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Ukraine Invasion: Part 61

1000 replies

MagicFox · 28/04/2026 15:57

Welcome to thread 61 with many thanks to all So many thanks to all contributors and a special salute to those providing daily updates. For the 61st time, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

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ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 12/06/2026 10:50

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇷🇸The President of Serbia has stated that he plans to resign and did not rule out early elections.
In an broadcast on Radio Belgrade, Aleksandar Vučić said he is already moving books out of the presidential palace — and is warning about this in advance so as not to catch society off guard.
Vučić stated that elections could take place in as soon as 3–4 months, but not in the summer — not during vacation season. At the same time, he does not rule out stepping down earlier.
According to Vučić, he is considering putting forward his candidacy for the position of Prime Minister.

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian convoy of about 50 trucks near Armyansk in the north of temporarily occupied Crimea, which was transporting fuel and ammunition, reported Dmytro "Perun" Filatov, commander of the 1st Separate Assault Regiment named after Dmytro Kotsiubailo.

A Ukrainian Neptune missile struck a military facility in Sevastopol Bay, the Ukrainian Navy reported.
The strike destroyed a location where the Russians were storing weapons and military equipment.

Ukrainian drones struck the Afipsky oil refinery in the Krasnodar region, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed.
The refinery is one of the largest oil processing facilities in southern Russia, processing 6.25 million tons of oil per year. The facility produces diesel fuel, gasoline, fuel oil, and other petroleum products. A fire broke out at the refinery following the strike.
In Crimea, a boat manufacturing site and a UAV storage facility were also hit. Other Russian targets, including equipment, weapons, and personnel on occupied territories and within Russia, also came under fire.

For the first time since Soviet times, Russia is building a new military base near the border with Finland — in the village of Novaya Vilga outside Petrozavodsk.
This was reported by Finnish media Yle, citing satellite images and a Finnish intelligence expert. Russia has confirmed the construction — the site was inspected by Deputy Defense Minister Pavel Fradkov.
Work began in the spring of 2026, with preparations observed as early as the fall of 2025. Around 10 barracks of 3–4 floors, a headquarters, and initial infrastructure facilities are already under construction.
According to expert estimates, the base could house 4,000 to 6,000 military personnel from the motorized infantry units that Russia deploys in Karelia.
In total, the plans include over 50 facilities, including housing for military families.

The Russians struck the Dnipropetrovsk region — 12 people were injured, the regional military administration reported.
Among the injured is a 15-year-old girl. One woman is in serious condition.
Houses, cars, a gas station, a bank, and garages were damaged.

The Russians launched 117 drones at Ukraine overnight. Air defense neutralized 102 of them.
Another 14 strike UAVs hit 7 locations, with debris falling at 8 sites. Among the targets was Mykolaiv — three people were injured there, and their house was damaged.
The Russians also attacked a railway in the Sumy region — a female railway worker was killed while heading to a mobile shelter during the air alert. Another railway worker was wounded.
In the Dnipropetrovsk region, one person was injured in overnight strikes.

Llttledrummergirl · 12/06/2026 14:47

notimagain · 12/06/2026 08:48

Sorry but I honestly don't think it's that clever.

Starmer and some others have demonstrated they have no great love or enthusiasm for HM Forces (though I do wonder if he'd suddenly be all over them if they were needed to quell civil unrest).

You may well be right. Having watched English news channels in France, Germany and Poland while we are there, and having talked to people in the countries about the war, my view is that we as a population are woefully unprepared.

I know because of these roundups than people I talk to here, people who wouldn't remember that a war is happening. Yet Russia is testing European boundaries at every turn.

Th PM and his team will be aware of this and if it's not factored into their planning then I would be incredibly disappointed in them.

blueshoes · 13/06/2026 02:26

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-12-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
  2. Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to posture Russian military strength during Russia’s June 12 Russia Day holiday while also acknowledging some of the battlefield setbacks Russian forces have faced in recent months.
  3. A Russian State Duma Deputy from the Communist Party criticized the Kremlin and the broader Russian war-waging strategy ahead of Russia Day, contradicting the Kremlin’s narrative.
  4. Russian sources released several pieces of footage showing Russian forces operating in Kostyantynivka as part of a deliberate cognitive warfare effort to exaggerate the Russian presence in the city. Russian forces continue to make tactical gains within Kostyantynivka and Ukraine’s ability to defend the southeastern sections of the city is deteriorating, however.
  5. Russian forces continue making tactical gains in Kostyantynivka — Russia’s assessed main effort for the Spring-Summer 2026 offensive — and have likely consolidated some tactical positions within the city beyond infiltration. These gains have taken Russian forces a long time to achieve and have come at a great cost.
  6. Russian forces will likely make tactical gains in Kostyantynivka in Summer 2026 but remain unlikely to achieve a rapid operational breakthrough against the Fortress Belt writ large.
  7. Russia is building at least five long-range drone launch sites in western Russia close to the border with Belarus likely to support drone strikes against Ukraine, possibly by exploiting Belarusian airspace.
  8. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area and in the Oleksandrivka direction.
  9. Ukrainian forces struck Russian oil infrastructure on the night of June 11 and 12. Russian forces launched 117 drones against Ukraine overnight.
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 10:43

Llttledrummergirl · 12/06/2026 14:47

You may well be right. Having watched English news channels in France, Germany and Poland while we are there, and having talked to people in the countries about the war, my view is that we as a population are woefully unprepared.

I know because of these roundups than people I talk to here, people who wouldn't remember that a war is happening. Yet Russia is testing European boundaries at every turn.

Th PM and his team will be aware of this and if it's not factored into their planning then I would be incredibly disappointed in them.

What is absolutely frightening is how insular most people are. No awareness at all beyond their own island.

Part of this is the media though.

notimagain · 13/06/2026 11:44

Part of this is the media though.

It is...

TBF the specialist media and some of the business writers in traditional media have been getting increasingly antsy over the DIP for several months now...the delay was blocking development on several projects, including one with the Japanese who were reportedly becoming very unhappy with HMG/MoD/SoS for Defence, and there was alarm in NATO.....

But the front pages of the MSM knew there was money to be made covering Trump, Musk, Iran, Katie Price, Harry and Meghan...........

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 12:10

I suspect there's an even more sinister shade to it - when you consider the dumbing down from when we were young, I suspect that some of the media owners are deliberately avoiding feeding us info that creates a wider awareness.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 12:19

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️EU confirms launch of formal accession talks with Ukraine, Moldova, on June 15.
"We will open the cluster on fundamentals; the backbone of the accession process," European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on June 12. "It covers the core values and principles on which the EU is built, from the rule of law to strong democratic institutions."

⚡️As member states fight over upcoming EU budget, Ukraine's support package sees a 10% cut.
The latest draft of the European Union's seven-year budget, released on June 11, envisions 89 billion euros of financial support for Ukraine from 2028 to 2034, down from the 100 billion euros ($115 billion) originally proposed by the European Commission.

⚡️Pay raises, fixed terms, and more foreigners: Ukraine announces landmark military service reforms.
According to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine's new monthly rate is the highest salary rate for infantry in the world.

⚡️Ukrainian drone maker Skyfall partners with Airbus on defense innovation.
"Partnering with Airbus, we are developing the next generation of technologies to establish a multi-layered air shield that will bolster the protection of Ukrainian skies and European airspace," Skyfall CEO Mykolaiv Makovieiev said.

⚡️IMF staff reaches agreement with Ukraine on $690 million disbursement under aid program.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Ukraine have reached a staff-level agreement on the first review of Kyiv's four-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, potentially unlocking approximately $690 million in additional funding, the IMF announced on June 12.

⚡️UK sets 2027 deadline for full import ban on Russian diesel and jet fuel.
The U.K. announced on June 12 that imports of diesel and jet fuel produced from Russian crude oil will be fully banned by Jan. 1, 2027, as part of broader efforts to cut off revenue streams funding Moscow's war against Ukraine.

Why Ukraine's financial intelligence chief is facing an anti-corruption probe
Detectives from Ukraine’s anti-corruption bureau searched the country’s State Financial Monitoring Service as part of an investigation into the agency’s head, Filip Pronin, who is a suspect in a multimillion-dollar embezzlement scheme, an official close to the matter confirmed to the Kyiv Independent on condition of anonymity on June 12.

What we know about Starobilsk strike Russia turned into propaganda flashpoint
When a Ukrainian strike hit Russian-occupied Starobilsk on May 22, Moscow seized on the attack almost instantly, with Russian officials claiming that 21 students of a local vocational college were killed and dozens more injured and portraying the strike as a deliberate attack on civilians — which Ukraine denied.
Ukraine rejected Russia's accusations over the Starobilsk strike as disinformation, saying the attack targeted military sites, including one of the headquarters of Russia's elite Rubikon drone unit in the Starobilsk area in Luhansk Oblast.
With independent access to the occupied town in Luhansk Oblast impossible, many details remain difficult to verify. The Kyiv Independent reviewed open-source evidence, official statements, and reporting from both sides to establish what is known about the strike, who the victims were, and which questions remain unanswered.

⚡️Marine terminal in Russia's Krasnodar Krai ablaze after Ukrainian strike, governor says.
Regional Governor Veniamin Kondratyev said drones targeted the Temryuk district, where a fire broke out at the facility.

When Ukraine takes key step toward Europe, Russian star will be performing next door
As Ukraine and Moldova move closer to the European Union on June 15, Russian opera star Anna Netrebko will take the stage at the Philharmonie Luxembourg next door.

⚡️Ukrainian boxing champion Usyk visits White House, meets with Trump.
Ukrainian heavyweight boxing champion Oleksandr Usyk met with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on June 12, according to a post shared by presidential communications adviser Margo Martin on X.

⚡️Over 225,000 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine identified by media investigation.
Russian independent media outlet Mediazona, in collaboration with the BBC Russian service, has confirmed the identities of 225,019 Russian military personnel killed in Ukraine.

[from 11-12 June 2026] ⚡️ Sumy hit by morning artillery bombardment as Russian strikes across Ukraine kill at least 6, injure 52 over past day.
Eight locations were struck in broad daylight in the regional capital, injuring six residents, regional governor Oleh Hryhorov said.

⚡️Local market hit in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast as Russian attacks kill 8, injure 62 across Ukraine.
In a morning attack on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Russian forces struck several communities in Synelnykove district with drones and guided aerial bombs, damaging residential buildings, vehicles, and a local market.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 13, 2026
) ■ Engagements and casualties close to the 7-day average; recent 🇷🇺 gains of 128 km² confirmed
■ Record 7-day equipment losses (82% drones); double-digit daily APV losses
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: all drones; excellent interception rate
■ 🇷🇺 MLRS strikes and drone launches above average; 13 🇺🇦 strikes reported and 280 drones launched at 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 12:36

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

🇺🇸🇪🇺 The United States plans to significantly reduce the number of aircraft and warships assigned to NATO operations in Europe, The New York Times reports.
The proposed reductions include:
▫️ Cutting the number of F-16 and F-15E fighter jets stationed for NATO missions from about 150 to 100.
▫️ Reducing the number of maritime patrol and reconnaissance aircraft from 26 to 15, while withdrawing all eight aerial refueling tankers previously allocated to Europe.
▫️ Redeploying a missile submarine, an aircraft carrier, several warships, and dozens of aircraft currently assigned to carrier strike group operations.
▫️ Redeploying one of the two bomber task forces previously dedicated to the defense of Europe.

Russian oil refining has fallen to its lowest level in two decades, Bloomberg reports.
The decline comes amid an unprecedented wave of Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s oil infrastructure. According to Bloomberg, Russian oil processing volumes have been decreasing since the end of last year. While the pace of the decline has slowed in recent months, the trend is expected to increase pressure on global oil markets, where prices remain elevated due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
The publication notes that Russia remains one of the world’s three largest oil producers, and its exports are not dependent on the Strait of Hormuz, which has effectively been closed since the outbreak of hostilities involving Iran.
However, Bloomberg points to Ukrainian strikes as the main factor affecting Russian refining capacity.

❗️Russia already has air and naval forces, as well as long-range strike capabilities, that could be used against Europe in the near future, Bloomberg reports, citing Swedish intelligence.
According to the assessment, key elements of the Russian military have been affected relatively little by the war against Ukraine.
The report notes that Russia is currently forming new military units, particularly in the Leningrad Military District, while continuing to strengthen its military presence on the Kola Peninsula and across the Arctic region.
Swedish intelligence also warns that the threat posed by Russia is likely to persist for a long time, including beyond Vladimir Putin’s rule.

🇮🇳 India began purchasing Russian oil in 2022 because it was cheap and readily available, and did so at the request of the United States to help stabilize global oil prices, Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said.
“At that time, the United States specifically asked India to buy Russian oil to stabilize the oil market. I buy oil based on cost and availability,” Jaishankar said during an event in Kultaranta, Finland.
India became one of the largest buyers of Russian energy after Western sanctions were imposed on Russia following its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

🇺🇦 The Ministry of Defense has disclosed details of a new military pay system as part of an ongoing reform of the Defense Forces.
Under the model previously outlined by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the average monthly income of an infantry soldier serving on the front line is expected to reach about 300,000 hryvnias (approximately $7,200), while the maximum monthly pay could be as high as 460,000 hryvnias (approximately $11,000).
The proposed payment structure includes:
▪️ 20,000 hryvnias (about $480) — base salary;
▪️ 10,000 hryvnias (about $240) — for each day spent in a combat position;
▪️ 20,000 hryvnias (about $480) — for each day of strike or reconnaissance-and-search operations;
▪️ 40,000 hryvnias (about $960) — for each day of assault operations.
The Ministry of Defense also said it expects to attract more foreign volunteers. According to the ministry’s plans, foreign personnel could eventually make up more than half of assault troops and infantry units.

🇺🇦 The Ministry of Defense has unveiled details of new military service contracts.
According to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, each contract includes a guaranteed six-month deferment period, calculated based on a servicemember’s length of service and time spent in combat positions.
The new contracts will be available to both active military personnel and civilians. Servicemembers already serving under contract will also be able to transition to the new terms.

🇺🇦🇱🇻 Ukraine and Latvia have agreed on new areas of cooperation, including drones, ground robotic systems, and naval drones, Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said following a meeting with Latvian Defense Minister Raivis Melnis.

💰 Putin’s war is costing Russia an estimated 65 billion rubles per day.
According to Janis Kluge, a researcher at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), Russian military spending reached a record 5.9 trillion rubles in the first quarter of 2026, citing data from Russia’s Finance Ministry.
That amount accounts for 46% of total federal budget expenditures. In other words, nearly every second ruble spent by the Russian state is now directed toward military needs and weapons production.
On average, Russia is spending about 2.7 billion rubles per hour, or roughly 65 billion rubles per day, on the war.
According to Kluge’s calculations, the war has cost Russian taxpayers more than 53 trillion rubles since the start of the full-scale invasion in 2022.

❗️The Russian language is no longer covered by the provisions of the European Charter for Regional or Minority Languages in Ukraine after President Volodymyr Zelenskyy signed the relevant law.
At the same time, the Charter’s protections remain in place for all other languages previously covered by the legislation and are extended to include Urum, Rumei, Romani, Czech, Krymchak, Karaim, and Yiddish.

🇺🇦🇫🇷 French carpenters who helped restore Notre-Dame Cathedral after the 2019 fire are now assisting in the preservation of Lviv’s architectural heritage.
Craftsmen from the international association Carpenters Without Borders, who worked on rebuilding the cathedral’s wooden structures, have arrived in Lviv to help restore the roof of the historic building at 3 Soborna Square, which was damaged in a Russian strike on March 24.

🤬 The Kremlin is looking for new ways to pressure the West as the war has reached a deadlock for Russia, Foreign Policy reports.
According to Western experts interviewed by the magazine, Russia’s lack of significant battlefield gains could push Moscow to seek ways of regaining the initiative through escalation beyond Ukraine.
Potential scenarios include acts of sabotage in Europe, drone incursions into NATO territory, and efforts to expand political influence through sympathetic bloggers, activists, and public figures.
As examples, Foreign Policy points to the recent visit to Russia by British far-right activist Tommy Robinson, as well as trips by Candace Owens and the Tate brothers. Analysts say Moscow continues to look for opportunities to deepen internal divisions in Western societies and promote narratives favorable to the Kremlin.
At the same time, experts note that Russia’s influence is not what it once was. Europe is increasing support for Ukraine, and pro-Russian candidates have repeatedly failed to win elections in several countries in recent years.

🇺🇦🚜 Russian forces attacked a farm in Sumy district, injuring five workers.
The strike also killed some livestock and injured others. Damage to the farm and its facilities was reported. [because nothing says GLORY! like killing cows]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 12:52

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Ukraine is set to seek an additional $20 billion in military aid at next week’s Ramstein meeting, according to Politico.
Kyiv says the funding would help expand long-range strike capabilities, sustain pressure on Russia, and prevent Moscow from regaining the initiative on the battlefield.

May was the deadliest month for Ukrainian civilians since April 2022, according to the UN.
At least 274 people were killed and 1,763 injured, with civilian casualties rising 93% year-on-year.
The UN said Russian missiles, drones, and glide bombs targeting urban areas were the main driver of the increase, while short-range drone attacks near the frontline reached their highest monthly toll of the war.

The EU has agreed to open the first accession negotiations cluster with Ukraine and Moldova – Cluster 1 – Fundamentals, calling the move a historic step and a reward for the two countries’ resilience and reforms amid Russia’s war.

Zelensky has urged Ukrainians to pay close attention to air raid alerts in the coming days.
The president warned of a heightened threat and called on citizens not to ignore air raid sirens. He did not provide further details about the reason for the warning.

Latvian Defense Minister Melnis arrived in Kyiv for his first official foreign visit to hold high-level meetings with Ukrainian officials.

Russia is on the brink of a “social explosion,” a Russian lawmaker has warned, citing mounting war losses, corruption and growing economic hardship.
Communist Party MP Markhaev blasted soaring utility bills, deepening inequality and the Kremlin’s failure to present a clear plan for ending the war in Ukraine, warning that public frustration is reaching dangerous levels.

A railway worker was killed and another injured as Russia launched fresh strikes on civilian infrastructure across Ukraine.
The attacks hit the Sumy region, while separate strikes damaged a Nova Poshta logistics terminal in Zaporizhzhia and a solar power facility in the Odesa region, highlighting Moscow’s continued attacks on non-military targets.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio congratulated Russians on Russia Day and said he hopes peace in Ukraine will help open the door to improved US-Russia relations.
The statement was published on the US State Department’s website.

Ukraine Seeks Additional $20 Billion in Military Aid to Make Russia ‘Burn’

Kyiv plans to ask allies for additional funding for air defenses, drones, electronic warfare systems and long-range strike capabilities.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/78042

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 13:01

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

The Russian Service of the BBC and Mediazona calculated that the highest losses are among residents of Bashkortostan (over 10,000) and Tatarstan (8,759).
Residents of Tuva, Buryatia, and the Altai Republic die 20 to 30 times more often than Muscovites.
The BBC and Mediazona note that the real losses are likely much higher than what can be determined from open sources, as these data cover only 45–65% of the total number of documented deaths.
According to the journalists' estimates, as of mid-June 2026, the actual number of dead ranges from 347,700 to 502,000 — and this does not yet include fighters from the so-called "L/DNR" or mercenaries from North Korea.
The journalists also found that 18-year-old Russians are actively dying at the front — at least 200 such "conscripts-turned-contract soldiers" appear in the list of the dead. The media mention the first identified case: 18-year-old Alisher Svirin (pictured), who was 14 years old at the start of the full-scale war. He had managed to fight for only three months.

Journalist Anastasiia Hlukhovska from Melitopol has been on a hunger strike in Russian captivity, reports RIA Pivden.
The Russians illegally seized her from her own apartment in Melitopol and have been holding Hlukhovska in a pretrial detention center in the city of Kizel, Perm Krai, since 2023.
According to the publication, Anastasiia remains in that detention center to this day. This has also been confirmed by other former prisoners:
"That prison has very strict rules. Prisoners are not allowed to sit or lie down in their cells during the day. So on top of her chronic illness — endometriosis — Anastasiia has developed additional health issues, including swelling in her legs. A prisoner who was recently exchanged said he saw Anastasiia in the yard while she was cleaning the grounds. Men and women are usually held separately there. But that day, everyone was brought out. And he saw Nastia. She is alive, and that's the main thing," said Anastasiia's sister.
▪️Previously, journalist Viktoria Roshchyna, who died in Russian captivity, was also held in this same detention center. The mayor of Dniprorudne, Yevhen Matvieiev, also died there.

An explosion occurred in Moscow at the residence of Andrii Pinchuk, the former so-called "minister of state security" of the occupied part of Donetsk region.
The explosion happened after a courier delivered a parcel to Pinchuk's house. He later reported that he had suffered a minor concussion.
Pinchuk has worked within FSB structures and also participated in the occupation of Crimea. In 2014–2015, he served as "minister of state security" in the occupied territory of Donetsk region.

Russia attacked Ukraine with 118 UAVs — air defense neutralized 110 drones. Here is what is known about the aftermath:
🔴Zaporizhzhia region. A 57-year-old man was killed and another person was injured as a result of shelling on one of the settlements. Homes and other structures were damaged.
🔴Mykolaiv. Three people were injured in a Shahed drone attack — a 44-year-old woman, a 25-year-old man, and a 10-year-old boy. A private house was damaged.

The Russian army dropped 12 guided aerial bombs on Vasylkivka in the Dnipropetrovsk region — 9 people were wounded.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 13/06/2026 13:33

So it seems Biden was asking India to buy oil, to stabilize the world energy situation.

While genuinely supporting Ukraine.

It explains the slowness in bringing oil sanctions in on some countries. Messy.

Then you got Trump and his destabilization anyway ...

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:25

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Trump, Zelensky to join G7 working session in France.
U.S. President Donald Trump will participate in a working session with President Volodymyr Zelensky during the G7 summit in France next week.

⚡️Orban secures new term as Fidesz party leader despite election defeat.
Viktor Orban was re-elected leader of Hungary's Fidesz party on June 13, securing another one-year term despite the party's defeat in April's elections.

⚡️Sweden intercepts Russian fighter jets near its airspace over Baltic Sea.
Sweden scrambled fighter jets to intercept Russian military aircraft operating near its airspace over the Baltic Sea in two separate incidents, authorities said June 13.

⚡️Update: Russian chemical plant, oil depot set ablaze following reported Ukrainian strikes.
Ukraine struck a chemical plant in Russia's Tula Oblast and an oil depot in Yaroslavl Oblast overnight on June 14, social media channels reported.

⚡️Russian attacks kill at least 4, injure 22 across Ukraine over the past day.
Russian attacks across Ukraine killed at least four civilians and injured 22 others over the past day, regional authorities reported on June 14.

‪Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬
‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 14, 2026
■ Fewer engagements, but casualties above the 7-day average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ 7th highest losses of unarmored vehicles; considerable armored losses
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: unusually few drones; excellent interception rate
■ Most 🇷🇺 strikes in over a month; 15 🇺🇦 strikes reported and 300 drones launched at 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:31

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

👀 Lithuania, Poland, and France will hold the Brave Boar 2026 military exercise near the borders of Russia and Belarus, LRT reports.
The drills will take place from June 16 to 26 in the Suwałki Gap, the strategically important corridor on the Polish-Lithuanian border between Belarus and Russia’s Kaliningrad region.
The main goal of the exercise is to improve interoperability and coordination between allied forces and to rehearse joint operations in a key area of NATO’s eastern flank.

❗️Ukraine has never developed biological weapons, the Foreign Ministry said.
The ministry emphasized that cooperation between Ukraine and the United States in the field of biosecurity was focused exclusively on public health, epidemiological monitoring, and laboratory diagnostics.
According to the statement, all laboratories involved in international programs operated in the civilian sector and complied with the provisions of the Biological Weapons Convention.
The Foreign Ministry described claims about alleged “military biolaboratories” in Ukraine as a Russian disinformation narrative that has never been substantiated by international investigations.
The statement came after outgoing U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard published declassified documents related to U.S.-funded biological programs in Ukraine and other countries, claiming that U.S. authorities had concealed the scale of the research.
Gabbard has previously echoed narratives promoted by Russian state media regarding Ukraine

🤬 Over the spring, Russia nearly doubled the number of Shahed drone launch sites near the Belarusian border.
The expansion concerns at least five launch complexes located in Russia’s Bryansk, Oryol, and Smolensk regions, close to the border with Belarus.

🤬 Russia could potentially deploy nuclear weapons in space, according to Major General Michael Traut, head of the Bundeswehr Space Command.
In an interview with Politico, Traut said he does not rule out the possibility that Russia could develop technologies capable of placing a nuclear warhead into orbit. He described such a scenario as one of the most dangerous forms of escalation.
According to Traut, the detonation of a nuclear device in space could disable a large number of satellites in low Earth orbit, affecting communications, navigation, banking systems, transportation, weather forecasting, and military capabilities around the world.
Amid growing concerns, Germany is expanding its own space capabilities. Berlin plans to develop electronic warfare systems, laser-based technologies, inspection satellites, and the SATCOMBw 4 military satellite communications network.
Traut noted that space-related threats are already a reality, pointing to GPS signal jamming in the Baltic region and the risk of attacks on satellite infrastructure.

❗️More civilians were killed and injured in Ukraine in May than in any other month over the past four years, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU).
The mission verified that at least 274 civilians were killed and 1,763 injured as a result of war-related violence during the month.
According to the mission, casualty figures have typically increased during the spring and summer months in previous years. While the same trend is visible in 2026, the scale of civilian harm is significantly higher.
The main reason for the increase was Russia’s use of powerful weapons in urban areas.
“The civilian harm we documented was not limited to communities near the front line. Repeated missile and aerial attacks killed and injured civilians in cities far from active ground combat,” Bell said.
Near the front line, short-range drone attacks were the leading cause of civilian casualties.
In May, such drones killed at least 64 civilians and injured 539 others — the highest monthly figure since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion on February 24, 2022.
In Kherson alone, 14 civilians were killed and 221 injured. Of those, six deaths and 132 injuries were attributed to short-range drone strikes.
The HRMMU also noted that Russian authorities reported 47 civilians killed and 298 injured within Russia during May. However, the UN mission said it is unable to systematically verify casualty figures in Russia due to the limited availability of independent sources.

🇺🇦 President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukrainian intelligence assessments indicate that dissatisfaction with Vladimir Putin among Russians continues to grow steadily.

🥊 Oleksandr Usyk spoke about the influence of Russian propaganda in Ukraine during the event America’s Adversaries: The Russia Reality.
The heavyweight champion said that although he had spoken Russian for most of his life, he now understands the importance of the Ukrainian language as a marker of identity.

❗️Six people, including a nine-year-old boy, were injured in a Russian airstrike on Sloviansk, according to the State Emergency Service.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:39

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), in a joint operation with the Special Operations Forces (SSO) and the Main Directorate of Intelligence (HUR), carried out a drone strike against the “Tamanneftegas” terminal in Krasnodar Krai.
Acting on operational objectives set by Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukrainian long-range drones struck five petroleum storage tanks, two marine loading arms, and adjacent logistics infrastructure.

Ukrainian long-range strike drones executed a multi-regional offensive across Russia overnight Saturday-Sunday.
The strategic operation targeted the “Azot” chemical plant in Novomoskovsk – a facility supplying raw materials for Russian artillery shell explosives – sparking fires verified by NASA satellite tracking.

Joint Special Forces Operation Decimates Vital Russian Hydrocarbon Hub and Air Defenses

A coordinated operation by Ukraine’s top intelligence and special forces branches penetrated Russian air defenses to destroy fuel reservoirs and loading infrastructure at the Tamanneftegas terminal.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/78119

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:41

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Ukraine and Hungary have signed an agreement on the rights of the Hungarian community in Zakarpattia, announced Prime Minister Péter Magyar.
The agreement covers educational, cultural, linguistic, and political rights of the national minority. According to him, Europe will monitor Ukraine's compliance with its obligations, and this will affect its EU accession.

🇬🇧🇷🇺British forces have intercepted a Russian shadow fleet tanker attempting to pass through the English Channel for the first time.
This was announced by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. He stated that the operation was "another blow against Russia" and a signal to those helping to fund Putin's war against Ukraine.
The UK Ministry of Defense specified that the vessel in question is the Smyrtos, which is under sanctions from the EU, Switzerland, the UK, and Canada. The interception operation lasted six hours and involved helicopters, ships, and a Royal Air Force aircraft.
▪️At the end of March, the British Armed Forces were authorized to detain sanctioned vessels transiting through British waters. British forces have previously participated in joint operations with France — most recently on May 31 in the Atlantic Ocean. However, this operation is the first conducted solely by British forces.

Ukrainian forces struck the "Crimean Titan" plant in Armyansk, reported Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces Robert "Madyar" Brovdi.
The plant produces titanium products, rocket fuel, gunpowder, and explosives. It is currently owned by the company "Russian Titan."
Following the strike, a fire broke out at the plant, and production was halted.

Ukrainian drones struck an oil facility in Russia's Yaroslavl region and the Azot plant near Tula, confirmed President Volodymyr Zelensky.
The target near Yaroslavl — over 700 km from the Ukrainian border — is important for Russia's oil reserves. It was hit overnight by SBU drones. Strikes were also carried out against Russian military logistics in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.

Overnight, drones attacked the "Azot" chemical plant in Novomoskovsk, Tula region of Russia — a fire broke out.
"Azot" is Russia's largest producer of ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers, which are used, among other things, in the production of explosives and ammunition.
Also hit overnight, according to preliminary reports, was an oil depot in Rybinsk, Yaroslavl region. Local authorities stated that following the drone attack, the exit from Yaroslavl toward Moscow was again closed.

The Russians launched 98 strike drones at Ukraine overnight. Air defense neutralized 91 of them.
Another 7 drones hit 6 locations. Among the targets was Mykolaiv, where transportation and energy infrastructure were damaged. No casualties were reported.
The Russians also shelled areas in the Dnipropetrovsk region nearly 20 times — homes, an administrative building, a farm, and a postal office were damaged. No people were injured.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:43

Wonder what the story is with the ship that the UK intercepted.

blueshoes · 14/06/2026 15:08

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-13-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian forces are increasing the production rate and modernization of their ballistic missiles and drones. Available information suggests that Russia’s monthly missile production surpasses the US’s monthly PAC-3 Patriot air defense interceptor missile production.
  2. Russia’s increasingly large and diverse strike packages highlight the critical importance of Western assistance in bolstering Ukraine’s air defense capabilities.
  3. Russia is reportedly increasing its military spending even as Russian revenues decrease.
  4. Unknown actors attempted to assassinate a former Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) official with an improvised explosive device (IED) on June 12.
  5. Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces advanced on June 13.
  6. Russian forces launched 118 drones against Ukraine overnight. Ukrainian forces struck energy and military infrastructure in Russia overnight.
Llttledrummergirl · 14/06/2026 20:59

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 14/06/2026 11:43

Wonder what the story is with the ship that the UK intercepted.

It will be very interesting to hear more about this.

notimagain · 14/06/2026 21:05

On aspect to the story seems to be it was the first tanker subject to sanctions through waters adjacent to UK that hasn't been Russian flagged and also not accompanied by Russian warships....

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/06/2026 09:03

Kyiv Independent:

⚡️Black Sea Fleet command plans relocation from Crimea to Russia’s Novorossiysk, pro-Ukrainian partisans claim.
The pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group links the relocation to the increasing strikes on Crimea by Ukraine.

⚡️Leaked Kremlin reports predict rising dissatisfaction with Putin, Zelensky claims.

Published on June 14, the documents contain forecasts of approval ratings for Putin and his ruling party, United Russia, over the next four months ahead of Russia's parliamentary elections scheduled for September, according to Zelensky.

⚡️BREAKING: Zelensky holds phone call with Trump.

The call lasted about 30 minutes, during which Zelensky congratulated Trump on his birthday, according to the President's Office.

⚡️Russia fired nearly 2,000 drones at Ukraine in one week, Zelensky says.

Overall, Russia fired 1,920 combat drones, 1,790 guided aerial bombs, and 17 missiles of various types over the past week, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

⚡️Update: Trump holds phone calls with Zelensky, Putin ahead of G7 summit.

Zelensky called his talk with Trump "wonderful" and said they discussed "good ideas" to "bring peace closer." They plan to continue the discussion at the upcoming G7 summit in France, Zelensky said.

According to the Kremlin, Trump told Putin he was ready to "exert influence" on Europe and Ukraine at the G7 in order to reach a ceasefire.

⚡️Kharkiv Art Museum in flames after 'cynical' Russian drone attack.

The strike caused a major fire at a critical Ukrainian cultural site and injured five people, including a 1-month-old infant, authorities said. The baby has been hospitalized and emergency crews are at work to evacuate exhibits from the museum.

⚡️Armenia releases final election results as pro-Russian opposition demands new vote.

Armenia's Central Electoral Commission announced the final results of the recent parliamentary elections during an extraordinary session on June 14, amid protests from opposition forces.

⚡️Breaking: US, Iran agree to peace deal, Trump says.

The United States and Iran have reached a peace agreement to end ongoing hostilities, U.S. President Donald Trump announced on June 14.

⚡️Breaking: Residential buildings struck in Kyiv amid large-scale Russian missile, drone attack.

Russia launched yet another round of large-scale strikes on Kyiv overnight on June 15, Ukrainian officials reported, targeting the capital with ballistic missiles and drones.

Several multi-story residential buildings were struck in the capital, officials said.

⚡️Update: Kyiv’s historic Pechersk Lavra struck in large-scale Russian attack.

Local officials reported "significant" damage at the historic Dormition Cathedral within the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra amid a large-scale Russian overnight attack.

A fire was seen on the roof of the cathedral, widely recognized as one of Ukraine’s most significant religious sites.

⚡️Update: Kyiv's historic Pechersk Lavra burns as large-scale Russian strikes kill 4, injure 23 in capital.

At least four people have been killed and 23 others injured in Kyiv amid the large-scale Russian missile and drone attack on the capital, officials said.

⚡️ These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of June 15, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/06/2026 09:15

United 24 Media:

🇬🇧 British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that the UK had seized the Russian shadow fleet tanker Smyrtos in the English Channel.

The operation took place on June 14 and lasted about six hours. It involved the Royal Marines, specially trained officers from the National Crime Agency, and the Royal Air Force.

According to the UK Ministry of Defence, the tanker will remain detained and under surveillance off the southern coast of England while the investigation continues.

❗️Russia struck the Lozova railway station in Kharkiv region, according to Ukraine’s Ministry for Communities and Territories Development.

The attack damaged locomotives and injured a train driver and his assistant. Emergency services are working at the scene, and the extent of the damage is being assessed.

❗️Fewer and fewer Russians are willing to go to war despite record financial incentives, CNN reports.

To attract new contract soldiers, Russian authorities are offering signing bonuses of up to $80,000, debt relief, and other benefits. Recruitment campaigns are being promoted through television, social media, and billboards across the country.

However, according to CNN, contract recruitment fell by about 20% in the first quarter of 2026 compared with the same period last year.

At the same time, Russian military losses remain high. Western intelligence estimates that Russia is losing tens of thousands of troops each month on the battlefield.

To compensate for personnel shortages, Moscow has recruited prisoners, enlisted North Korean troops, and intensified efforts to attract migrants into military service.

CNN also notes growing economic pressures inside Russia. Businesses are reporting labor shortages, while wage growth continues to lag behind inflation and rising living costs.

📞 President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed that he spoke by phone with U.S. President Donald Trump and that the two will meet on the sidelines of the G7 summit.

“We discussed what can help bring peace closer now, and I informed the President about the latest developments on the battlefield and how our position has strengthened.

We agreed to discuss these issues in more detail during our meeting at the G7 summit. We have some good ideas that can help bring peace closer and save lives. Thank you!” Zelenskyy wrote on Telegram.

👀 Putin’s special envoy Kirill Dmitriev claimed that the detention of a Russian tanker by the UK was an attempt to divert public attention from Britain’s migration problems.

In a post on X, Dmitriev commented on British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s announcement regarding the interception of a vessel linked to Russia’s shadow fleet, arguing that London was allegedly trying to distract the public by escalating tensions instead of addressing domestic issues.

Earlier, on June 10, Dmitriev drew attention after publicly calling on “aliens” to use their supposed omnipotence to persuade Starmer to step down from office voluntarily.

❗️A one-month-old child and four other people were injured in a Russian UAV strike on Kharkiv’s Kyivskyi district on Sunday evening.

The attack also damaged the Kharkiv Art Museum, along with other civilian infrastructure in the area. Emergency services are working at the scene.

🔹 Russian forces are disguising military fuel tankers as civilian vehicles in an attempt to protect logistics routes from Ukrainian strikes, according to Ukrainian Navy spokesperson Dmytro Pletenchuk.

“They are already building additional structures over fuel tankers, disguising them as civilian trucks. There is also information that vehicles intended for transporting food products, including milk tankers, are being used for this purpose,” Pletenchuk said.

He noted that the occupiers’ main logistical artery remains the railway connection running through Dzhankoy in temporarily occupied Crimea toward Russia’s Rostov region, as it is capable of handling large volumes of cargo and military supplies.

🔸 Ukrainian marines have pushed Russian forces out of part of the island zone between Kherson and temporarily occupied Oleshky, Commander of the 34th Separate Marine Brigade Dmytro Pulinets told Krym.Realii.

According to him, the operation concerns the islands of Oleksiivska, Kruhlyk, Korabeliv, and Potemkinskyi.

Pulinets said Russian forces are making significant efforts to regain control of the islands.

“Their logistics were disrupted, and the kill zone expanded. They had a strong position at the Konkivskyi road bridge, where they constantly concentrated personnel and equipment, but then things started to go wrong for them,” he said.

The commander added that Ukrainian troops continue to hold positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River to prevent Russian forces from crossing the river.

Supplies and ammunition are delivered to marine positions exclusively by air. According to Pulinets, rotations to and from the left bank are conducted as complex special operations. Marines wait for rain, snow, or fog, and all available means are used to cover their movement in and out of positions.

🚀 During the overnight attack, Russia launched more than 25 ballistic missiles and approximately seven Zircon hypersonic missiles at Kyiv, as well as about one ballistic missile each at Dnipro and Kharkiv.

In total, the attack involved approximately 480 strike drones and around 28 Kh-101 cruise missiles.

The strike was one of the largest combined missile and drone attacks carried out against Ukraine in recent months.

📸 The aftermath of the overnight Russian attack on Kyiv.

Damage from the massive Russian attack has been recorded in nearly every district of Kyiv. Emergency crews are working at almost 50 locations across the city, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said.

At least four people were killed and 23 injured, including a child.

▪️In Obolonskyi district, residential buildings and warehouses were damaged. Fires broke out at debris impact sites, and about 30 vehicles caught fire.

▪️In Podilskyi district, falling debris caused fires in a private house and a three-story building.

▪️In Solomianskyi district, residential buildings were damaged, and a fire broke out on the grounds of an educational institution.

▪️In Pecherskyi district, residential and non-residential buildings were damaged. A dormitory caught fire. Another blaze occurred at the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra, where the roof of the Stefanivskyi Chapel of the Assumption Cathedral was set ablaze.

▪️In Dniprovskyi district, debris damaged residential buildings.

▪️In Desnianskyi district, a fire broke out on the grounds of a kindergarten.

▪️In Holosiivskyi district, warehouses were burning. A residential building and an infrastructure facility were damaged.

▪️In Darnytskyi district, debris fell in open areas.

▪️In Shevchenkivskyi district, residential buildings, infrastructure facilities, and businesses sustained damage.

▪️A power line was damaged in northern Kyiv, leaving around 140,000 subscribers without electricity.

▪️The costume workshop of the Dovzhenko Film Studio was also hit. The studio reported that Ukraine’s largest costume collection was destroyed, while other buildings on the site were damaged as well.

❗️Russia’s overnight attack on Ukraine: rescuers killed in Kharkiv, injured in Dnipro, Kyiv region, and Sumy.

▪️ Kharkiv — Five State Emergency Service rescuers were killed and at least five others injured while extinguishing a fire after a second Russian strike hit the site. Condolences to the families and loved ones of the victims.

▪️ Dnipro — One person was injured. A business was damaged, causing a fire. One college building was destroyed, while the blast wave shattered windows at a school and the House of Organ and Chamber Music.

▪️ Kyiv region — Three people were injured, including an 11-year-old boy. The consequences of the attack were recorded in five districts. A multi-story residential building, private homes, vehicles, and warehouses were damaged.

▪️ Sumy — Two drones struck civilian infrastructure. One hit a residential apartment building, injuring three people, including a child. Another struck the city center, damaging a non-residential building.

🎼 The House of Organ and Chamber Music in Dnipro was also damaged during Russia’s overnight attack.

The blast wave shattered windows and damaged the historic building, adding to the destruction inflicted on civilian and cultural sites.

Russia continues to target not only Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, but also the country’s cultural heritage.

🙏 Ancient icons and other sacred relics at the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra were saved following the Russian attack.

This was reported by Bishop Avraamii, abbot of the Holy Dormition Kyiv Pechersk Lavra of the Orthodox Church of Ukraine.

“In the first hours after the emergency, all my attention, as well as that of the brethren, clergy, staff, and relevant services, was focused on urgent measures to protect the sacred relics and ensure their safety,” Avraamii said.

According to him, an emergency evacuation of the most valuable religious artifacts was organized to prevent their loss or damage.

🕯 Five people were killed and 24 others injured, including two children, as a result of Russian shelling in Kharkiv region, according to the regional military administration.

In Kharkiv, four State Emergency Service rescuers were killed while extinguishing a fire after a repeated Russian strike hit the area. Six more rescuers were injured.

A 39-year-old man was also killed in the city. Among the wounded were nine women, three men, and a one-month-old girl.

In Lozova, a 56-year-old man, a 42-year-old man, a 62-year-old woman, and a four-year-old boy were injured.

In the village of Osynove, part of the Kupiansk community, a 71-year-old woman was injured.

🤬 Russia’s Ministry of Defense claimed that today’s strikes targeted “defense-industrial complex facilities.”

However, among the sites damaged were the Dormition Cathedral complex of the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra, the Dovzhenko Film Studio, a hospital, a Nova Poshta terminal, and the House of Organ and Chamber Music in Dnipro.

According to Russia’s official narrative, such civilian and cultural sites are being presented as “missile production facilities” or “ammunition storage sites,” despite the publicly reported damage to religious, medical, cultural, and civilian infrastructure.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/06/2026 09:19

Live:Ukraine

⚡️ Indicators of Russian dissatisfaction with Putin will grow toward the September elections. This is evidenced by documents from the Kremlin obtained by Ukrainian intelligence and shown by President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The documents presented to Putin show how the level of public support for the authorities is declining ahead of the September parliamentary elections. According to Zelensky, Putin has "begun to be conditioned" to the idea that this indicator will "not reach a plateau" by autumn.

The documents also indicate that protest sentiment is growing in Russian regions and support for the ruling party is falling, which will require even larger-scale falsifications.

Zelensky emphasized that pressure on Russia for starting the war will only increase, so by September, Putin may face even worse indicators.

"Over time, this could mean that a deal may have to be made with someone else in Russia — with someone who will not hide from reality," Zelensky added.

⚡️ Zelensky reports that Russian forces launched nearly 2,000 strike drones at Ukraine over the past seven days.

In addition to 1,920 strike drones, Russia also launched 1,790 guided aerial bombs and 17 missiles.

⚡️ A fire broke out on the territory of the Kyivan Pechersk Lavra, covering an area of 800 m², following a drone strike on the roof of the Dormition Cathedral, the State Emergency Service reported.

A fire also broke out on the roof of the National Cultural, Artistic and Museum Complex "Mystetskyi Arsenal," covering an area of 1,000 m².

Additionally, the Russians attacked one of Ukraine's oldest film studios, the Oleksandr Dovzhenko Film Studio. The strike destroyed the largest and oldest costume collection: approximately 100,000 costumes and 3 million items of various clothing.

⚡️ The Russians attacked Ukraine with 70 missiles and 611 drones. Air defense neutralized 50 missiles and 582 drones.

The Russian army used Tsirkon anti-ship missiles, Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, as well as Kh-101/Iskander-K cruise missiles.

Russia also attacked Ukraine with Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas drones, a hybrid missile-drone called "Banderol," as well as Parodya decoy drones.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 15/06/2026 09:24

Kyiv Post:

⚡️ The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), in a joint operation with the Special Operations Forces (SSO) and the Main Directorate of Intelligence (HUR), carried out a drone strike against the “Tamanneftegas” terminal in Krasnodar Krai.

Acting on operational objectives set by Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukrainian long-range drones struck five petroleum storage tanks, two marine loading arms, and adjacent logistics infrastructure.

⚡️ Ukrainian long-range strike drones executed a multi-regional offensive across Russia overnight Saturday-Sunday.

The strategic operation targeted the “Azot” chemical plant in Novomoskovsk – a facility supplying raw materials for Russian artillery shell explosives – sparking fires verified by NASA satellite tracking.

DuncinToffee · 15/06/2026 13:22

This link has a share token to the FT article "Arson targeting Keir Starmer properties originated in Russia"

https://bsky.app/profile/joshspero.ft.com/post/3mod7ht73ls27

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