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Ukraine Invasion: Part 57

1000 replies

MagicFox · 20/05/2025 10:49

Welcome to 57. Slava Ukraini πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content
C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
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blueshoes · 13/07/2025 21:37

OPINION: How the epstein (www.kyivpost.com/opinion/56104) case impacts Ukraine.

The link does not work for me. Says 404 error page not found. I think the article may have been taken down.

blueshoes · 13/07/2025 21:53

LlttledrummergirI · 13/07/2025 14:59

I'm so sorry to hear your news @DucklingSwimmingInstructress. I hope it goes as well as these things can.

I can do the weekend, I don't think I can do week days though. Is anyone else able to do Thursday and Friday.
I can also do 2nd August.

@DucklingSwimmingInstructress sorry to hear of your loss.

I should be able to do Kyiv Independent Telegram and my usual ISW on those dates: Thursday July 17 to Sunday July 20 and Monday July 28 to Saturday August 2nd.

@notimagain to the extent I overlap with you on weekends, unless you have a burning desire to do so, you can leave Kyiv Ind Telegram to me to share the load.

notimagain · 13/07/2025 22:01

@blueshoes

I think you may have tagged me accidently..

I'm happy to give it a go if you insist though ATM I'm up to my ears in stuff at home and also fielding aviation issues on another thread..

blueshoes · 13/07/2025 22:56

notimagain · 13/07/2025 22:01

@blueshoes

I think you may have tagged me accidently..

I'm happy to give it a go if you insist though ATM I'm up to my ears in stuff at home and also fielding aviation issues on another thread..

Oops, I meant to tag @LlttledrummergirI Sorry about that.

I see you are busy on the Air India crash thread. Now off to read that 😁

blueshoes · 14/07/2025 02:40

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-13-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • A German official confirmed that Germany is interested in purchasing Patriot air defense systems from the United States on behalf of Ukraine.
  • Recent satellite imagery suggests that Russia is constructing protective structures at some of its air bases following Ukraine's Operation Spider Web on June 1. [see images below]
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 14/07/2025 07:33

Thank you ... it's sad but was expected and he was very ready to go. He really did die surrounded by an enormous amount of love. One of those people who leaves a legacy behind that you can truly say is solidly worthwhile, in the lives they shaped.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 10:22

Kyiv Independent:

⚑️Balkan countries release joint statement supporting Ukrainian NATO accession after summit.

The joint summit declaration was released by Ukraine and the Croatian government on July 12.

⚑️Russia scales up propaganda operations across Africa, Ukrainian intelligence says.

By the end of the year, Kremlin propaganda channel RT plans to launch broadcasting in Amharic for an audience in Ethiopia, HUR said on July 13.

⚑️3.5 billion euros in new funds pledged for Ukraine's reconstruction after Recovery Conference, ministry says.

Ukrainian officials signed agreements, memorandums, and joint statements on raising funds totalling 3.55 billion euros ($4.15 million) following the Ukraine Recovery Conference on July 10-11, Ukraine's Ministry for Development of Communities and Territories announced on July 13.

⚑️NATO chief to visit Washington on July 14 as Trump prepares 'major statement' on Russia.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte will visit Washington on July 14-15, the military alliance's press service announced on July 13.

The visit comes as U.S. President Donald Trump previously said he intends to make a "major" announcement on Russia on July 14, potentially signifying a major policy shift on the war in Ukraine as relations with the Kremlin sour.

⚑️Russian drones kill 1, injure 3 in Sumy Oblast amid attack on civilian, critical infrastructure.

A Russian drone attack on the city of Sumy on July 13 killed one person and injured three others, Governor Oleh Gryhorov reported, amid a larger attack on the region's critical infrastructure.

Ukraine war latest: German-funded long-range weapons to arrive in Ukraine by late July; NATO chief to visit Washington on July 14 as Trump prepares 'major statement' on Russia

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte will visit Washington on July 14-15, the military alliance's press service announced on July 13.

The visit comes as U.S. President Donald Trump previously said he intends to make a "major" announcement on Russia on July 14, potentially signifying a major policy shift on the war in Ukraine as relations with the Kremlin sour.

⚑️'The game is about to change' β€” Republican Senator Graham says he expects influx of US weapons shipments to Ukraine, ahead of Trump's 'major' announcement.

U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham said in an interview with CBS News on July 13 that he expects an influx of U.S. weapons shipments to Ukraine to begin "in the coming days," as U.S. President Donald Trump prepares to make a "major statement" on the war in Ukraine on July 14.

⚑️Russia's summer offensive has fallen 'far short of expectations,' Zelensky says.

Moscow's ongoing summer offensive has not reached the Kremlin's expectations as Ukrainian troops continue to thwart Russian attacks on various regions, President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed on July 13.

⚑️Russia denies Putin pushed Iran for 'zero enrichment' nuclear deal.

Western countries and Israel suspect Tehran of seeking to develop a nuclear weapon, a claim Iran denies, defending what it calls its "non-negotiable" right to develop a civilian nuclear program.

⚑️BREAKING: Trump says US will send Patriot missiles to Ukraine.

"We will send them Patriots, which they desperately need, because (Russian President Vladimir) Putin really surprised a lot of people. He talks nice and then bombs everybody in the evening," U.S. President Donald Trump said on July 13.

⚑️Germany won't supply Ukraine with Taurus missiles, urges weapons makers to step up, defense minister says.

Germany won't supply Ukraine with Taurus cruise missiles, but will provide Kyiv with Patriot air defense systems purchased from the U.S., German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in an interview with the Financial Times released on July 13.

⚑️EU expected to agree on new Moscow sanctions, Russian oil price cap, Reuters reports.

The EU is close to reaching a full agreement on its 18th sanctions package against Moscow, which will include a new Russian oil price cap, Reuters reported on July 13, citing four sources within the bloc.

⚑️ 'He wants to take all of it' β€” Putin reportedly told Trump he'll intensify eastern Ukraine offensive over next 2 months.

Russian President Vladimir Putin told U.S. President Donald Trump that Moscow intended to continue offensive operations until it secured the full administrative borders of occupied Ukrainian regions.

⚑️ As Trump pledges more Patriot systems, US envoy Kellogg arrives in Kyiv.

"There are many topics to discuss," Ukraine's Presidential Office head Andriy Yermak said.

⚑️ 6 killed, 30 injured in Russian attacks on Ukraine over past day.

Ukraine's Air Force said Russian forces launched 136 drones overnight, including Iranian-designed Shahed-type attack drones, and fired four S-300/400 guided missiles.

πŸ”Ή These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of July 14, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 10:40

United 24 Media:

πŸ”Ή Rutte to Meet Trump in Washington Tomorrow Amid Expected β€œBig Statement” from U.S. President on Russia β€” Reuters

The NATO Secretary General will also hold meetings with Secretary of State Rubio and Defense Minister HΓΈgseth.

πŸ”Έ Ukraine Signs Major Arms Contracts at Rome Conference

According to n-tv, Ukraine signed at least five agreements with international defense partners. Among them is a contract with D&M Holding Company, a U.S. arms manufacturer specializing in ammunition.

Ukraine also signed agreements with the Italian Defense Ministry to boost cooperation between unnamed Ukrainian and Italian defense companies.

πŸ”Ή Ukrainian Intelligence Hits Latest Russian Buk-M3 Air Defense System Worth $45 Million

Ukrainian intelligence officers directed a strike on a Russian Buk-M3 air defense system valued at $45 million.

According to the General Staff, Russia also lost three tanks, several armored vehicles, an air defense system, over 100 units of equipment, and around 1,240 personnel in a single day.

In total, the enemy has lost 1,194 air defense systems since the start of the full-scale invasion.

πŸ”Έ Ukraine Begins Producing Special Anti-FPV Drone Ammunition β€” Forbes

Ukraine has started manufacturing new 5.56 mm ammunition designed to counter FPV drones, and it is already being supplied to the front lines.

The rounds are compatible with standard NATO assault rifles, such as the CZ Bren and M4, widely used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. When fired, the ammunition breaks apart into several high-speed projectiles, creating a shotgun-like effect with an effective range of up to 50 meters.

This development is especially significant as Russia deploys fiber-optic drones, which are resistant to electronic warfare, Forbes notes.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Republican Senator Lindsey Graham expects a record-breaking supply of weapons to Ukraine in the coming days to help defend against Russian aggression.

β€œOne of Putin’s biggest miscalculations was trying to outmaneuver Trump. There will be a major push in the coming days and weeks to force Putin to the negotiating table,” he said.

According to Graham, the conflict is nearing a turning point as Trump shows growing interest in supporting Ukraine.

πŸ”Έ The Russian threat on Europe’s borders β€” from the Caucasus to the Arctic β€” is prepared, organized, and persistent. We must be ready to confront and contain it to preserve peace, French President Emmanuel Macron told the military.

Macron said he has made defense a national priority and announced a steady increase in the military budget through 2027. He also urged β€œevery French citizen to be more aware of today’s threats.”

β€œTo be free in this world, you have to be feared β€” and to be feared, you must be strong.

We have a strong army, but we must address weaknesses: ammunition stockpiles, drone capabilities, air defense and electronic warfare, space assets, and the development of our reserves.

We will add €3.5 billion in 2026 and another €3 billion in 2027. That year, our defense budget will reach €64 billion β€” double what it was in 2017,” Macron said.

⚑️We are preparing new long-range strikes and will do everything to bring the war onto Russian territory β€” President Zelenskyy.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Trump’s special envoy, Kellogg, has arrived in Ukraine, the head of the President’s Office, Andriy Yermak, announced.

β€œDefense, strengthening security, weapons, sanctions, protecting our people, and deepening U.S.-Ukraine cooperation β€” many important topics to discuss,” he wrote.

πŸ”Ή The EU is close to finalizing its 18th package of sanctions against Russia, which includes a new cap on Russian oil prices β€” Reuters reports.

According to sources, all elements of the package have been agreed, though one member state still has technical reservations about the price cap. Full agreement is expected today, ahead of a meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels, where the package could be formally approved.

The plan includes a dynamic pricing mechanism. On Friday, the European Commission proposed a floating cap β€” 15% below the average market price of oil over the previous three months. One source said the starting price would be around $47 per barrel, based on the average price of Russian oil over the past 22 weeks.

The cap will now be reviewed every six months, rather than every three as originally proposed.

Slovakia, which had delayed the package, has now agreed to the new measures but is still awaiting assurances from the European Commission over its concerns regarding the phase-out of Russian gas supplies.

Unanimous approval by all EU member states is required for the sanctions to take effect.

🀑 Amid Trump’s shift in rhetoric, Putin’s negotiator outlines Russia’s expectations from the U.S. and mentions Biden

Kirill Dmitriev, the Russian dictator’s special representative, called for a β€œconstructive dialogue between Russia and the U.S.” He claimed such dialogue β€œwill always be more beneficial than the outdated and destructive language of pressure.”

Dmitriev also stated that β€œonly cooperation can ensure true peace” and referred to former U.S. President Joe Biden, saying his β€œmistakes and deception will be corrected.”

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 10:47

Live:Ukraine

πŸ‡°πŸ‡΅πŸͺ– North Korea has supplied Russia with over 12 million 152mm artillery shells, according to South Korean intelligence, as reported by Yonhap. This involved approximately 28,000 containers filled with weapons and munitions.

β–ͺ️In April, Reuters reported that North Korea had already sent up to 6 million shells to Russia. Without this supply, Russia would not have been able to wage the war at such intensity. At certain points last year, entire Russian units were relying almost entirely on North Korean munitions β€” in some cases, up to 100%. The report called this the most significant direct military support Russia has received during the war.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte will meet on Tuesday in Washington with President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

NATO has not disclosed the official reason for the visit, but CBS, citing sources, reported that Trump is considering approving new funding for Ukraine for the first time during his second term.

πŸ‡°πŸ‡΅ Following his meeting with Lavrov, Kim Jong Un expressed unconditional support for Russia’s actions in Ukraine.

Russia’s Foreign Minister held bilateral talks in North Korea with the country’s leader Kim Jong Un and Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui.

North Korea framed the meeting as a β€œstrategic dialogue,” after which Choe and Lavrov signed a β€œ2026–2027 exchange plan.” Media did not disclose the contents of the agreement.

After the meeting, Kim stated that North Korea is ready to unconditionally support all measures taken by the Russian leadership to β€œeradicate the root cause of the Ukrainian crisis.”

πŸ”Ή The New York Times published a report from Russia’s Kursk region near the Ukrainian border, now back under Russian control.

The article, titled β€œA Landscape of Death: What Remains Where Ukraine Invaded Russia,” opens with the line:

β€œLast year, Ukraine turned a corner of Russia into a battlefield. Now it is a place of devastation and death.”

Journalist Nanna Heitmann spent six days in the front-line areas of the Kursk region, accompanied by members of the Russian special forces unit Akhmat.

The report quotes local residents. One woman says:

β€œBecause the Ukrainians couldn’t reach Moscow, they struck their own β€” their neighbors. Half our relatives are Ukrainians.”

Another blames NATO expansion for the war and calls Ukrainians β€œvictims of propaganda who blame everything on Putin.”

Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded with outrage. MFA spokesperson Oleh Tykhy criticized the NYT for the piece, stating:

β€œWhoever at the NYT thought it wise to publish a story alongside Russian war criminals made the dumbest possible decision. This is not balance or β€˜the other side of the story’ β€” it’s a platform for Russian propaganda to mislead the public. It’s sad to see Duranty-style manipulation returning to the NYT.”

β–ͺ️Walter Duranty was an Anglo-American journalist who led the NYT’s Moscow bureau from 1922 to 1936. He conducted a rare interview with Stalin in 1929, won a Pulitzer Prize in 1932 for his Soviet coverage, and notoriously denied the Holodomor β€” the man-made famine in Ukraine.

πŸ”Έ Zelensky stated that Ukraine will provide U.S. presidential envoy Keith Kellogg with full information on the situation in the war, and expects the United States to fully understand the means of compelling Russia to peace.

πŸ”Ή β€œI expect that in the coming days you will see a record flow of weapons that will help Ukraine defend itself,” said Senator Lindsey Graham.

β€œI also expect greater support from Europe in the coming days for efforts aimed at helping Ukraine. For six months, President Trump tried to lure Putin to the negotiating table. The attacks increased, not decreased. One of Putin’s biggest miscalculations was playing games with Trump,” Graham added.

He also announced β€œpositive” news regarding frozen Russian assets:

β€œWatch for a plan under which America will begin selling a massive amount of weapons to our European allies β€” arms that could benefit Ukraine.”

πŸ”Έ Trump stated that the U.S. is ready to provide Ukraine with Patriot systems necessary for defense, noting that Putin β€œspeaks nicely, but then bombs everyone at night.”

He emphasized that the number of systems planned for delivery has not yet been agreed upon, but the full cost will be covered by the European Union.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 10:49

Kyiv Post:

πŸ”Ή On a day when Trump promised more Patriot air defense missiles for Ukraine, Germany recanted on promises to do the same, saying they β€œdon’t have enough.”

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 10:51

I’ve been away this weekend so haven’t been keeping up with the thread. Sorry for your loss Ducks
Do you still need any updates covered whilst you are away?

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 14/07/2025 13:53

Thank you @DesdamonasHandkerchief

if I have this right, then:

@LlttledrummergirI can do UNITED24 Media, Kyiv Post, Live: Ukraine Sat July 19, Sunday 20th and Sat 2nd August

@blueshoes can do Kyiv Independent Telegram and ISW Thursday July 17 to Sunday July 20 and Monday July 28 to Saturday August 2nd.

This means UNITED24 Media, Kyiv Post, Live: Ukraine could do with covering on Thursday 17th, Friday 18th July and Saturday 26th - Friday 1st August. That's quite a lot admittedly .... would you be able to do what you can? Then I can pick everything (except the ISW ofc) on Sunday 3rd August).

MissConductUS · 14/07/2025 14:23

There are reports that Trump has decided to provide Ukraine with long range missiles, along with other supplies.

https://www.jpost.com/international/internationalrussia-ukraine-war/article-860950

If it's true, my guess would be it's more ATACMS. The US still has hundreds in inventory, and the Precision Strike Missile is replacing them. If I'm correct, I'm sure the Ukrainians have a long target list within a 300km radius.

This is exactly what Trump needs to do - increase the cost of the war for Russia. I hope they start by attacking the oil refineries again. That will have a beneficial effect on the battlefield and inflict real pain on the Russian economy.

High value military targets need to be on the list as well, of course.

Donald Trump to give Ukraine offensive weapons as Putin's war drags on | The Jerusalem Post

The offensive weapons would reportedly include long-range missiles that could reach targets deep inside Russian territory, including Moscow.

https://www.jpost.com/international/internationalrussia-ukraine-war/article-860950

DuncinToffee · 14/07/2025 16:45

Donald Trump says he is "very, very unhappy" with Russia and "disappointed" in President Vladimir Putin


The US president says he will introduce "very severe" secondary tariffs of 100% if no ceasefire deal is reached with Ukraine within 50 days

White House press conference with Rutte

50 days Hmm

DuncinToffee · 14/07/2025 17:52

Confirmed now

Donald Trump announces the US will send β€œthe best” military equipment to Ukraine paid for by NATO

Weapons being sent include surface-to-air Patriot missile systems and batteries,

Igotjelly · 14/07/2025 18:00

DuncinToffee · 14/07/2025 17:52

Confirmed now

Donald Trump announces the US will send β€œthe best” military equipment to Ukraine paid for by NATO

Weapons being sent include surface-to-air Patriot missile systems and batteries,

Until of course he changes his mind again…

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/07/2025 18:03

@DucklingSwimmingInstructress yes I think I can cover those dates. Some days may be a bit rushed due to other commitments but shouldn’t be a huge problem πŸ‘

PerkingFaintly · 14/07/2025 18:14

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 14/07/2025 07:33

Thank you ... it's sad but was expected and he was very ready to go. He really did die surrounded by an enormous amount of love. One of those people who leaves a legacy behind that you can truly say is solidly worthwhile, in the lives they shaped.

That's an amazing thing to be able to say about anyone.

Wishing you and your family and friends well.Flowers

MissConductUS · 14/07/2025 18:33

Igotjelly · 14/07/2025 18:00

Until of course he changes his mind again…

My take is that the pro-Ukraine republicans, led by Lindsey Graham, have shifted the conversation in their favor. Putin made this possible by making Trump appear to be naive and overly credulous. Now that he's realized that, it's made him cross, and he needs to show Putin that there's a price to pay.

By saying that the EU will pay for the weapons, he's also deflected the criticism that the US has spent too much gifting weapons to Ukraine.

It's a fairly profound shift politically, and I don't think it's transient. Putin is now on Trump's bad list, which is very hard to get off of.

Here's some updated coverage from the WSJ.

https://www.wsj.com/world/trump-agrees-to-sell-nato-weapons-for-ukraine-83a32be9?st=tJcPdj&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

minsmum · 14/07/2025 18:47

It seems Melania has been doing her bit as well https://x.com/aborealis940/status/1940804036128805345

https://x.com/aborealis940/status/1940804036128805345

PerkingFaintly · 14/07/2025 19:19

It's a fairly profound shift politically, and I don't think it's transient. Putin is now on Trump's bad list, which is very hard to get off of.

From your keyboard to god's ear...

Tacocatgoatcheesepizza · 14/07/2025 19:23

Why is he waiting another 50 days to do anything else though? I read that that takes it to exactly 60 days after Putin said he had a plan of attack for the next 60 days.

blueshoes · 14/07/2025 21:03

@minsmum is that the right link? The Danish lad is awesome but I did not see any reference to Melania in there.

minsmum · 14/07/2025 21:37

Sorry wrong link it was.supposed to be Trump saying he would go home and say to Melania that he had had a great call with Putin and she.would say they bombed another city today

minsmum · 14/07/2025 21:39

Of course I can't find it now

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