United 24 Media:
π©πͺ Germany will soon transfer another, eighth, IRIS-T air defense system battery to Ukraine β Ukraineβs Ambassador to Germany Oleksiy Makeyev told Interfax.
πΉ The Era of Oil Sanctions as a Tool of Coercion Is Coming to an End. The Cases of Iran and Russia Show the Rise and Fall of Oil Restrictions as an Economic Policy Tool β Foreign Policy
After the U.S. withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, reimposed sanctions led to a decline in Iranian oil exports as its traditional buyers in Western Europe and East Asia turned to alternative sources. In 2020, Iranβs exports fell to almost zero amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, since the lifting of pandemic-related restrictions, Chinaβs purchases of Iranian oil have increased sharply, recently reaching nearly 2 million barrels per day. This has allowed Iran to return its total exports to almost pre-sanctions levels. The Iranian oil market has not disappeared but has adapted to the new reality.
Unlike the sanctions on Iran, Washingtonβs 2022 restrictions on Russian oil target the countryβs finances, not its physical flows. Measures such as the G7 price caps were designed to limit Russiaβs ability to earn revenue without eliminating Russian exports from the marketβwhich Western leaders believe would have a negative impact on prices.
But targeting Russiaβs revenues has not worked as hoped. Despite the pressure, Russian finances have held up, although like other producers, Moscow is struggling to cope with falling prices.
In neither case have the sanctions changed the behavior of states. Iran has not caved to U.S. pressure over its nuclear program, and Russia has not backed down on Ukraine. Attempts to isolate both countries, as well as Venezuela, from the global oil market have made these producers dependent on Chinese demand, which in turn has provided Beijing with reliable sources of crude oil and other products.
There have been other negative side effects. While the sanctions have weakened the economies of Russia and Iran, they have generally strengthened the authoritarian regimes in those countries. Money now ends up in fewer hands, creating incentives for the dominant players in those regimes to maintain the sanctions.
Moreover, the sanctions are increasingly ineffective. And as their dependence on the global economy diminishes, Tehran and Moscow have less to lose from further restrictions. While the United States continues to impose new measures based on a deep understanding of the illicit oil networks, it cannot completely stop the flow.
This brings us to another limiting factor of oil sanctions: if the United States goes too far, it risks shocking the market and causing prices to rise. That is why Trump is unlikely to impose 100 percent tariffs on Russian oil.
On Iran, the United States could promise sanctions relief as an incentive to bring the country into the nuclear deal, while acknowledging that its ability to significantly curtail Iranβs oil exports (short of bombing) is limited.
On Russia, the United States should follow a similar path, relying more heavily on alternative means, including expanding support for Ukraine and imposing sanctions on Russian arms exports.
Oil sanctions can be maintained, but the notion that they will significantly change Iranβs or Russiaβs behavior is an illusion that must be abandoned. At the same time, Washington and its allies must recognize a new reality: sanctions have reshaped the world oil market, bringing Iran and Russia closer to China and dividing global energy flows along geopolitical rather than commercial lines.
πΈ The US has approved $180 million in air defense support for Ukraine.
The Defense Cooperation Agency has notified Congress of the decision.
The package includes training, maintenance, repairs, spare parts, logistics, and engineering support. It does not involve the transfer of weapons but will help ensure the continued operation of Ukraineβs existing air defense systems.
π€¦ββοΈThe summit meeting between Russia and Ukraine should conclude the settlement process and formalize the results of expert-level work, said Kremlin press secretary Peskov.
"At the moment, the approaches of Moscow and Kyiv are diametrically opposed. It is unlikely that they can be reconciled overnight," Peskov stated.
βοΈErdoΔan to discuss with Trump and Putin the possibility of a leadership-level meeting in Istanbul
This week, after talks with Putin and Trump, we will try to determine whether it is possible to bring these leaders together in Istanbul, the Turkish Communications Directorate reported.
πΉ Germany plans to recruit up to 40,000 new reservists annually until 2031 to build Europe's most powerful army β Financial Times.
According to the draft law, volunteers will receive β¬2,000 for six months of military training, after which they will automatically be added to the list of reservists. During the training, they can also take language courses and obtain a driverβs license.
As early as 2025, the Bundeswehr aims to recruit 15,000 people, gradually increasing this number. The authorities hope many reservists will later choose a career as professional soldiers. Currently, about 182,000 people serve in the German army; the plan is to expand this number to 260,000.
πΈ Russia is rapidly expanding its Shahed drone production facility in Alabuz, CNN reports.
Satellite images show that construction has accelerated sharply, with dozens of new buildings under construction, including dormitories and production facilities. Analysts believe the plantβs goal may be to mass-produce drones for export worldwide.
Between late 2024 and mid-July 2025, at least eight new warehouse-like structures appeared near previously identified Shahed production sites. Residential areas have also grown significantly.
An image from July 12 shows at least 104 identical rectangular buildings, either completed or under construction, likely serving as worker dormitories. In February, there were only 15 such buildings. Construction appears to have started in March as snow melted.
According to the US think tank ISIS, once finished, these facilities could house up to 40,000 workers, enabling a major boost in drone production.
βοΈUPD. ErdoΔan is still working on a meeting of four leaders, including Zelenskyy.
Earlier today, Turkish media misquoted President ErdoΔan, reporting that βthis week we will hold talks with Putin and Trump to try to bring these leaders together in Istanbul.β
ErdoΔan actually referred to a meeting in the format proposed by Ukraine.
βIn the future, possibly this week, by holding talks with Putin and also with Trump, we will try to find out whether we can bring these leaders (Putin and Zelenskyy) together in Istanbul,β his office clarified.
πΉ Trump has signaled that secondary sanctions against Russia could be introduced even before the previously announced 50-day deadline.
βWeβre looking at this whole situation. We may have to put secondary sanctions on them,β he said.
πΈ Russia has begun using a new long-range air-to-air missile with an upgraded seeker head.
Russian fighter jets are now employing the K-77M (also known as R-77M or βProduct 180β) to target Ukrainian aircraft, Defence Express reports.
Russia has claimed to be finalizing the missileβs development since 2020. It now appears to have reached the stage of operational use. Along with the Su-57, the missile can also be launched from the Su-35. A photo of an aircraft carrying this missile appeared in Russian sources only a few days ago.
Given Russiaβs tactics of high-altitude fighter patrols, any long-range air-to-air missile is a threat. Until now, the main concern was the R-37, which also has long range but falls short of the 400 km advertised by Russian propaganda. The new K-77M adds another danger.
Experts say the missileβs advanced seeker may require upgrades to Ukrainian aircraftβs electronic warfare systems.
βοΈA terrible night. Massive combined Russian attack on the Dnipro region.
βͺοΈ A man was killed in Dnipro, and a woman was injured. A multi-storey building and industrial facilities were damaged. Fires broke out, including in a parking lot where cars burned.
βͺοΈ Several fires also started in the Dnipro district. A shopping center and an enterprise caught fire, and dry grass was burning in different locations.
One person was killed, and four more were injured.
βͺοΈ The aggressor struck the Pokrovsk community in the Synelnykove district with aerial bombs, causing a fire.
βͺοΈ An FPV drone hit the Pokrovsk community in the Nikopol district. The Marhanets community was also attacked.
πΉ Russia attacked Kharkiv more than 20 times overnight with aerial bombs, ballistic missiles, and drones.
Seven fires are being extinguished in the city. Houses, a business, and roads were damaged. Five people, including three rescue workers, were injured.
βΌοΈA 21-year-old victim of the Russian night shelling has died in a Dnipro hospital, the Regional Military Administration reported.
According to updated information, two other men, aged 46 and 33, remain hospitalized in moderate condition.
In total, three people were killed and six injured in Dnipro and the region as a result of the shelling.