian provinces, and society's blind submission to the dictator," writes wPolsce24.
Skrepetsky painted Putin, Lukashenko, Kadyrov, and Navalny, among others. He also repeatedly criticized Ukrainian authorities and is listed in the Myrotvorets database.
Since 2021, the artist had been living in Poland.

The Russians struck a zoo in Kharkiv — several animals were killed, and enclosures caught fire.

Overnight, the Russians launched two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 132 strike drones at Ukraine.
Air defense managed to shoot down 114 drones, while the missiles and another 16 UAVs hit 9 locations. Among the targets was Balakliya in the Kharkiv region, where eight people were wounded, including two children.
One person was injured in Russian attacks in the Dnipropetrovsk region. In the Kirovohrad region, Russian drones struck a livestock complex, killing more than 20 head of cattle.
In the morning, the Russians attacked a minibus with a drone in Kherson — a man was killed, and three other people were wounded.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 17/06/2026 11:10

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️ G7 set to leave Ukraine with $52 billion budget black hole despite EU push.
A statement being prepared by the G7 countries for publication on June 16 is expected to emphasize how Ukraine now has the upper hand against Russia on the battlefield, but is set to shy away from any of the big financial pledges needed to ensure Ukraine can keep financing that military success.

⚡️G7 leaders 'ready to consider' extending military production licenses to Ukraine, agree to increase arms deliveries.
Group of Seven (G7) leaders are "ready to consider" issuing military production licenses to Ukraine and have agreed to increase arms deliveries, a joint statement released June 17 read.

⚡️ Update: Trump positive on licenses for producing air defense missiles, Zelensky says.
President Volodymyr Zelensky raised the issue directly with U.S. President Donald Trump during their meeting.

⚡️Trump says Ukraine war has 'no impact' on US, but vows to help end it.

⚡️Ukrainian Su-24 bomber crashes in Khmelnytskyi Oblast, killing pilots, Air Force confirms.
The cause and circumstances of the crash are currently under investigation, Ukraine's Air Force said. Rescue crews and law enforcement are currently working at the site, and no civilian casualties have been reported.

⚡️Ukraine to create new drone units to bolster defenses along northern border with Russia, Belarus, Syrskyi says.
Oleksandr Syrskyi said Ukraine would continue expanding the capabilities of units already deployed in the northern sector, but did not clarify whether the measures were intended to counter threats from Russia, Belarus, or both.

⚡️Canada announces new Russia sanctions after Carney, Zelensky meeting at G7 Summit.
The latest sanctions package will target 162 individuals, entitites, and vessels related to Russia's shadow fleet, its energy revenues, and its defense, industrial, and disinformation sectors.

⚡️ Update: Drone strike knocks Moscow oil refinery completely out of action, Reuters reports.
The June 16 Ukrainian drone strike on the Moscow Oil Refinery has forced a total halt in its operations, Reuters reported, citing Russian industry sources.
The attack sparked a fire and severely damaged a primary refining unit responsible for over half of the plant’s capacity, contradicting claims by local Moscow authorities that production was unaffected. A secondary, undamaged unit is expected back online soon.

⚡️ Ukrainian Armor, AviaNera launch partnership on missile, drone engines.
The agreement covers the development and supply of engines for Ukrainian missile and drone platforms as Kyiv works to expand domestic weapons production.

⚡️ Update: Zelensky shows Trump photos of damaged Kyiv Pechersk Lavra, source says he was 'moved.'
Trump was visibly disappointed by the destruction, a source familiar with the matter said.

⚡️1 killed, 7 injured as Russia launches drone strikes on Zaporizhzhia.

[15-16 June 2026] ⚡️ 3 killed, 68 injured in Russian strikes across Ukraine over past day, passenger bus targeted in Kherson.
Russian forces launched 132 long-range attack drones, including Shahed-type drones, and two Iskander-M ballistic missiles against Ukraine overnight, Ukraine’s Air Force reported.

⚡️10 killed, 64 injured in Russian attacks across Ukraine as Sumy equestrian school comes under fire.
Russian forces launched 119 long-range attack drones, including Shahed-type drones, overnight, Ukraine's Air Force reported.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬
‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬

⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 17, 2026
■ Engagements slightly above average; casualties remain below average; 🇺🇦 gains of 80 km² confirmed
Considerable losses of unarmored vehicles (including fuel trucks)
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: all drones; interception rate could be better
■ 🇷🇺 MLRS strikes not reported in the GSUA report; 15 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 250 drones launched into 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 17/06/2026 11:14

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

⚠️ A Russian warship reportedly fired warning shots near a British-flagged civilian yacht in the English Channel, according to The Telegraph.
The newspaper reports that the incident involved the Russian frigate Admiral Grigorovich and occurred shortly after British Prime Minister Keir Starmer ordered Royal Marines to board the Russian tanker Smyrtos, a vessel linked to Russia’s so-called shadow fleet.
The Admiral Grigorovich is reportedly used to escort tankers associated with Russia’s shadow fleet, which transports Russian oil in an attempt to circumvent international sanctions.

⚡️Strengthening air defense and long-range weapons: G7 leaders announce increased support for Ukraine.
In a joint statement, G7 leaders reaffirmed their support for Ukraine’s freedom, sovereignty, and territorial integrity, while expressing solidarity with Ukrainians affected by Russian attacks on critical infrastructure and cultural heritage sites.
The leaders announced a “new impetus” in support for Ukraine. As part of this effort, G7 countries agreed to increase deliveries of air defense systems, interceptor missiles, and long-range weapons. They also expressed readiness to consider expanding licensing arrangements that would allow for greater weapons production directly in Ukraine.
In addition, the leaders agreed to intensify pressure on Russia’s war economy, including through expanded sanctions targeting the Russian oil and gas sectors.

🤝 President Volodymyr Zelenskyy discussed Ukraine’s economic reforms and continued cooperation with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva.

🛩️🇺🇦 Ukraine is expected to produce around 10 million drones this year, but the country has the capacity to double that number, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

🇺🇦🇪🇺 President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with European Council President António Costa and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on the sidelines of the G7 summit.

💥 As of June, strikes by Ukraine’s Defense Forces have hit more than 16 major Russian oil refineries and terminals, while over 40 oil-processing facilities have reportedly been forced to suspend operations, according to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The General Staff stated that Russian oil production has fallen to around 9 million barrels per day as a result of the attacks.
It also reported that gasoline production has dropped to its lowest level in 16 years, while fuel rationing and consumption limits have been introduced in temporarily occupied Crimea, occupied parts of Luhansk region, and border regions of Russia. Russian airports are also reportedly facing shortages of aviation fuel.
According to the General Staff, the Russian government has been forced to authorize the production of lower-quality Euro-3 fuel.

Ukrainian defense technology company Fire Point has reached an agreement with German radar manufacturer Hensoldt to supply radar systems for the Freya air defense system.
The two companies signed a Memorandum of Understanding during the Eurosatory 2026 defense exhibition in Paris, laying the groundwork for cooperation on the development of a missile defense system within the Freya project.
Under the agreement, Hensoldt will be responsible for the production, testing, and delivery of radar systems for the ground-based air defense complex.
Fire Point will oversee the overall architecture of the system, including the development, production, and integration of FP-7.x interceptor missiles, command-and-control systems, and launchers, combining all elements into a unified missile defense network.

European missile manufacturer MBDA has signed an agreement with Ukraine’s Luch Design Bureau that includes cooperation on the further development of the Neptun-2 cruise missile.
According to the document, Luch and MBDA will work toward breakthrough innovations aimed at enhancing the Neptun-2’s long-range strike capabilities while deepening strategic defense cooperation with Ukraine.
“Luch and MBDA will strive for breakthrough innovations in order to develop the Neptun-2’s long-range strike capabilities, while strengthening strategic cooperation with Ukraine in the defense sector,” the statement says.
MBDA is one of Europe’s leading missile manufacturers and produces a wide range of systems, including the Storm Shadow / SCALP cruise missiles and the naval cruise missile MdCN, often described as Europe’s counterpart to the Tomahawk.

🚙 Renault has unveiled a specialized crossover for drone operators at the Eurosatory 2026 defense exhibition in Paris.
The vehicle, called the Renault 4 Troop, has been upgraded into a mobile command post designed to support unmanned systems operations in the field

💣🇺🇦 The Ukrainian guided aerial bomb Vyrivniuvatch was presented at the Eurosatory 2026 defense exhibition in Paris.
According to the published specifications, the bomb has a weight of 250 kilograms and can be launched by aircraft from altitudes ranging between 500 and 10,000 meters.
Depending on launch conditions, its stated engagement range is from 10 to more than 130 kilometers. The system is designed to provide Ukrainian aircraft with a stand-off strike capability while remaining outside the reach of many enemy air defense systems.

🙏🇨🇭 Swiss experts will help restore the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra following the Russian attack on June 15.
During the G7 summit, Swiss President Guy Parmelin assured President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that Switzerland would provide expert assistance for the restoration of the historic religious site.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 17/06/2026 11:19

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

G7 leaders at the summit in Évian, France, agreed to increase air defense support and long-range capabilities for Ukraine.
The joint statement also backs support for Ukraine’s energy resilience ahead of winter and possible licensing to expand domestic weapons production.

Trump says he’s ready to boost support for Ukraine and increase pressure on Russia — but wants European allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz in return.
G7 leaders didn’t reject the proposal, though they signaled any mission would come with strict conditions.

US President Donald Trump said Washington could soon increase pressure on Russia with additional sanctions as falling oil prices squeeze Moscow’s revenues.

US President Trump said the US will refocus on ending Russia’s war in Ukraine after the Iran crisis, claiming both Putin and Zelensky are open to talks.

President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected to travel to Poland for the Ukraine Recovery Conference in Gdańsk on June 25–26, according to Polish media reports.
Sources cited by Rzeczpospolita say Kyiv has confirmed the president’s participation to Poland’s Foreign Ministry. The visit would come amid ongoing tensions between Kyiv and Warsaw over historical issues related to the UPA.

Ukraine is set to receive a share of a new $1 billion+ US humanitarian and disaster response package announced by the State Department.
The aid was unveiled after the G7 summit in France, where European leaders urged Washington to maintain strong support for Kyiv as Russia’s full-scale war continues.

Russian-installed authorities in occupied Crimea have imposed a nighttime ban on motorcycles, scooters and quad bikes, saying their engine noise can be confused with drone attacks and interfere with air defense work.

Ukraine’s emerging anti-ballistic missile shield has passed aerodynamic testing, but developers say it is still not ready for combat.
Fire Point chief designer Denys Shtilerman said the system still needs to be integrated with radars, command centers, secure data links and a European-made seeker before it can intercept ballistic missiles.

The Kremlin has denied receiving any invitation for a Zelensky-Putin meeting at the G7 summit, despite Kyiv saying proposals were sent through multiple channels.
Moscow claims there are no official lines of communication with Ukraine and insists any future talks can only take place on Russia’s terms.

Zelensky warned that Russia faces a “terrible winter” if the fighting is not brought to an end in the coming months.

France will help restore the protective shelter over the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant, while Swiss specialists will assist in rebuilding sites damaged at the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, Zelensky said.

More than 60% of Russians want the war against Ukraine to end, Zelensky said, arguing that growing losses and the lack of battlefield success are changing public opinion inside Russia.

An 87-year-old woman in a wheelchair is among three civilians killed in a Russian drone strike on Nikopol today.
No military target. No battlefield.

Sensitive content
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 17/06/2026 11:22

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Near the Moscow Oil Refinery, which was attacked by Ukrainian drones today, a new tower for the Pantsir air defense system was recently built. However, the anti-aircraft missile system itself has likely not yet been installed.
This is evidenced by satellite images published by the Russian service of Radio Liberty. Construction of the tower began in mid-May, approximately one kilometer from the refinery. In an image from May 14, the structure is already complete, but the Pantsir system is not visible on it.
The nearest known air defense system is located beyond the Moscow Ring Road in the village of Aparynky, on the territory of a Russian Ministry of Defense anti-ballistic missile facility.

The arson attacks on British Prime Minister Keir Starmer's property were organized by a Kremlin-linked network, according to an FT investigation.
The FT believes that Ukrainian Roman Lavrynovych, whom a British court found guilty of arson, was recruited via Telegram in late 2024 by a handler using the pseudonym El Money.
El Money ordered Lavrynovych to set fire to the prime minister's car and homes. According to the investigation, he was promised several thousand dollars in cryptocurrency for the job.
According to the FT, El Money is linked to the hacker network NoName057(16), which the US has called a Kremlin project. Meanwhile, a BBC investigation indicates that behind the name El Money is 23-year-old Yevgeniy Lyukshin — the son of a Russian diplomat who previously served as an embassy advisor in Denmark.
▪️Yesterday, a London court found Lavrynovych and 27-year-old Ukrainian-born Romanian citizen Stanislav Karpiuk guilty of arson attacks on Starmer's property in the spring of 2025.

Russia attacked Ukraine with 119 drones — air defense neutralized 97 UAVs. Here is what is known about the aftermath of the attacks:
🔴Zaporizhzhia. One person was killed and seven others were injured in overnight Russian drone strikes. A fire broke out in a residential building, and vehicles were damaged.
🔴Sumy region. The Russians struck an equestrian school with a drone. Staff members were not injured, but horses were killed.
🔴Kharkiv region. Four people were injured in a Russian strike on Bohodukhiv. The wounded include women aged 44 and 32, as well as a 20-year-old man and a 64-year-old man.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
blueshoes · 17/06/2026 13:34

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-16-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian authorities and energy companies are increasingly restricting the sale of gasoline and diesel in Russia as Ukraine’s long-range strikes against Russian oil infrastructure cause shortages.
  2. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky continues to express willingness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin — an invitation the Kremlin continues to reject.
  3. Russia reportedly has one remaining operational Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) left in its arsenal but will likely seek to manufacture more.
  4. Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces recently advanced.
  5. Russian forces launched two ballistic missiles and 132 drones against Ukraine overnight.
blueshoes · 17/06/2026 19:28

Russia's central banker Elvira Nabiullina has been missing for 3 weeks, whereabouts and fate unknown. The markets have great respect for her and she has been keeping the Russian economy on life support up till now by keeping inflation in check.

Paul Warburg, the commentator in the video, thinks that Putin's next step is to put the Russian economy on a total war footing and start printing money, leading to hyperinflation.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 10:45

mobilization ... :/ D'you know if Paul Warburg is the only one thinking that this is coming, or if other commentators believe it's a matter of time too?

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 11:05

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️ Zelensky holds post-G7 call with Trump and Macron, says it 'could make a big difference.'

⚡️ Trump thanks Putin for Iran ‘neutrality,’ immediately challenging G7 claims of tone shift.
U.S. President Donald Trump, fixated on Iran in a one-hour press conference at the end of the G7 summit, thanked Russian President Vladimir Putin for supposedly not helping Iran as much as he could have.

⚡️European Council explores opening communication channels with Kremlin.
The office of European Council President Antonio Costa has established limited diplomatic contacts with the Kremlin in recent weeks as the bloc explores reopening communication channels with Moscow, the Financial Times reported on June 17.

G7 leaders push Trump to change tone on Ukraine, actions still pending
The G7 summit ended on June 17 with leaders celebrating a changed tone and greater alignment on support for Ukraine, but have left President Volodymyr Zelensky short of much concrete to take back to Kyiv.

⚡️Magyar orders investigation into 'gold convoy' case that caused Hungary-Ukraine rift under Orban.
"The Prosecutor General must address the matter without delay," Magyar wrote on X.

⚡️Ukraine strikes Russian shadow fleet tanker in Black Sea, military infrastructure, General Staff says.
The tanker is subject to sanctions imposed by the EU, Switzerland, the U.K., Canada, and Ukraine, according to the General Staff.

⚡️Russia terrorizes Kyiv with ballistic missiles, drones overnight.
Russian strike drones circled the capital in a second wave of attacks after a round of ballistic missiles threatened Kyiv earlier in the night.

⚡️Moscow slammed by drones 2nd time in week as Ukraine hits back at Russia.
Photos and videos posted by Moscow residents to social media depicted fires and explosions in multiple locations across the city.
An oil depot in Russia's Rostov Oblast was also hit overnight, causing a massive fire.

⚡️Update: Moscow Oil Refinery hit again in massive Ukrainian drone strike.

⚡️Ukrainian, French defense firms to receive $23 million in grants under Brave France initiative.

⚡️'Hell is beginning' — Ukraine could isolate occupied Crimea as drone strikes disrupt logistics, Fedorov says.
"Crimea is being isolated by drones. In the near future, it appears that the Crimean peninsula will turn into an island," Fedorov said, speaking in an interview with the YouTube channel PRESSING.

⚡️Drones strike railway bridge in occupied Crimea, sparking fire.

⚡️ Former director of Mariupol museum suspected of handing over stolen paintings to Russian occupation authorities.
The paintings, valued at around Hr 26.3 million (approximately $586,000), have since been unlawfully listed in the Russian Culture Ministry’s register of museum valuables.

⚡️Almost 70% of Ukrainians expect Zelensky to be replaced after war, poll shows.
This marks a notable rise from 23% in 2023, as Zelensky's presidency enters its seventh year, reflecting a broader public demand for change across other branches of government as well.

⚡️ Ukraine denies Russian claim that Ukrainian drone struck bus carrying Belarusian children’s football team.
Ukraine’s General Staff denied Russian claims that a Ukrainian drone struck a bus carrying a Belarusian children’s football team in Bryansk Oblast, saying no Ukrainian drones were deployed in the region at the time.

The free-market case for easing Ukraine’s capital controls carefully


In this interview, Dmytro Pletenchuk, spokesperson for the Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, explains how Ukraine secured its maritime corridor, pushed Russian warships away from its coast, and adapted to a new era of naval warfare shaped by drones.

How Ukrainian drone pilots outmatch NATO forces in Sweden war game
Combat-tested Ukrainian drone teams destroyed over 30 NATO vehicles in the Swedish-led Aurora 26 exercise, exposing critical gaps in alliance drone warfare readiness.
Soon after their return, the Kyiv Independent spoke to two of the Ukrainian drone pilots involved, both serving in the National Guard's 20th Brigade, better known as Lubart.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 58m
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 18, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties above the 7-day average; no territorial changes confirmed
■ Land-based equipment losses above average; 4 air defence systems destroyed
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: drone interception rate <90% but 4 of 7 missiles shot down
■ 🇷🇺 strike indicators below average; most 🇺🇦 strikes reported in a single day this year, and 310 drones launched into 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
PerkingFaintly · 18/06/2026 11:32

blueshoes · 17/06/2026 19:28

Russia's central banker Elvira Nabiullina has been missing for 3 weeks, whereabouts and fate unknown. The markets have great respect for her and she has been keeping the Russian economy on life support up till now by keeping inflation in check.

Paul Warburg, the commentator in the video, thinks that Putin's next step is to put the Russian economy on a total war footing and start printing money, leading to hyperinflation.

That's really interesting, thank you.

I briefly wondered if Nabiullina had really disappeared or whether that was a something and nothing, but then Warburg says her absences have been officially explained as being "off sick".

If that's correct, then her disappearance has been officially acknowledged.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 11:36

If her bodyguards have been withdrawn and if her staff are not attending meetings they usually would, ssomething other than sickness is definitely going on.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 12:12

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

According to Bloomberg, European Council President António Costa sought to establish an informal channel of communication with the Kremlin.
The agency reports that, through a senior adviser, Costa twice contacted a high-ranking Russian official close to Vladimir Putin in an effort to create conditions for potential negotiations aimed at ending the war.

😁 Russia has begun importing gasoline by sea amid growing fuel shortages, Reuters reports, citing industry sources.
According to the agency, Russia is expected to receive gasoline shipments from Asia through its western ports in June — the first such imports in a long time. The situation is notable given that Russia is traditionally one of the world’s largest exporters of petroleum products.

⚠️ According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russia is likely left with only one combat-ready “Oreshnik” missile system.
Ukrainian private intelligence and analytics firm Dallas Analytics reported on June 16 that Russian leader Vladimir Putin ordered accelerated production of four additional Oreshnik-type missile systems after a missile was launched over the Dnipro River in 2024.
Since then, three of the four missiles have reportedly been used: one over the Lviv region in January, and two over Bila Tserkva in May, with one allegedly missing its target and falling in occupied Donetsk region. [///]
The report also cites a source described as linked to Russia’s Ministry of Defence, who allegedly said that manufacturers bypassed quality assurance procedures to meet production deadlines.
Dallas Analytics further claims it obtained internal Russian procurement documents from March 2025, which point to a technical vulnerability in the Soviet-era GU-503 aviation gyroscope affecting guidance accuracy, potentially causing significant targeting deviations.

🇧🇪🛩🇺🇦 Belgium will transfer more F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine than previously announced, according to the country’s Defense Minister.
He said Belgium will deliver seven F-16s this year: four will be used for spare parts, while three will be combat-ready and capable of performing missions in Ukrainian airspace to help defend against Russian attacks.
The minister also stated that the Belgian Ministry of Defense plans to expand future deliveries of fighter jets.

🇪🇺🇦🇲 The European Union is preparing to reduce tariffs on Armenian goods that were recently banned by Russia, the Financial Times reports.
According to two sources cited by the newspaper, the tariff reductions would apply to most of the roughly 20 categories of Armenian products affected by Russian import restrictions. The proposals could be formally presented in the coming weeks and would require approval from a majority of EU member states.
In May and June, Russia banned imports of nearly all agricultural products from Armenia, including flowers, vegetables, herbs, peaches, strawberries, apples, and fish. The restrictions were introduced shortly before Armenia’s parliamentary elections on June 7.

❗️Russia accused Ukraine of a drone attack on a bus carrying a children’s football team from Belarus. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine denied the Russian lie.
According to Russian and Belarusian investigative committees (Sledkom), the bus traveling from Gomel to Gelendzhik was carrying a team from the Belarusian city of Rechitsa: 44 passengers, including 28 children, along with coaches, parents, and accompanying persons.
[...] A Belarusian citizen, the wife of one of the coaches, was killed, and seven passengers were injured, including five children. One child is in serious condition.

Ukraine has denied any involvement in the incident involving a bus in Russia’s Bryansk region, according to Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets, commenting on Moscow’s accusations that Ukraine attacked civilians.

🇳🇱🇺🇦 The Netherlands will allocate €500 million to Ukraine for drones and air defense equipment, Reuters reports.
Of this amount, €250 million will be used to purchase drones from Dutch defense companies. The remaining €250 million will be allocated through the PURL program.
With this new package, the Netherlands’ total contribution to the program will reach €1 billion.

🇫🇮 Finland repeals its ban on nuclear weapons.
The new legislation allows the import, transportation, and possession of nuclear weapons for national defense purposes. The law was approved by 125 members of parliament, while 61 voted against it. The Finnish government emphasized that it does not plan to deploy nuclear weapons on its territory in peacetime.

Ukraine and France are officially launching BRAVE FRANCE, a major joint defense-tech initiative, Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov announced.
[...]Together, we have established a joint €20 million budget-contributing €10 million from each side-to fund breakthrough military solutions.
This joint grant program will unite Ukrainian and French companies to co-develop cutting-edge technologies that directly address our most critical frontline challenges. With individual grants reaching up to €1 million, the first call for projects will launch this September. The primary focus will be placed on advanced missile technologies, unmanned systems, and next-generation aerial countermeasures. [...]

⚡️Ukraine’s Defense Forces carried out a unique operation known as “Auchan,” during which approximately 1,000 UAVs reportedly destroyed nearly 800 Russian armored vehicles over the course of three days, according to Mykhailo Fedorov.
According to Fedorov, the operation deprived Russian forces of the ability to conduct large-scale armored assaults for the following six months.
He also said that a second phase of the operation was recently conducted. During it, Ukrainian specialists developed a special munition designed to detonate inside an artillery barrel. Fedorov stated that approximately 250 Russian artillery pieces were destroyed in just two nights using this method.
According to him, video evidence exists documenting the results of both phases of the operation.

Bulgaria has objected to parts of the European Union’s proposed 21st sanctions package against Russia, according to Politico, citing two diplomats familiar with the discussions.
According to reports, Sofia's concerns relate to several elements of the package rather than opposition to sanctions as a whole.
Meanwhile, European Pravda, citing EU diplomatic sources, reports that Bulgaria opposes proposed sanctions against Patriarch Kirill, arguing that such measures could be viewed as interference in religious affairs.
The sanctions package remains under negotiation, and unanimous approval by all EU member states is required before it can be adopted.

🇺🇦 NATO estimates that Russia has lost more than 1.4 million soldiers since the start of the war against Ukraine.
[...]Russian troops continue high-intensity operations along the entire front line, particularly in the Pokrovsk direction, where they are attempting to consolidate positions and advance toward Dobropillia, according to the statement.

A man has died as a result of a Russian strike in Dnipro, according to the Regional Military Administration.
In addition, the number of injured has increased to nine. Eight of them have been hospitalized.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 12:17

Going to repeat this, because it looks really interesting in its implications:

⚡️Ukraine’s Defense Forces carried out a unique operation known as “Auchan,” during which approximately 1,000 UAVs reportedly destroyed nearly 800 Russian armored vehicles over the course of three days, according to Mykhailo Fedorov.
According to Fedorov, the operation deprived Russian forces of the ability to conduct large-scale armored assaults for the following six months.
He also said that a second phase of the operation was recently conducted. During it, Ukrainian specialists developed a special munition designed to detonate inside an artillery barrel. Fedorov stated that approximately 250 Russian artillery pieces were destroyed in just two nights using this method.
According to him, video evidence exists documenting the results of both phases of the operation.

PerkingFaintly · 18/06/2026 12:23

Woah!

Thank you so much for highlighting that, @ReleaseTheDucksOfWar , I'd missed it as I skimmed.

Drones delivering munitions right into artillery barrels sounds like... a new era in warfare.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 12:26

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Russia’s flagship Oreshnik missile may be suffering from major technical problems.
A new investigation by Ukrainian firm Dallas Analytics claims guidance system failures are causing some missiles to miss their targets by tens of kilometers, raising questions about one of the Kremlin’s most heavily promoted weapons programs.

US President Trump said Washington will consider supplying American missiles to Ukraine, adding that Kyiv still needs military assistance.
Trump also said his recent conversations with both Putin and Zelensky went “very well,” but stressed that support for Ukraine remains necessary.

Zelensky said he had spoken with Trump and Macron in an important coordination call that could lead to major developments.
The leaders discussed support for Ukraine, strengthening cooperation, and diplomatic efforts to advance peace. Zelensky thanked Trump for his attention to Ukraine and Macron for organizing the summit.

Four Moscow airports — Vnukovo, Domodedovo, Zhukovsky and Sheremetyevo — temporarily suspended operations, according to Russian media.

A total of 527 flights have been delayed or cancelled across all Moscow airports amid a massive drone attack on the Russian capital and surrounding region.

If Ukraine burns, Moscow will burn’: Zelensky said Kyiv’s latest long-range strike on Moscow was a direct response to Russia’s attack on Kyiv and warned that Russians would increasingly feel the consequences of the war if the Kremlin refuses to end it.

Moscow’s biggest oil refinery has been hit for the second time in a week.
Ukrainian drones sparked fires at the facility, which supplies up to 40% of the capital’s fuel, while also triggering disruptions across Moscow and strikes on energy infrastructure in Russia’s Rostov region.

Kremlin spokesman Peskov said Putin had NOT been informed about the drone attack on Moscow.
The statement came as Russian authorities dealt with what Moscow Mayor Sobyanin described as the largest drone assault on the capital in more than two years.
Meanwhile, Putin was seen attending events in Kazan.

Russian channels are sharing footage showing the roof of an oil storage tank blown skyward during the strike on Moscow’s oil refinery.

Russia struck a Nova Poshta sorting hub in Sumy with two drones on Tuesday morning, damaging more than 13,000 parcels valued at over UAH 42 million (more than $1 million).

US-based AI company Enabled Intelligence has launched a new dataset containing more than half a million hours of drone footage recorded during Russia’s war against Ukraine.
On Tuesday, the company said the collection can help train artificial intelligence systems for military drones, intelligence gathering, target recognition, and other defense applications.

Former US Ambassador to Ukraine Steven Pifer said Zelensky should not agree to a Putin meeting in Moscow, calling it a “fatal mistake.”

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 12:32

Yeah, as if Zelenskyy would go to Russia. Im sure he hasn't forgotten Prigozhin ... !

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 12:38

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

❗️In the Dnipropetrovsk region, mandatory evacuation of families with children has been announced from 23 more settlements, the regional military administration reported.
Due to the deteriorating security situation, people are being evacuated from the Shakhtarska, Dubovykska, and Bohynivska communities in the Synelnykove district.
Nearly 3,800 children must be evacuated within a month. At the same time, the evacuation of adults is ongoing from seven other communities in the district.

More than 200,000 Ukrainian military personnel are currently AWOL (Absent Without Leave) — the Ministry of Defense is preparing a bill to strengthen control.
This was stated by Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov in an interview with TSN. According to him, the current legislation is practically ineffective, and there are almost no court sentences for deserters.
The new law is intended to fix this — but it will only affect those who went AWOL after June 12, 2026. Its details have not yet been disclosed.
For those who went AWOL before that date, a scheme for returning without punishment has already come into effect — and it will remain in place until September 20. Under this program, the first 200 soldiers have already submitted reports, and 51 reports have been approved.

🇺🇦🇪🇺Ukraine, together with European missile manufacturer MBDA, is developing a long-range missile "Neptune-2."
The Ukrainian design bureau "Luch" has signed a memorandum of cooperation with the European giant, which produces Storm Shadow/SCALP, Exocet anti-ship missiles, as well as Aster and Mistral air defense systems.
The "Luch" design bureau already mass-produces the "Neptune." Modern modifications of the missile have a range of up to 1,000 km and a warhead of 260 kg. In just the past few months, Neptune missiles have destroyed ammunition depots in Sevastopol, struck the "Atlant Aero" plant in Taganrog, and eliminated two units at the Novoshakhtinsk refinery in the Rostov region.
▪️At the beginning of June, MBDA also signed a memorandum of strategic partnership with "Ukrainian Armor" — for the production of UAVs and other weapons

Vladimir Putin, against the backdrop of news about his declining approval rating, personally spoke with citizens on the street for the first time since the summer of 2025.
He approached people at the Kazan Kremlin, where the Russia-ASEAN summit began today.
The media outlet "Agency" noted that he was guarded not only by regular bodyguards but also by special forces soldiers in camouflage with specialized equipment.
The trip to Kazan was Putin's first visit to a Russian region since November of last year. Such long breaks did not occur even during the pandemic.
From January through May inclusive, he officially left Moscow only twice — both times to St. Petersburg. In 2025, over the same period, he made eight regional trips; in 2024 — 14; in 2019 — 17.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni will put forward a candidate to serve as a mediator in Ukrainian-Russian negotiations.
According to her, she will announce the candidate at the upcoming EU summit, but she believes it should be a representative of a "medium-sized country" rather than one of the largest EU states.

🇨🇭Switzerland has expanded sanctions against Russia — the restrictions now target those who abduct Ukrainian children.
The sanctions lists include 16 individuals and 7 organizations involved in the forced deportation of children and attempts to erase their national identity.
These include so-called "heads of youth departments" in temporarily occupied Sevastopol and other regions, as well as Russian "teachers and directors of children's organizations." All of them were engaged in the Russification of deported children.

The Defense Forces struck the tanker Fina A of Russia's shadow fleet in the Black Sea, the General Staff reported.
This oil tanker is subject to sanctions imposed by the EU, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Ukraine. The vessel is 244.6 meters long and has a deadweight of 62,002 tons.
Ukrainian forces also hit a road bridge over the North Crimean Canal near the settlement of Stavky, as well as a road bridge near Voinka in the Kherson region.

Overnight, the Russians launched 7 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 239 strike drones at Ukraine.
Air defense neutralized 4 missiles and 212 drones, while another 2 Iskanders and 26 UAVs hit 9 locations. In Sumy, the Russians struck an apartment building and private houses — one woman was killed.

The adopted great-grandson of Leonid Brezhnev has been captured in Ukraine, writes the pro-Kremlin outlet Baza, citing his mother Irina Kuznetsova.
The report concerns 45-year-old Anton Milayev. According to Russian media, in the fall of 2025, he signed a contract and went to war as a sapper. In November, he stopped making contact.
Later, the family received information that the man was in captivity in the Kherson region, on territory controlled by Ukraine.
There has been no official confirmation of this information from the Ukrainian side at this time.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
blueshoes · 18/06/2026 14:13

PerkingFaintly · 18/06/2026 12:23

Woah!

Thank you so much for highlighting that, @ReleaseTheDucksOfWar , I'd missed it as I skimmed.

Drones delivering munitions right into artillery barrels sounds like... a new era in warfare.

Edited

Had to google artillery barrel ... wow, deliver it into the tube itself? Amazing. Manufacturers now need to put caps on those tubes.

blueshoes · 18/06/2026 14:38

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 18/06/2026 10:45

mobilization ... :/ D'you know if Paul Warburg is the only one thinking that this is coming, or if other commentators believe it's a matter of time too?

I think Putin might be planning something really bad for the Russian people. It is disturbing he would turn off the internet and throw the country back into the stone age and put the military at risk.

It must be to save his own skin.

PS the Russian central bank said that Ms Nabiullina would appear at a press conference on June 19 on interest rates. So let's wait for her re-appearance. She could just be ill.

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